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UUUU·Energy Fuels Inc.

$11.69
-0.29 (-2.42%)
Market Closed (Overnight)$11.85+0.16 (+1.37%)
High
$12.39
Open
$12.21
Market Cap
3.10B
52W High
$28.01
Low
$11.60
P. Close
$11.69
P/E
-
52W Low
$10.55
Fwd P/E
24.12
DailyIQ Est.
$25.79
Inst. Ownership
37.9%
Short Interest
20.70%
Days to Cover
8.0
Technical Score (1D)
23
SELL
News Sentiment
60
BULLISH
Energy Fuels’ shares fell 4.65 % today to $12.35, a sharper slide than the S&P 500’s 0.48 % loss, driven by a projected quarterly EPS of –$0.05 despite a 112 % jump in revenue to $37.6 million. The negative earnings forecast signals that, even with strong uranium sales, operating costs and expansion outlays will keep the company in the red for the year, raising doubts about near‑term profitability. Investors will watch the upcoming earnings release for any revisions to the guidance or strategic updates that could reverse the current negative trend. In the past month, Energy Fuels has lagged the broader market by 15.8 %, a decline largely attributed to general market softness rather than company‑specific catalysts, so the recent dip may be part of a broader sector pullback. A week ago, the firm’s shares slipped 0.8 %–2 % after Beijing warned it could cancel the Trump‑Xi summit over a Taiwan arms sale, heightening geopolitical risk for U.S. rare‑earth producers and adding uncertainty to demand forecasts. The company’s recent acquisition of a Korean metals plant and the Dubbo rare‑earth project for $243 million expands its mine‑to‑magnet footprint, potentially offsetting supply‑chain concerns but diluting shareholders; analysts will monitor whether this added capacity translates into higher-margin downstream revenue. Meanwhile, Energy Fuels’ terbium oxide has cleared qualification tests for use by a major Japanese magnet maker, removing a key supply bottleneck and signaling a possible uptick in contract volume. The combination of a weak earnings outlook, geopolitical tension, and a breakthrough in heavy‑rare‑earth production creates a mixed picture; traders should watch the earnings call for guidance updates, any new contracts with magnet manufacturers, and the market’s reaction to the geopolitical risk assessment.
Earnings Summary
Energy Fuels Inc. is a U.S. uranium and mineral producer headquartered in Lakewood, Colorado, focused on extracting uranium, vanadium pentoxide, and rare earth elements while also selling heavy mineral sands such as ilmenite and zircon; it operates within the broader energy sector and specifically the uranium industry. In the most recent quarters, the company posted a Q1 2025 loss of $13.3 million (EPS –$0.13) and a Q2 2025 loss of $5.8 million (EPS –$0.10), both below the negative estimates of –$0.07 and –$0.04 respectively, indicating a slight improvement in earnings relative to expectations; revenue, however, fell sharply from $57.9 million in Q4 2024 to $2.3 million in Q1 2025 and then to $5.8 million in Q2 2025, reflecting a steep decline in sales volume. Historically, the company has trended downward in revenue, with Q1 2026 revenue of $35.8 million falling short of the $43.4 million estimate, and Q2 2026 revenue of $25.1 million versus a $31.4 million estimate, while EPS losses widened to –$0.13 from –$0.04 in Q1 2026, showing a deteriorating cost structure. Over the past several quarters, Energy Fuels has consistently missed revenue estimates and experienced widening losses, though it has occasionally beat EPS estimates in the negative range, suggesting that cost management remains a key challenge. Recent news highlights the company’s positioning to benefit from rising demand for uranium and rare earths as technology and clean‑energy expansion accelerate, with analysts projecting a modest EPS improvement to –$0.05 and a 112% revenue jump year‑over‑year; however, the full‑year guidance remains negative, underscoring potential earnings misses if costs continue to rise. Investors should watch for any regulatory approvals or permitting decisions that could unlock production capacity, as well as the company’s cost‑control initiatives and any updates on mine development milestones, as these factors will be critical in determining whether the company can translate higher commodity prices into improved profitability in the next reporting period.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$-0.14$-0.11$-0.08$-0.05$-0.02Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$-0.03 - -
Q2'26$-0.04$-0.13-199.5%
Q1'26$-0.05$-0.04+16.0%
Q3'25$-0.05$-0.07-31.3%
Q2'25$-0.04$-0.10-150.0%
Q1'25$-0.07$-0.13-85.7%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$144,258$12M$25M$37M$49MQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$39M - -
Q2'26$31M$25M-20.0%
Q1'26$43M$36M-17.4%
Q3'25 - $25M -
Q2'25 - $6M -
Q1'25 - $23M -

Market Data

UUUU Stock Snapshot

SELL23/100
$11.85+$0.16 (1.4%)
Market cap
3.10B
Day range
$11.60 – $12.39
News sentiment
60/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$24.15 (+103.8%)
Consensus
Buy · 13 analysts
52-week range+12.3% off low · -57.7% from high
$10.55$28.01
Price $11.85 DailyIQ Est. $25.79

The signals on UUUU lean bearish, and the range position backs that up. Position sizing matters more than usual in a name this size, where volatility is structural.

Behaviour On Record

What UUUU's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
64.9% 52nd pct
Below its peak
-55.6%
vs 200-day average
-32.6%
Up days (1y)
49%

Energy Fuels Inc. is currently running 64.9% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against UUUU's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 52nd percentile close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 63.4%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

UUUU is trading -55.6% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -50.9%, and the deepest was -69.6% in 2015. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -32.6% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 8th percentile a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year UUUU closed higher on 49% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, UUUU finished the month higher 6 of 13 times, with a median return of -7.6% and an average of -0.4%. Its strongest month historically has been August at +8.1% on average, its weakest March at -2.3%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: UUUU has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 552 of 3,215 sessions (17.2% of the time), with the largest gaps running +17.5% and -22.0%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,216 daily closes between 2013-12-04 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against UUUU's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of UUUU's sector?

Energy Fuels Inc. sits in the Energy sector, currently ranked 2nd of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (weakening).

Sector rank
#2 of 11
Sector state
Weakening
Sector rotation score
80

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for UUUU?

CallsPuts

For Energy Fuels Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-09-25, 5 days out), open interest is roughly balanced between puts and calls (put/call ratio of 1.14), with at-the-money implied volatility around 78.9%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±10.2% move by that expiry — a range of about $12.24–$15.02.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-25)
1.14
ATM implied volatility
78.9%
Total open interest
5,731
Expected move by 2026-09-25
±10.2% ($12.24–$15.02)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on UUUU?

HC Wainwright & Co. most recently reiterated its rating on Energy Fuels Inc. to Buy on Sep 1, 2026 with a price target of $29 (from $29). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
HC Wainwright & Co.Buy
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 1, 2026HC Wainwright & Co.MaintainedBuy$29 → $29
Aug 14, 2026BMO CapitalInitiatedOutperform$18
Aug 10, 2026B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$27 → $25
Jun 22, 2026HC Wainwright & Co.ReiteratedBuy$29
Jun 12, 2026Goldman SachsMaintainedBuy$29 → $21
May 8, 2026HC Wainwright & Co.MaintainedBuy$27 → $29
Feb 27, 2026HC Wainwright & Co.MaintainedBuy$27 → $27
Feb 11, 2026Goldman SachsInitiatedBuy$30
Jan 28, 2026Roth CapitalUpgradeSell → Neutral$13 → $16
Jan 20, 2026B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$22 → $27
Jan 9, 2026HC Wainwright & Co.ReiteratedBuy$27
Nov 5, 2025Roth CapitalDowngradeNeutral → Sell$7 → $12

UUUU Competitive Positioning

Energy Fuels Inc. (UUUU) is tracked alongside these names in Uranium on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.