DailyIQ
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Last updated2 minutes ago

VSAT·ViaSat Inc.

$70.85
-3.53 (-4.75%)
Overnight$71.10+0.25 (+0.35%)
High
$73.65
Open
$72.19
Market Cap
9.99B
52W High
$93.03
Low
$69.29
P. Close
$70.85
P/E
-
52W Low
$28.98
Fwd P/E
424.16
DailyIQ Est.
$112.30
Inst. Ownership
3.7%
Short Interest
8.08%
Days to Cover
7.0
Technical Score (1D)
36
BEARISH
News Sentiment
80
BULLISH
On Oct 4, Viasat Inc. announced that its Inmarsat Government subsidiary had secured a $42 million task order under a seven‑year IDIQ contract with a $307 million ceiling for the U.S. Space Force MECS2 program. The award provides fully managed global SATCOM services for the U.S. Marine Corps, utilizing Viasat’s ViaSat‑3 Ka‑band network and 24/7 managed services. The deal deepens Viasat’s presence in secure, multi‑orbit government communications and supports its long‑term defense revenue growth thesis. The contract was reported as a significant expansion of Viasat’s government‑sector footprint.
LOW TARGET
$49 -30.9%
1 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$104 +46.7%
11 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$140 +97.5%
7 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$49.00 - $140.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
4/9/4/1/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$112.30 (+58.5%)
Bought (1Y)
0 shares
$0
Sold (1Y)
938,933 shares
$66.8M
Palmer Benjamin EdwardSVP, Pres Commercial
Sell2,000 shares2026-10-01
Chase Garrett L.SVP, Chief Financial Officer
Sell1,620 shares2026-09-21
Chase Garrett L.SVP, Chief Financial Officer
Sell2,380 shares2026-09-21
Blair Robert JamesSVP, General Counsel
Option Exercise15,620 shares2026-09-17
Blair Robert JamesSVP, General Counsel
Tax Withholding8,427 shares2026-09-17
View full insider trading history →
63/ 100
Neutral / mixed
Overall: Neutral
✓Revenue growing year over year
✕Negative net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Net Margin
-0.7%
Revenue CAGR
12.5%
Current Ratio
2.41x
Debt / Equity
1.38x
Return on Equity
-0.7%
View full financials →

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$-0.08$-0.03$0.01$0.06$0.11Q3'25Q2'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'27$-0.01 - -
Q3'25$-0.06$0.09+250.0%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$1.1B$1.2B$1.2B$1.2B$1.2BQ3'25Q2'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'27$1.2B - -
Q3'25 - $1.1B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
→

Market Data

VSAT Stock Snapshot

NEUTRAL36/100
$71.10+$0.25 (0.4%)
Market cap
9.99B
Day range
$69.29 – $73.65
News sentiment
80/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$103.94 (+46.2%)
Consensus
Buy · 19 analysts
52-week range+145.3% off low · -23.6% from high
$28.98$93.03
Price $71.10 DailyIQ Est. $112.30

Momentum has flattened on VSAT, leaving the next move dependent on news rather than the chart. Thinner liquidity means moves can extend past what the fundamentals alone justify.

Behaviour On Record

What VSAT's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
53.5% 66th pct
Below its peak
-28.0%
vs 200-day average
+14.7%
Up days (1y)
51%

ViaSat Inc. is currently running 53.5% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against VSAT's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 66th percentile — a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 40.6%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

VSAT is trading -28.0% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -33.4%, and the deepest was -75.6% in 2024. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +14.7% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 80th percentile — a wider gap than this stock usually carries. Over the past year VSAT closed higher on 51% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, VSAT finished the month higher 8 of 13 times, with a median return of +2.1% and an average of +3.3%. Its strongest month historically has been July at +6.1% on average, its weakest September at -5.9%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: VSAT has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 300 of 3,267 sessions (9.2% of the time), with the largest gaps running +8.4% and -30.6%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-10-07 and 2026-10-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against VSAT's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of VSAT's sector?

ViaSat Inc. sits in the Consumer Discretionary sector, currently ranked 6th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).

Sector rank
#6 of 12
Sector state
Improving
Sector rotation score
55

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for VSAT?

CallsPuts

For ViaSat Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 8 days out), open interest is put-heavy, a defensive/bearish tilt (put/call ratio of 2.54), with at-the-money implied volatility around 72.5%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±9.7% move by that expiry — a range of about $65.06–$79.04.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16)
2.54
ATM implied volatility
72.5%
Total open interest
5,858
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±9.7% ($65.06–$79.04)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on VSAT?

Needham most recently reiterated its rating on ViaSat Inc. to Buy on Aug 5, 2026 with a price target of $105 (from $90). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
Needham — Buy
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Aug 5, 2026NeedhamMaintainedBuy$90 → $105
Jun 1, 2026NeedhamMaintainedBuy$58 → $90
May 29, 2026B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$94 → $106
Apr 28, 2026B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$52 → $94
Apr 8, 2026BarclaysUpgradeUnderweight → Equal-Weight$23 → $49
Mar 27, 2026NeedhamMaintainedBuy$45 → $58
Feb 9, 2026Deutsche BankUpgradeHold → Buy$36 → $48
Jan 21, 2026NeedhamReiteratedBuy$45
Nov 11, 2025JP MorganUpgradeNeutral → Overweight$23 → $50
Nov 11, 2025NeedhamMaintainedBuy$25 → $45
Oct 1, 2025BarclaysDowngradeEqual-Weight → Underweight$10 → $23
Aug 6, 2025JP MorganMaintainedNeutral$10 → $23

Held by These ETFs

VSAT is a top holding in these ETFs tracked on DailyIQ — bar length shows portfolio weight.

News Sentiment Analysis

Sentiment gathered from recent headlines

80/100
Strong NegativeNeutralStrong Positive
BULLISH

Recent News Coverage

Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).

10+ articles
What did this article say?
In September 2026, Viasat Inc. won the U.S. Space Force’s MECS2 contract, awarding an initial $42 million task order under a seven‑year IDIQ with a $307 million ceiling to deliver fully managed global SATCOM services for the U.S. Marine Corps. The deal expands Viasat’s ViaSat‑3‑enabled Ka‑band network into secure, multi‑orbit government communications. The long‑term contract strengthens Viasat’s government revenue base and positions the company for future multi‑orbit managed‑services growth.
What did this article say?
Investors noted a surge in out‑of‑the‑money call options for ViaSat, indicating bullish sentiment. The activity is largely driven by speculation around a new cell‑phone partnership that could expand the company’s market reach. Analysts view the options spike as a potential early signal of a price rally, though the move remains unconfirmed and subject to market dynamics.
What did this article say?
Viasat (VSAT) has secured a $42 million task order under a seven‑year U.S. Marine Corps satellite communications contract, with a potential ceiling of $307 million. The deal expands VSAT’s existing Marine Corps SATCOM services to provide fully managed global satellite services across L‑, Ku‑ and Ka‑bands, including multi‑orbit connectivity, terminal services and partner networks. This contract strengthens VSAT’s government footprint and provides a steady revenue stream over the next several years, reinforcing its position in the defense satellite market.
What did this article say?
Viasat Inc. (VSAT) has been awarded a $42 million task order as part of a seven‑year, $307 million ceiling contract with the U.S. Marine Corps for multi‑orbit connectivity services. The award, administered through Inmarsat Government, Inc., expands VSAT’s presence in the U.S. Space Force commercial satellite market and reinforces its position as a key SATCOM provider for defense customers. The contract’s long‑term nature and high ceiling suggest a steady revenue stream and potential for future task orders. This development is likely to support VSAT’s earnings outlook and could lift investor sentiment toward the stock.
What did this article say?
Viasat announced that ViaSat‑3 F2 entered service across the Americas, completing its three‑satellite constellation. The new satellite delivers over one terabit per second, tripling the company’s global bandwidth capacity. Management highlighted beam‑forming technology that can target high‑traffic routes, potentially accelerating revenue generation. The deployment represents a significant infrastructure upgrade but depends on customer uptake to translate capacity into cash flow.
What did this article say?
ViaSat announced that its ViaSat-3 F2 satellite has begun operations across the Americas, adding more than one terabit per second of throughput. The new asset enhances network flexibility and resilience by using adaptive beamforming to target high‑demand flight routes, shipping lanes, and geographic hotspots. With F1 already live and F3 slated for Asia‑Pacific, the completed constellation will triple the company’s global bandwidth, positioning VSAT for increased commercial and defense demand.
What did this article say?
Viasat has activated its ViaSat-3 F2 satellite, completing the next‑generation constellation and markedly increasing network capacity, flexibility and resilience across the Americas. The new asset enhances the company’s ability to deliver advanced connectivity services, creating growth opportunities in key markets and improving network economics. This milestone confirms VSAT’s strategic expansion and positions it to capture higher‑value contracts in the region.
What did this article say?
Viasat’s new Equatys agreement is expected to generate construction‑phase revenue while the company maintains exposure to the completed satellite network. The deal is viewed as a modest tailwind that could lift earnings in the near term, though analysts still recommend a hold rating.
What did this article say?
Viasat’s $400 million commitment to the Equatys satellite venture is intended to monetize its scarce L‑ and S‑band spectrum, but analysts argue the current share price already reflects most of that value. The deal is seen as a strategic move to enable direct‑to‑device satellite communication, yet the incremental upside is considered limited in the short term. With a Hold rating, the consensus is that further upside would require significant additional value creation beyond the current spectrum economics.
What did this article say?
Viasat’s stock has surged 197% over three years, but analysts question whether future cash flows can justify the current valuation. The company’s new Equatys venture with Space42, backed by up to $1 billion in equity, may provide long‑term satellite infrastructure funding, yet the timing of returns remains uncertain. A 2.1x price‑to‑sales ratio suggests a more modest valuation, highlighting a potential disconnect between market expectations and discounted cash flow estimates.

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

36
BEARISH
Technical indicators reflect the latest computed signal mix for this timeframe.
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Institutional & Hedge Fund Ownership
1 tracked managers · $466.73M combined position · 0 adding, 0 trimming, 1 unchanged (latest 13F filings)
ManagerTrendShares Held% of Co.Position ValueFiled
Citadel Advisors LLC• Hold5,196,8193.70%$466.73M2026-09-02
Q2 2026 flow:5.20M sh bought ($466.73M)0 sh sold ($0)net +5.20M sh (+$466.73M)
View full institutional holdings history →
Congressional Trading Activity
4 disclosed trades · ~$123.5K est. traded value · 1 buys, 3 sells
MemberChamberStateTypeAmountTradedFiled
Jonathan JacksonHouseIL01▼ Sell$1K - $15K2026-08-282026-09-03
Jonathan JacksonHouseIL01▲ Buy$50K - $100K2026-01-222026-02-23
Debbie Wasserman SchultzHouseFL25▼ Sell$1K - $15K2025-07-182025-07-25
John HoevenSenateND▼ Sell$15K - $50K2016-12-222016-12-22
View full congressional trading history →

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