SHW·The Sherwin-Williams Company

Realized volatility (21d)

20.5% 46th pct

Below its peak

-19.0%

vs 200-day average

-2.7%

Up days (1y)

52%

The Sherwin-Williams Company is currently running 20.5% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against SHW's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 46th percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 21.3%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

SHW is trading -19.0% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -16.1%, and the deepest was -40.7% in 2022. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -2.7% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 22nd percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year SHW closed higher on 52% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, SHW finished the month higher 8 of 13 times, with a median return of +4.4% and an average of +1.6%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +5.8% on average, its weakest September at -2.5%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: SHW has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 119 of 3,267 sessions (3.6% of the time), with the largest gaps running +6.4% and -12.7%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, SHW moved an average of 2.2% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -3.1% and a largest of -3.2%.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-10-15 and 2026-10-13, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against SHW's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.