WSO|Analyst Targets
WSO|Company Info
WSO|Fundamentals
WSO|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4'26 | $1.90 | - | - |
| Q3'26 | $4.14 | $3.77 | -9.0% |
| Q2'26 | $4.39 | $4.00 | -8.8% |
| Q4'25 | $1.90 | $1.68 | -11.6% |
| Q4'24 | $2.19 | $2.37 | +8.2% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4'26 | $1.8B | - | - |
| Q3'26 | $2.2B | $2.2B | -0.6% |
| Q2'26 | $2.2B | $2.1B | -3.0% |
| Q4'25 | $1.6B | $1.6B | -3.6% |
| Q4'24 | - | $1.8B | - |
WSO|Monthly Returns
Market Data
WSO Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 12.59B
- P/E ratio
- 26.8
- Day range
- $301.25 – $314.65
- News sentiment
- 80/100 · Bullish
- Analyst target
- $347.70 (+13.3%)
- Consensus
- Hold · 23 analysts
The chart on WSO has not stabilised: price is in the lower half of its 52-week range and the trend is still down. In Industrials, names this size usually take direction from sector flows before company-level news.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into WSO?
At today's price, Watsco, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 7.6% a year for 3 years, slowing to a long-run rate by year 10, to justify its valuation at a 8.14% cost of capital. Over the last five years its revenue has trended at 3.4% a year, so the market is asking for 4.2 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis WSO looks priced above what its own growth record supports.
- Implied FCF growth
- 7.6%
- Growth trend
- 3.4%
- Growth gap
- +4.2 pts
- Verdict
- RICH
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 8.14%
- Beta
- 0.80
Behaviour On Record
What WSO's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 41.2% 93rd pct
- Below its peak
- -44.7%
- vs 200-day average
- -13.9%
- Up days (1y)
- 48%
Watsco, Inc. is currently running 41.2% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against WSO's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 93rd percentile — an extreme by its own standards, against a typical reading of 22.7%.
WSO is trading -44.7% below its running peak. Across 13 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -16.7%, and the deepest was -39.0% in 2025. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began, and where past declines also continued.
Price sits -13.9% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 7th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year WSO closed higher on 48% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.
On November specifically: over 13 years of records, WSO finished the month higher 8 of 13 times, with a median return of +0.7% and an average of +2.6%. Its strongest month historically has been June at +2.7% on average, its weakest December at -0.9%.
Overnight risk is measurable too: WSO has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 82 of 3,268 sessions (2.5% of the time), with the largest gaps running +10.7% and -12.7%.
Across the last 3 dated reports on file, WSO moved an average of 2.2% in the session after earnings, closing higher 0 of those 3 times, with a median move of -2.6% and a largest of -3.3%.
All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-11-06 and 2026-11-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against WSO's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of WSO's sector?
Watsco, Inc. sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 8th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (weakening).
- Sector rank
- #8 of 12
- Sector state
- Weakening
- Sector rotation score
- 27
Analyst Consensus Estimates
What do analysts expect WSO to earn?
Analysts expect Watsco, Inc. to earn $11.50 per share in the fiscal year ending Dec 2026 and $19.80 in the fiscal year ending Dec 2029, from 2 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.
Revenue marked ~ is our calculation from the EPS estimate, not analyst consensus.
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on WSO?
Mizuho most recently reiterated its rating on Watsco, Inc. to Neutral on Oct 15, 2026 with a price target of $325 (from $350). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.
- Latest action
- Mizuho: Neutral
- 90-day upgrades
- 0
- 90-day downgrades
- 0
- Net rating momentum
- 0
Earnings Release, Scored
What did Watsco, Inc.'s latest earnings release say?
Most important lines
- 1
These legendary companies are expected to bolster annual revenue by approximately 10% and broaden Watsco’s geographic reach, product mix, as well as end-market and customer mix.
New this quarter - 2
Gross profit increased 3% to a record $586 million
New this quarter - 3
Looking ahead, Watsco today is a meaningfully larger company, having added 107 locations and $730 million in annualized revenue to our network through the acquisitions of Jackson and Granite.
New this quarter
Peers & ETF holders
WSO peers & ETF holders
Industrial DistributionMarket cap · today
News & sentiment
What is the news saying about WSO?
WSO rose 6.8% over the month to Nov 6. News tone held between 0 and 96 from Oct 7 to Oct 16, then jumped to 75 on Oct 20.
- Oct 22 +7.2%same day: Watsco Completes $750 Million Unsecured Senior Credit Facility
- Oct 26 -4.6%same day: Watsco (WSO) to report earnings tomorrow: here is what to expect
- Nov 2 +4.3%same day: Watsco: A Great Opportunity For Long-Term Dividend Growth Investors
Technical analysis
How strong is WSO's momentum right now?
On the daily chart WSO ranks at the 18th percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a bearish reading.
Institutional ownership
Are big funds buying or selling WSO?
84 of the 175 tracked managers added to WSO in their latest 13F and 84 trimmed. Together they own 72.2% of the company, worth $12.1B. BlackRock and Capital International Investors alone hold 18.7%.
- 1BlackRock, Inc.10.21%$1.7B positionAdded 2.5% last quarter
- $1.5B positionAdded 0.2% last quarter
- $792.7M positionAdded 0.2% last quarter
- $737.8M positionAdded 1.1% last quarter
- 5FMR LLC (Fidelity)4.15%$710.6M positionTrimmed 9.8% last quarter
- $658.1M positionAdded 0.7% last quarter
- $607.9M positionAdded 8.9% last quarter
- 8State Street Corp3.22%$551.3M positionAdded 3.9% last quarter
- $472.7M positionTrimmed 14.7% last quarter
- 10Baillie Gifford & Co2.75%$470.7M positionTrimmed 0.7% last quarter
Congressional trading
Is Congress trading WSO?
2 members of Congress disclosed 4 WSO trades between Oct 29, 2024 and Sep 23, 2025: 2 buys and 2 sells, about $32.0K in estimated value.
What stands out
Click one to highlight its trades in the chartDiscover more
How has WSO done against its peers?
Over the six months to Nov 6, WSO returned −29.1%. Of the 15 related stocks and ETFs, 12 did better, led by MMM at +26.6%.
- 1MMM3M Companyup 26.6%+55.7 pts
- 2DEDeere & Companyup 13.6%+42.8 pts
- 3ITWIllinois Tool Works Inc.up 8.7%+37.8 pts
- 4WABWestinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporationup 3.3%+32.4 pts
- 5PHParker-Hannifin Corporationup 1.1%+30.2 pts
- 6AMEAMETEK, Inc.down 6.1%+23.0 pts
- 7JCIJohnson Controls International plcdown 6.2%+22.9 pts
- 8XLIIndustrial Select Sector SPDR Funddown 8.1%+21.0 pts
- 13WSOThis stockdown 29.1%
- 16CATCaterpillar Inc.down 40.0%−10.9 pts