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LII·Lennox International, Inc.

$354.73
-10.90 (-2.98%)
High
$360.62
Open
$359.46
Market Cap
12.43B
52W High
$587.27
Low
$352.79
P. Close
$354.73
P/E
15.65
52W Low
$350.22
Fwd P/E
14.05
DailyIQ Est.
$475.23
Inst. Ownership
2.9%
Short Interest
6.17%
Days to Cover
4.2
Technical Score (1D)
14
BEARISH
News Sentiment
30
BEARISH
On Oct 5, Jefferies lowered its price target for Lennox International from $450 to $390 while maintaining a hold rating. The downgrade was based on a reassessment of the company’s valuation relative to peers and market expectations. Jefferies cited a weaker earnings outlook and competitive pressures as the main reasons for the lower target. The move signals a modest negative view for Lennox International’s near‑term upside potential. The firm’s rating change is expected to influence short‑term investor sentiment.
LOW TARGET
$375 +5.7%
2 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$473 +33.2%
15 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$600 +69.1%
7 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$375.00 - $600.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
4/5/12/2/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$475.23 (+34.0%)
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Building Products & Equipment
Exchange
NYQ
Country
United States
Website
Symbol
LII
Description
Lennox International is a global provider of climate control solutions, specializing in the design, manufacture, and marketing of heating, ventilation, air conditioning, and refrigeration (HVACR) products. The company operates through two primary segments: Home Comfort Solutions, which caters to residential needs with a diverse portfolio of furnaces, air conditioners, and related equipment, and Building Climate Solutions, which serves commercial and industrial clients with applied systems and refrigeration solutions. Lennox's value proposition centers on delivering comprehensive HVACR offerings under various brand names, reaching customers through direct sales, distribution networks, and company-owned stores. Founded in 1895, the company maintains a strong competitive position by providing a wide range of products and services to meet the diverse climate control requirements of both residential and commercial customers across the United States, Canada, and international markets.
Bought (1Y)
0 shares
$0
Sold (1Y)
0 shares
$0
NORRIS JOHN W III-
Gift8,988 shares2026-08-06
NORRIS JOHN W III-
Gift990 shares2026-05-28
Somasundaram Sivasankaran-
D343 shares2026-05-26
Somasundaram Sivasankaran-
Award/Grant343 shares2026-05-21
NORRIS JOHN W III-
Award/Grant343 shares2026-05-21
72/ 100
Bullish
Overall: Bullish
✕Revenue declining year over year
✓Positive net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Gross Margin
33.4%
Net Margin
15.5%
Revenue CAGR
2.5%
Current Ratio
1.60x
Debt / Equity
1.00x
Return on Equity
69.3%
Earnings Summary
Lennox International is a global provider of climate control solutions, offering HVACR products through its Home Comfort and Building Climate segments. The company operates in the industrial building products and equipment sector, a space that balances seasonal demand with long‑term infrastructure investment. In Q1 2025 Lennox reported $1.0726 billion in revenue and $3.37 EPS, beating estimates of $3.25262; however, Q1 2026 revenue and EPS data are not yet available, and Q2 2026 revenue fell to $1.5453 billion from an estimate of $1.5794 billion, while EPS of $7.72 narrowly surpassed the $7.69878 estimate. Historically, Lennox has shown a YoY revenue growth trend that has been relatively flat, with Q2 2026 revenue slightly below forecast, yet EPS growth has been robust, indicating a pattern of earnings resilience amid modest revenue volatility. Recent analyst commentary has seen a downward revision of price targets from $450 to $390 by Jefferies and from $444 to $392 by Deutsche Bank, reflecting a more cautious valuation outlook; these moves suggest that while the company’s earnings have been solid, market sentiment is leaning toward a conservative assessment of future upside.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$2.51$3.98$5.46$6.93$8.40Q1'25Q2'26Q1'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'26$3.19 - -
Q2'26$7.70$7.72+0.3%
Q1'25$3.25$3.37+3.6%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$992M$1.2B$1.3B$1.5B$1.7BQ1'25Q2'26Q1'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'26$1.1B - -
Q2'26$1.6B$1.5B-2.2%
Q1'25 - $1.1B -

Market Data

LII Stock Snapshot

BEARISH14/100
$354.73−$10.90 (3.0%)
Market cap
12.43B
P/E ratio
15.7
Day range
$352.79 – $360.62
News sentiment
30/100 · Bearish
Analyst target
$472.64 (+33.2%)
Consensus
Hold · 24 analysts
52-week range+1.3% off low · -39.6% from high
$350.22$587.27
Price $354.73 DailyIQ Est. $475.23

LII's technical picture is under pressure, with momentum working against price. In Industrials, names this size usually take direction from sector flows before company-level news.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into LII?

FAIR

At today's price, Lennox International, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 12.0% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 9.54% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 12.2% a year, so the market is asking for 0.2 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis LII looks priced roughly in line with its own growth record.

Implied FCF growth
12.0%
Historical FCF CAGR
12.2%
Growth gap
-0.2 pts
Verdict
FAIR
Discount rate (WACC)
9.54%
Beta
0.98

Behaviour On Record

What LII's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
23.8% 48th pct
Below its peak
-45.1%
vs 200-day average
-23.4%
Up days (1y)
48%

Lennox International, Inc. is currently running 23.8% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against LII's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 48th percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 24.2%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

LII is trading -45.1% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -16.6%, and the deepest was -40.9% in 2022. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -23.4% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 3rd percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year LII closed higher on 48% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, LII finished the month higher 9 of 13 times, with a median return of +1.0% and an average of +3.0%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +5.2% on average, its weakest September at -3.1%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: LII has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 113 of 3,268 sessions (3.5% of the time), with the largest gaps running +10.7% and -15.7%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-10-07 and 2026-10-06, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against LII's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of LII's sector?

Lennox International, Inc. sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 8th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).

Sector rank
#8 of 12
Sector state
Improving
Sector rotation score
18

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for LII?

CallsPuts

For Lennox International, Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 9 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.84), with at-the-money implied volatility around 44.2%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±6.7% move by that expiry — a range of about $330.45–$377.69.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16)
0.84
ATM implied volatility
44.2%
Total open interest
404
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±6.7% ($330.45–$377.69)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on LII?

Wells Fargo most recently initiated coverage on Lennox International, Inc. to Equal-Weight on Sep 25, 2026 with a price target of $424. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 1 downgrade, a net bearish lean.

Latest action
Wells Fargo — Equal-Weight
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
1
Net rating momentum
-1
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 25, 2026Wells FargoInitiatedEqual-Weight$424
Sep 14, 2026Deutsche BankDowngradeBuy → Hold$609 → $444
Sep 3, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedUnderweight$450 → $375
Jul 31, 2026Goldman SachsMaintainedBuy$625 → $547
Jul 30, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedSector Perform$579 → $469
Apr 30, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedSector Perform$485 → $579
Apr 30, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$600 → $597
Apr 30, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedEqual-Weight$480 → $555
Apr 14, 2026BNP ParibasInitiatedNeutral$535
Apr 1, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$667 → $600
Apr 1, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedEqual-Weight$560 → $480
Mar 5, 2026OppenheimerMaintainedOutperform$630 → $645

LII Competitive Positioning

Lennox International, Inc. (LII) is tracked alongside these names in Building Products & Equipment on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.

News Sentiment Analysis

Sentiment gathered from recent headlines

30/100
Strong NegativeNeutralStrong Positive
BEARISH

Recent News Coverage

Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).

10+ articles
What did this article say?
Jefferies reduced Lennox International’s (LII) price target from $450 to $390 while keeping its hold recommendation. The downgrade reflects a reassessment of LII’s valuation relative to peers and market expectations. The firm cited weaker earnings outlook and competitive pressures as reasons for the lower target. The move signals a modest negative view for LII’s near‑term upside potential. The rating change is expected to influence short‑term investor sentiment.
What did this article say?
Lennox International (LII) was highlighted for meeting the Caviar Cruise quality criteria, demonstrating robust return on invested capital and healthy cash generation. The company’s earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) growth further reinforced its operational strength. These metrics suggest a solid investment case for quality-focused investors. The analysis positioned LII as a resilient player in the HVAC and refrigeration market. No immediate catalysts or risks were identified in the brief.
What did this article say?
It positioned Lennox as a stable investment option compared to more dynamic peers. The piece also identified Kroger (KR) as a stock to avoid, citing flat sales and lower margins. Overall, the recommendation suggested Lennox as a suitable choice for investors seeking steady performance.
What did this article say?
Deutsche Bank reduced its price target for Lennox International (LII) from $444 to $392 while keeping a hold rating. The adjustment reflects a reassessment of the company’s valuation relative to its peers. The new target suggests a more cautious outlook on LII’s future earnings potential. The change is unlikely to trigger immediate trading activity but may influence analyst coverage. The downgrade aligns with broader market sentiment toward the industrial equipment sector.
What did this article say?
Lennox International (LII) has lagged behind the broader industrial sector over the past year, according to recent analysis. Despite the underperformance, analysts expressed cautious optimism about the company’s future prospects. The assessment suggests that while current performance is weaker, there may be underlying factors that could support a rebound.
What did this article say?
Wells Fargo analyst Stephen Tusa began coverage of Lennox International (LII) on September 25, assigning an Equal‑Weight rating. The firm set a $424 price target, implying a bullish outlook relative to current market levels. The coverage launch signals confidence in LII’s growth prospects and may influence investor sentiment. No immediate earnings or operational updates were disclosed, but the rating and target suggest a positive view of the company’s fundamentals. The announcement is likely to attract additional analyst attention and could support LII’s share price.
What did this article say?
Lennox International inaugurated a new training and experience center in Fort Lauderdale to tackle the industry’s skilled labor deficit. The 6,000‑sq‑ft facility supports the National Account Services division and offers structured career paths, including a Build‑A‑Tech apprenticeship that has trained nearly 1,600 technicians since 2016. The move underscores LII’s strategy to secure a talent pipeline for future growth.
What did this article say?
Deutsche Bank has downgraded Lennox International (LII) to Hold, maintaining a $444 price target while the stock trades about 20% below that level. The downgrade reflects concerns over the Home Comfort segment, where unit shipments fell 12% and revenue dropped 7%, pushing the recovery timeline into 2027. Management has lowered full‑year EPS guidance to $23‑$24, citing the weaker residential demand. The commercial Building Climate Solutions arm remains strong with 24% revenue growth, but the overall outlook is muted until U.S. residential HVAC volumes rebound.
What did this article say?
Lennox’s board approved a $1.36 per share quarterly cash dividend, payable October 15, 2026 to shareholders of record as of September 30, 2026. The dividend reflects the company’s steady cash flow and commitment to returning value to investors. It does not alter guidance or operational plans, but provides a predictable income stream for income‑focused investors.

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

14
BEARISH
Technical indicators reflect the latest computed signal mix for this timeframe.
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Institutional & Hedge Fund Ownership
2 tracked managers · $575.29M combined position · 0 adding, 2 trimming, 0 unchanged (latest 13F filings)
ManagerTrendShares Held% of Co.Position ValueFiled
Geode Capital Management, LLC▼ Sell863,3782.46%$492.76M2026-08-12
Neuberger Berman Group LLC▼ Sell144,0430.41%$82.53M2026-08-13
Q2 2026 flow:0 sh bought ($0)63.1K sh sold ($36.05M)net -63.1K sh (−$36.05M)