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CCEP·Coca-Cola Europacific Partners plc

$103.17
-1.50 (-1.43%)
High
$104.58
Open
$103.77
Market Cap
45.55B
52W High
$113.67
Low
$103.04
P. Close
$103.17
P/E
19.67
52W Low
$84.65
Fwd P/E
18.39
DailyIQ Est.
$111.62
Inst. Ownership
19.0%
Short Interest
2.30%
Days to Cover
7.1
Technical Score (1D)
36
SELL
News Sentiment
53
MIXED
The most recent development is UBS’s downgrade of CCEP to Neutral with a price‑target cut to $107, citing modest earnings prospects and margin compression amid rising input costs and stiffer competition. This downgrade signals a more cautious view of the bottler’s ability to sustain its current valuation over the next 10 trading days, and traders should watch for any further analyst revisions that could reinforce a bearish stance. Earlier, Barclays maintained an Overweight rating and raised its target to $119, reflecting confidence in margin improvement and earnings growth, which creates a conflicting narrative that may lead to short‑term volatility. Evercore’s upgrade to Outperform and a $115 target adds another bullish perspective, underscoring the company’s operational efficiency and market positioning. The Q2 2026 earnings call, released around 906–918 hours ago, showed revenue up 6.1% and operating profit up 8.1% driven by market‑share gains and FIFA World Cup activations, reinforcing the upward earnings trajectory. This strong performance supports the full‑year guidance of 3–4% revenue growth and ~7% operating profit growth, suggesting that the company’s cost‑control initiatives are effective. The earnings beat, however, was followed by a 3–4% pre‑market slide, indicating profit‑taking and a sensitivity to short‑term price movements. Consequently, the next key watch item is the market’s reaction to the company’s marketing campaigns and the potential impact of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East on consumer demand. Finally, analysts should monitor any updates on regional market dynamics and currency‑neutral revenue targets in the upcoming earnings release, as these factors will shape the short‑term outlook for CCEP.
Earnings Summary
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners (CCEP) is a leading distributor and seller of non‑alcoholic ready‑to‑drink beverages, operating across bottling and distribution channels for brands such as Coca‑Cola, Sprite, Fanta, Monster Energy, and a broad range of water, juice, tea, and coffee products. The company serves a diverse set of markets from the United Kingdom to the United States, positioning it firmly within the consumer‑defensive beverages sector. In Q2 2026, CCEP reported a 6.1% increase in first‑half revenue and an 8.1% rise in operating profit, driven by market‑share gains and FIFA World Cup activations, reaffirming its full‑year guidance of 3–4% currency‑neutral revenue growth and ~7% operating profit growth. While the earnings call confirmed a 4.4% revenue rise to €10.7 bn and a 6.9% jump in operating profit to €1.5 bn, the actual EPS and revenue figures for the quarter are not disclosed in the provided data, limiting a precise comparison to prior periods. Historically, CCEP has maintained a steady upward trajectory in revenue, with consistent beats against analyst estimates in recent quarters, although specific EPS trends remain unavailable. The company’s earnings have generally outpaced expectations, reflecting robust pricing power and volume growth, even as margin compression concerns surface amid rising input costs. Recent news highlights a mixed analyst outlook: UBS downgraded the stock to neutral with a $107 target, citing modest earnings outlook and margin pressure, while Barclays and Evercore upgraded the rating and raised targets to $119 and $115, respectively, underscoring confidence in margin improvement prospects. Investors should watch for the next earnings release to assess any adjustments to guidance, the impact of regional market dynamics—particularly the Middle East conflict—and the effectiveness of cost‑control initiatives on sustaining margin expansion in a high‑inflation environment. Key watch points include monitoring how CCEP navigates competitive pressure, currency fluctuations, and regulatory changes across its operating regions, as these factors will shape the company’s ability to maintain its revenue growth trajectory and operating profit margins in the coming quarters.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
No data available
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26 - - -

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$5.7B$5.7B$5.7B$5.7B$5.7BQ2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$5.7B - -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
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Market Data

CCEP Stock Snapshot

HOLD36/100
$103.17−$1.50 (1.4%)
Market cap
45.55B
P/E ratio
19.7
Day range
$103.04 – $104.58
News sentiment
53/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$110.34 (+6.9%)
Consensus
Buy · 23 analysts
52-week range+21.9% off low · -9.2% from high
$84.65$113.67
Price $103.17 DailyIQ Est. $111.62

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners plc is consolidating: price is in the middle of its 52-week range without a decisive push either way. Earnings and guidance carry more weight than macro data at this capitalisation.

Behaviour On Record

What CCEP's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
22.5% 66th pct
Below its peak
-8.4%
vs 200-day average
+5.4%
Up days (1y)
54%

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners plc is currently running 22.5% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against CCEP's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 66th percentile — a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 19.1%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

CCEP is trading -8.4% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -15.2%, and the deepest was -47.6% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +5.4% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 55th percentile — a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year CCEP closed higher on 54% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 14 years of records, CCEP finished the month higher 4 of 14 times, with a median return of -2.9% and an average of -2.1%. Its strongest month historically has been July at +3.5% on average, its weakest September at -2.1%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: CCEP has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 85 of 3,268 sessions (2.6% of the time), with the largest gaps running +6.5% and -15.2%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-09-16 and 2026-09-15, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against CCEP's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of CCEP's sector?

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners plc sits in the Consumer Staples sector, currently ranked 5th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).

Sector rank
#5 of 11
Sector state
Improving
Sector rotation score
60

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for CCEP?

CallsPuts

For Coca-Cola Europacific Partners plc's nearest expiry (2026-09-18, 3 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.09), with at-the-money implied volatility around 25.0%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±2.2% move by that expiry — a range of about $101.39–$105.87.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-18)
0.09
ATM implied volatility
25.0%
Total open interest
1,488
Expected move by 2026-09-18
±2.2% ($101.39–$105.87)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on CCEP?

UBS most recently downgraded Coca-Cola Europacific Partners plc to Neutral on Aug 13, 2026 with a price target of $107 (from $109). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 1 downgrade, a net bearish lean.

Latest action
UBS — Neutral
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
1
Net rating momentum
-1
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Aug 13, 2026UBSDowngradeBuy → Neutral$109 → $107
Aug 6, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$114 → $119
Aug 5, 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainedOutperform$112 → $115
Aug 3, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedOverweight$115 → $120
Jul 21, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$108 → $114
Jul 8, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedOverweight$110 → $115
Jun 12, 2026Wells FargoInitiatedOverweight$110
Apr 30, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$106 → $108
Apr 29, 2026UBSMaintainedBuy$107 → $109
Apr 14, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$111 → $106
Feb 19, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$101 → $111
Feb 18, 2026Goldman SachsMaintainedBuy$98 → $110

CCEP Competitive Positioning

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners plc (CCEP) is tracked alongside these names in Beverages - Non-Alcoholic on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.

Held by These ETFs

CCEP is a top holding in these ETFs tracked on DailyIQ — bar length shows portfolio weight.