PAYC·Paycom Software, Inc.

Realized volatility (21d)

24.7% 12th pct

Below its peak

-56.8%

vs 200-day average

+51.0%

Up days (1y)

50%

Paycom Software, Inc. is currently running 24.7% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against PAYC's own 12 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 12th percentile — unusually subdued by its own history, against a typical reading of 36.9%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

PAYC is trading -56.8% below its running peak. Across 11 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -32.6%, and the deepest was -59.1% in 2023. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits +51.0% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 98th percentile — a wider gap than this stock usually carries. Over the past year PAYC closed higher on 50% of sessions, and it is currently 5 sessions into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 12 years of records, PAYC finished the month higher 9 of 12 times, with a median return of +3.9% and an average of +1.4%. Its strongest month historically has been August at +12.2% on average, its weakest September at -4.1%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: PAYC has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 211 of 3,142 sessions (6.7% of the time), with the largest gaps running +12.9% and -15.4%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, PAYC moved an average of 7.4% in the session after earnings, closing higher 3 of those 3 times, with a median move of +8.0% and a largest of +9.2%.

All figures computed from 3,143 daily closes between 2014-04-15 and 2026-10-13, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against PAYC's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.