DailyIQ
Last updated1 minute ago

VSAT·ViaSat Inc.

$66.90
-0.76 (-1.12%)
Pre-Market
High
$66.50
Open
$66.50
Market Cap
8.99B
52W High
$93.03
Low
$65.55
P. Close
$66.90
P/E
-
52W Low
$28.98
Fwd P/E
401.39
DailyIQ Est.
$112.30
Inst. Ownership
45.7%
Short Interest
8.81%
Days to Cover
7.0
Technical Score (1D)
9
BEARISH
News Sentiment
41
BEARISH
On Oct 13, it was reported that Viasat senior executive Craig Andrew Miller sold 11,893 shares of the company for $851,629, as disclosed in a Form 4 filing dated Oct 9, 2026. The sale reduced his direct holdings to 41,570 shares, while his total control of the company remained at 47,605 shares. The filing described the transaction as a routine insider sale and noted that it did not indicate a broader shift in company fundamentals or strategy. No other developments were reported for the company on that date.
LOW TARGET
$49 -26.8%
1 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$104 +55.4%
11 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$140 +109.3%
7 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$49.00 - $140.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
4/9/4/1/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$112.30 (+67.9%)
Bought (1Y)
0 shares
$0
Sold (1Y)
950,826 shares
$67.6M
Blair Robert JamesSVP, General Counsel
Award/Grant75,000 shares2026-10-09
Chandran GirishCTO, SVP Engineering
Award/Grant45,000 shares2026-10-09
DANKBERG MARK DChairman and CEO
Award/Grant225,000 shares2026-10-09
FitzGerald Camellia EChief Accounting Officer
Award/Grant37,500 shares2026-10-09
Palmer Benjamin EdwardSVP, Pres Commercial
Award/Grant67,500 shares2026-10-09
63/ 100
Neutral / mixed
Overall: Neutral
✓Revenue growing year over year
✕Negative net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Net Margin
-0.7%
Revenue CAGR
12.5%
Current Ratio
2.41x
Debt / Equity
1.38x
Return on Equity
-0.7%

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$-0.08$-0.03$0.01$0.06$0.11Q3'25Q2'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'27$-0.01 - -
Q3'25$-0.06$0.09+250.0%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$1.1B$1.2B$1.2B$1.2B$1.2BQ3'25Q2'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'27$1.2B - -
Q3'25 - $1.1B -

Market Data

VSAT Stock Snapshot

BEARISH9/100
$65.55−$1.35 (2.0%)
Market cap
8.99B
Day range
$65.55 – $66.50
News sentiment
41/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$103.94 (+58.6%)
Consensus
Buy · 19 analysts
52-week range+126.2% off low · -29.5% from high
$28.98$93.03
Price $65.55 DailyIQ Est. $112.30

The signals on VSAT lean bearish, and the range position backs that up. Thinner liquidity means moves can extend past what the fundamentals alone justify.

Behaviour On Record

What VSAT's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
50.8% 64th pct
Below its peak
-31.0%
vs 200-day average
+8.0%
Up days (1y)
51%

ViaSat Inc. is currently running 50.8% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against VSAT's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 64th percentile — a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 40.7%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

VSAT is trading -31.0% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -33.4%, and the deepest was -75.6% in 2024. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +8.0% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 71st percentile — a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year VSAT closed higher on 51% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a falling streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, VSAT finished the month higher 8 of 13 times, with a median return of +1.6% and an average of +3.2%. Its strongest month historically has been July at +6.1% on average, its weakest September at -5.9%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: VSAT has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 302 of 3,267 sessions (9.2% of the time), with the largest gaps running +8.4% and -30.6%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-10-15 and 2026-10-13, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against VSAT's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of VSAT's sector?

ViaSat Inc. sits in the Consumer Discretionary sector, currently ranked 6th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).

Sector rank
#6 of 12
Sector state
Improving
Sector rotation score
55

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for VSAT?

CallsPuts

For ViaSat Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 2 days out), open interest is put-heavy, a defensive/bearish tilt (put/call ratio of 2.85), with at-the-money implied volatility around 6.3%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±0.5% move by that expiry — a range of about $66.95–$67.57.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16)
2.85
ATM implied volatility
6.3%
Total open interest
6,972
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±0.5% ($66.95–$67.57)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on VSAT?

Needham most recently reiterated its rating on ViaSat Inc. to Buy on Aug 5, 2026 with a price target of $105 (from $90). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
Needham — Buy
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Aug 5, 2026NeedhamMaintainedBuy$90 → $105
Jun 1, 2026NeedhamMaintainedBuy$58 → $90
May 29, 2026B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$94 → $106
Apr 28, 2026B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$52 → $94
Apr 8, 2026BarclaysUpgradeUnderweight → Equal-Weight$23 → $49
Mar 27, 2026NeedhamMaintainedBuy$45 → $58
Feb 9, 2026Deutsche BankUpgradeHold → Buy$36 → $48
Jan 21, 2026NeedhamReiteratedBuy$45
Nov 11, 2025JP MorganUpgradeNeutral → Overweight$23 → $50
Nov 11, 2025NeedhamMaintainedBuy$25 → $45
Oct 1, 2025BarclaysDowngradeEqual-Weight → Underweight$10 → $23
Aug 6, 2025JP MorganMaintainedNeutral$10 → $23

ETF holders

ETFs holding VSAT

News Sentiment Analysis

Sentiment gathered from recent headlines

41/100
Strong NegativeNeutralStrong Positive
BEARISH

Recent News Coverage

Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).

10+ articles
What did this article say?
On October 9, 2026, Viasat senior executive Craig Andrew Miller sold 11,893 shares of the company for $851,629, as disclosed in a Form 4 filing. The sale reduced his direct holdings to 41,570 shares, while his total control remained at 47,605 shares. The transaction was a routine insider sale and did not indicate a broader shift in company fundamentals or strategy.
What did this article say?
Shares of Viasat (VSAT) rose 9.1% on October 9 after Raymond James reaffirmed an Outperform rating and set a $107 price target. The brokerage highlighted the completion of the ViaSat‑3 constellation and projected EBITDA growth in the second half of 2026 and into 2027. It also noted a potential review of the Defense and Advanced Technologies unit, including a possible spin‑off, following the satellite deployments. The move reflects confidence in Viasat’s expanding satellite portfolio and future revenue prospects.
What did this article say?
In September 2026, Viasat Inc. won the U.S. Space Force’s MECS2 contract, awarding an initial $42 million task order under a seven‑year IDIQ with a $307 million ceiling to deliver fully managed global SATCOM services for the U.S. Marine Corps. The deal expands Viasat’s ViaSat‑3‑enabled Ka‑band network into secure, multi‑orbit government communications. The long‑term contract strengthens Viasat’s government revenue base and positions the company for future multi‑orbit managed‑services growth.
What did this article say?
Investors noted a surge in out‑of‑the‑money call options for ViaSat, indicating bullish sentiment. The activity is largely driven by speculation around a new cell‑phone partnership that could expand the company’s market reach. Analysts view the options spike as a potential early signal of a price rally, though the move remains unconfirmed and subject to market dynamics.
What did this article say?
Viasat (VSAT) has secured a $42 million task order under a seven‑year U.S. Marine Corps satellite communications contract, with a potential ceiling of $307 million. The deal expands VSAT’s existing Marine Corps SATCOM services to provide fully managed global satellite services across L‑, Ku‑ and Ka‑bands, including multi‑orbit connectivity, terminal services and partner networks. This contract strengthens VSAT’s government footprint and provides a steady revenue stream over the next several years, reinforcing its position in the defense satellite market.
What did this article say?
Viasat Inc. (VSAT) has been awarded a $42 million task order as part of a seven‑year, $307 million ceiling contract with the U.S. Marine Corps for multi‑orbit connectivity services. The award, administered through Inmarsat Government, Inc., expands VSAT’s presence in the U.S. Space Force commercial satellite market and reinforces its position as a key SATCOM provider for defense customers. The contract’s long‑term nature and high ceiling suggest a steady revenue stream and potential for future task orders. This development is likely to support VSAT’s earnings outlook and could lift investor sentiment toward the stock.
What did this article say?
Viasat announced that ViaSat‑3 F2 entered service across the Americas, completing its three‑satellite constellation. The new satellite delivers over one terabit per second, tripling the company’s global bandwidth capacity. Management highlighted beam‑forming technology that can target high‑traffic routes, potentially accelerating revenue generation. The deployment represents a significant infrastructure upgrade but depends on customer uptake to translate capacity into cash flow.
What did this article say?
ViaSat announced that its ViaSat-3 F2 satellite has begun operations across the Americas, adding more than one terabit per second of throughput. The new asset enhances network flexibility and resilience by using adaptive beamforming to target high‑demand flight routes, shipping lanes, and geographic hotspots. With F1 already live and F3 slated for Asia‑Pacific, the completed constellation will triple the company’s global bandwidth, positioning VSAT for increased commercial and defense demand.
What did this article say?
Viasat has activated its ViaSat-3 F2 satellite, completing the next‑generation constellation and markedly increasing network capacity, flexibility and resilience across the Americas. The new asset enhances the company’s ability to deliver advanced connectivity services, creating growth opportunities in key markets and improving network economics. This milestone confirms VSAT’s strategic expansion and positions it to capture higher‑value contracts in the region.
What did this article say?
Viasat’s new Equatys agreement is expected to generate construction‑phase revenue while the company maintains exposure to the completed satellite network. The deal is viewed as a modest tailwind that could lift earnings in the near term, though analysts still recommend a hold rating.

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

9
BEARISH
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Institutional & Hedge Fund Ownership
25 tracked managers · $4.53B combined position · 18 adding, 7 trimming, 0 unchanged (latest 13F filings)
ManagerTrendShares Held% of Co.Position ValueFiled
BlackRock, Inc.▲ Buy20,747,95715.44%$1.86B2026-08-07
Vanguard Group Inc▼ Sell16,763,54312.47%$577.67M2026-01-29
Geode Capital Management, LLC▲ Buy4,029,3923.00%$363.44M2026-08-12
Neuberger Berman Group LLC▼ Sell3,360,5082.50%$298.51M2026-08-13
Invesco Ltd.▲ Buy3,232,7022.41%$290.33M2026-08-14
Goldman Sachs Group Inc▲ Buy2,100,5941.56%$188.65M2026-08-14
Norges Bank▲ Buy1,558,5941.16%$139.98M2026-08-12
Northern Trust Corp▲ Buy1,495,5621.11%$134.32M2026-08-13
Bank of America Corp▲ Buy1,417,2451.05%$127.28M2026-08-14
Morgan Stanley▲ Buy1,225,4500.91%$110.06M2026-08-13
Citadel Advisors LLC▲ Buy665,9190.50%$59.81M2026-09-02
Oaktree Capital Management LP▲ New630,2800.47%$56.61M2026-08-14
FMR LLC (Fidelity)▲ Buy618,6170.46%$55.56M2026-08-13
Citigroup Inc▲ Buy468,1260.35%$42.04M2026-08-03
JPMorgan Chase & Co▼ Sell466,4110.35%$36.16M2026-08-12
AQR Capital Management LLC▼ Sell332,4280.25%$27.42M2026-08-14
Davidson Kempner Capital Management LP▲ New300,0000.22%$26.94M2026-08-14
Wellington Management Group LLP▲ Buy299,2100.22%$26.87M2026-08-14
Point72 Asset Management, L.P.▲ Buy242,2010.18%$21.75M2026-08-14
Wells Fargo & Company▲ Buy197,0820.15%$17.70M2026-08-14
D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc.▼ Sell176,4840.13%$15.85M2026-08-14
Prudential Financial Inc▼ Sell172,1100.13%$15.46M2026-08-12
Man Group plc▼ Sell143,7420.11%$12.91M2026-08-14
Susquehanna International Group, LLP▲ Buy135,5690.10%$12.18M2026-08-14
Bridgewater Associates, LP▲ Buy135,5170.10%$12.17M2026-08-14
Q2 2026 flow:5.11M sh bought ($459.35M)1.52M sh sold ($135.00M)net +3.59M sh (+$324.35M)
Congressional Trading Activity
4 disclosed trades · ~$123.5K est. traded value · 1 buys, 3 sells
MemberChamberStateTypeAmountTradedFiled
Jonathan JacksonHouseIL01▼ Sell$1K - $15K2026-08-282026-09-03
Jonathan JacksonHouseIL01▲ Buy$50K - $100K2026-01-222026-02-23
Debbie Wasserman SchultzHouseFL25▼ Sell$1K - $15K2025-07-182025-07-25
John HoevenSenateND▼ Sell$15K - $50K2016-12-222016-12-22