ODFL·Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.
ODFL|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $1.60 | - | - |
| Q2'26 | $1.54 | $1.68 | +9.0% |
| Q1'26 | $1.05 | $1.14 | +8.5% |
| Q4'25 | $1.08 | $1.09 | +0.9% |
| Q3'25 | $1.22 | $1.28 | +5.2% |
| Q2'25 | $1.28 | $1.27 | -1.1% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $1.6B | - | - |
| Q2'26 | $1.6B | $1.6B | -0.1% |
| Q1'26 | $1.3B | $1.3B | +1.6% |
| Q4'25 | $1.3B | $1.3B | -1.2% |
| Q3'25 | - | $1.4B | - |
| Q2'25 | - | $1.4B | - |
ODFL|Monthly Returns
Market Data
ODFL Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 35.87B
- P/E ratio
- 32.9
- Day range
- $171.63 – $175.71
- News sentiment
- 75/100 · Bullish
- Analyst target
- $228.78 (+32.5%)
- Consensus
- Hold · 31 analysts
The chart on ODFL has not stabilised: price is in the lower half of its 52-week range and the trend is still down. The stock is liquid enough that positioning changes get absorbed without distorting the trend.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into ODFL?
At today's price, Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 29.1% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 10.16% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 32.1% a year, so the market is asking for 3.0 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis ODFL looks priced below what its own growth record supports.
- Implied FCF growth
- 29.1%
- Historical FCF CAGR
- 32.1%
- Growth gap
- -3.0 pts
- Verdict
- CHEAP
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 10.16%
- Beta
- 1.05
Behaviour On Record
What ODFL's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 27.8% 24th pct
- vs 200-day average
- -12.9%
- Up days (1y)
- 55%
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. is currently running 27.8% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against ODFL's own 2 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 24th percentile — unusually subdued by its own history, against a typical reading of 32.9%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.
Price sits -12.9% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 30th percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year ODFL closed higher on 55% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.
Overnight risk is measurable too: ODFL has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 28 of 593 sessions (4.7% of the time), with the largest gaps running +5.3% and -3.5%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.
Across the last 3 dated reports on file, ODFL moved an average of 3.2% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -4.1% and a largest of -4.8%.
All figures computed from 594 daily closes between 2024-05-07 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against ODFL's own 2-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of ODFL's sector?
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 11th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).
- Sector rank
- #11 of 11
- Sector state
- Improving
- Sector rotation score
- 30
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on ODFL?
Bernstein most recently initiated coverage on Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. to Market Perform on Sep 10, 2026 with a price target of $200. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 4 upgrades against 1 downgrade, a net bullish lean.
- Latest action
- Bernstein — Market Perform
- 90-day upgrades
- 4
- 90-day downgrades
- 1
- Net rating momentum
- +3
