EXPD·Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.

Realized volatility (21d)

25.5% 72nd pct

Below its peak

-0.8%

vs 200-day average

+19.0%

Up days (1y)

59%

Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. is currently running 25.5% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against EXPD's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 72nd percentile — a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 20.8%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

EXPD is trading -0.8% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -15.8%, and the deepest was -33.6% in 2022. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +19.0% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 93rd percentile — a wider gap than this stock usually carries. Over the past year EXPD closed higher on 59% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, EXPD finished the month higher 6 of 13 times, with a median return of +0.0% and an average of +0.5%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +5.5% on average, its weakest January at -1.2%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: EXPD has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 113 of 3,266 sessions (3.5% of the time), with the largest gaps running +19.5% and -11.2%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,267 daily closes between 2013-10-15 and 2026-10-13, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against EXPD's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.