SWK·Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.

Realized volatility (21d)

24.0% 42nd pct

Below its peak

-58.9%

vs 200-day average

+7.6%

Up days (1y)

51%

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. is currently running 24.0% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against SWK's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 42nd percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 26.4%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

SWK is trading -58.9% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -23.7%, and the deepest was -63.3% in 2022. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits +7.6% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 64th percentile — a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year SWK closed higher on 51% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, SWK finished the month higher 7 of 13 times, with a median return of +0.8% and an average of -1.8%. Its strongest month historically has been July at +4.8% on average, its weakest March at -2.7%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: SWK has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 138 of 3,267 sessions (4.2% of the time), with the largest gaps running +7.3% and -10.0%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, SWK moved an average of 2.0% in the session after earnings, closing higher 2 of those 3 times, with a median move of +2.5% and a largest of +2.7%.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-10-15 and 2026-10-13, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against SWK's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.