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ADP·Automatic Data Processing, Inc.

$307.14
+3.60 (+1.19%)
Pre-Market
High
$310.17
Open
$305.51
Market Cap
121.67B
52W High
$310.98
Low
$296.84
P. Close
$307.14
P/E
26.89
52W Low
$188.16
Fwd P/E
22.70
DailyIQ Est.
$296.30
Inst. Own.
73.3%
Short Interest
2.53%
Days to Cover
6.3
Div. Yield
2.19%
Next Ex-Div
~Dec 11
Div. Growth
42+ yrs
NewEarnings release, scored · filed Oct 28, 2026tone -10.5 vs prior release · 89 lines scoredSee the breakdown
Technical Score (1D)
42
BEARISH
News Sentiment
64
BULLISH
On Nov 5, Automatic Data Processing reported first‑quarter revenue of $5.49 billion and net income of $1.13 billion, both exceeding expectations, and announced a partnership with PNC Bank that embeds ADP’s payroll and HR solutions into the bank’s small‑business digital platform. The same day, the company’s October payroll data highlighted 86,000 new private‑sector jobs and accelerated wage growth, reinforcing the relevance of its employment statistics to client decision‑making. On Nov 5, analysts noted that ADP’s share price had risen sharply over the past five years, prompting a debate about whether the current valuation accurately reflects the company’s cash‑flow prospects, especially in light of recent AI‑driven tools and the PNC partnership. On Nov 4, ADP director Carlos A. Rodriguez sold 2,631 shares for $797,634 under a Rule 10b5‑1 trading plan, a routine insider transaction that did not indicate a change in management’s view of the company’s prospects. These developments collectively underscore ADP’s strong financial performance, strategic partnerships, and the ongoing discussion among investors about the company’s valuation.
LOW TARGET
$250 -17.1%
2 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$298 -1.2%
16 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$340 +12.7%
5 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$250.00 - $340.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
3/4/14/1/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$296.30 (-1.8%)
Sector
Technology
Industry
Software - Application
Exchange
NMS
Country
United States
Website
Symbol
ADP
Description
ADP is a global provider of cloud-based human capital management (HCM) solutions, serving businesses worldwide. The company's core business revolves around two primary segments: Employer Services and Professional Employer Organization (PEO) Services. Employer Services offers a suite of cloud-based platforms and HR outsourcing solutions, including RUN Powered by ADP for small businesses, ADP Workforce Now for mid-sized and large enterprises, and ADP Lyric HCM, a comprehensive HCM solution. The PEO Services segment, operating under the ADP TotalSource brand, provides HR and employment administration outsourcing through a co-employment model, offering guidance, technology, and comprehensive employee benefits. Founded in 1949 and headquartered in Roseland, New Jersey, ADP focuses on streamlining HR processes and offering comprehensive services to its clients.
Bought (1Y)
0 shares
$0
Sold (1Y)
150,829.877 shares
$43.0M
Lehberger Jonathan SCorp. VP
Sell770 shares2026-11-04
Rodriguez Carlos A-
Sell455 shares2026-11-04
Rodriguez Carlos A-
Sell288 shares2026-11-04
Rodriguez Carlos A-
Sell280 shares2026-11-04
Rodriguez Carlos A-
Sell228 shares2026-11-04
64/ 100
Neutral / mixed
Overall: Neutral
✓Revenue growing year over year
✓Positive net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Gross Margin
46.4%
Net Margin
20.1%
Revenue CAGR
5.3%
Current Ratio
1.05x
Debt / Equity
0.82x
Return on Equity
73.2%

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$2.30$2.60$2.91$3.21$3.51Q3'25Q4'25Q3'26Q4'26Q1'27Q2'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'27$2.94 - -
Q1'27$2.79$2.82+0.9%
Q4'26$2.60$2.64+1.6%
Q3'26$3.30$3.37+2.3%
Q4'25$2.57$2.62+2.0%
Q3'25$2.44$2.49+1.9%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$5.1B$5.3B$5.6B$5.8B$6.1BQ3'25Q4'25Q3'26Q4'26Q1'27Q2'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'27$5.7B - -
Q1'27$5.5B$5.5B-0.7%
Q4'26$5.5B$5.5B-0.3%
Q3'26$5.8B$5.9B+1.6%
Q4'25$5.3B$5.4B+0.4%
Q3'25 - $5.2B -

Market Data

ADP Stock Snapshot

NEUTRAL42/100
$296.84−$13.33 (4.3%)
Market cap
121.67B
P/E ratio
26.9
Day range
$296.84 – $310.17
News sentiment
64/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$297.93 (+0.4%)
Consensus
Hold · 23 analysts
52-week range+57.8% off low · -4.5% from high
$188.16$310.98
Price $296.84 DailyIQ Est. $296.30

ADP ranks mid-pack on momentum, neither leading nor lagging its peers by much. The stock is liquid enough that positioning changes get absorbed without distorting the trend.

Behaviour On Record

What ADP's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
24.8% 72nd pct
Below its peak
-7.1%
vs 200-day average
+25.9%
Up days (1y)
49%

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. is currently running 24.8% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against ADP's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 72nd percentile — a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 18.4%.

ADP is trading -7.1% below its running peak. Across 13 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -17.7%, and the deepest was -39.8% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +25.9% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 100th percentile — a wider gap than this stock usually carries. Over the past year ADP closed higher on 49% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On November specifically: over 13 years of records, ADP finished the month higher 10 of 13 times, with a median return of +5.8% and an average of +5.8%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +5.8% on average, its weakest September at -1.8%.

Overnight risk is measurable too: ADP has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 97 of 3,267 sessions (3.0% of the time), with the largest gaps running +10.4% and -10.3%.

Across the last 4 dated reports on file, ADP moved an average of 1.3% in the session after earnings, closing higher 0 of those 4 times, with a median move of -1.2% and a largest of -3.0%.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-11-06 and 2026-11-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against ADP's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of ADP's sector?

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. sits in the Software sector, currently ranked 11th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging). Within its narrower Software industry group, ADP ranks 12th of 15 tracked industries, lagging.

Sector rank
#11 of 12
Sector state
Lagging
Sector rotation score
18
Industry rank
#12 of 15

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for ADP?

CallsPuts

For Automatic Data Processing, Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-11-06, 0 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.28), with at-the-money implied volatility around 12.5%.

Put/call ratio (2026-11-06)
0.28
ATM implied volatility
12.5%
Total open interest
125

Analyst Consensus Estimates

What do analysts expect ADP to earn?

Analysts expect Automatic Data Processing, Inc. to earn $12.36 per share in the fiscal year ending Jun 2027 and $14.86 in the fiscal year ending Jun 2029, from 3 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.

Quarter endingEPS estimateEPS rangeEPS analystsRevenue estimateRevenue analysts
Dec 2026$2.92$2.84 to $3.0115$5.68B13
Mar 2027$3.72$3.55 to $3.8115$6.30B13
Sep 2027$3.06$3.01 to $3.093~$5.56B-
Dec 2027$3.21$3.16 to $3.273~$5.84B-
Fiscal year endingEPS estimateEPS rangeEPS analystsRevenue estimateRevenue analysts
Jun 2027$12.36$12.25 to $12.4218$23.28B15
Jun 2028$13.53$13.15 to $13.6718$24.62B16
Jun 2029$14.86$14.58 to $15.173~$27.02B-

Revenue marked ~ is our calculation from the EPS estimate, not analyst consensus.

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on ADP?

Cantor Fitzgerald most recently reiterated its rating on Automatic Data Processing, Inc. to Overweight on Oct 30, 2026 with a price target of $336 (from $310). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
Cantor Fitzgerald: Overweight
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Oct 30, 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainedOverweight$310 → $336
Oct 29, 2026CitigroupMaintainedNeutral$287 → $295
Oct 29, 2026RBC CapitalReiteratedSector Perform$290
Oct 29, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedEqual-Weight$286 → $288
Oct 29, 2026GuggenheimReiteratedBuy$340
Oct 29, 2026StifelMaintainedHold$285 → $305
Oct 28, 2026JefferiesMaintainedUnderperform$225 → $250
Oct 23, 2026GuggenheimMaintainedBuy$300 → $340
Aug 5, 2026Cantor FitzgeraldReiteratedOverweight$310
Aug 3, 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainedOverweight$295 → $310
Jul 30, 2026CitigroupMaintainedNeutral$230 → $287
Jul 30, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedEqual-Weight$240 → $286

Earnings Release, Scored

What did Automatic Data Processing, Inc.'s latest earnings release say?

Filed Oct 28, 2026 · SEC Form 8-K, Exhibit 99

Tone72.1/ 100-10.5 vs prior release
Hedging words0.50per 100 words+0.24 vs prior release
Tone, last 3 releasesScale 50–88

Most important lines

  1. 1

    Revenues increased 6% compared to last year's first quarter to $5.5 billion; 6% organic constant currency

    New this quarter
  2. 2

    We enter the rest of fiscal 2027 well positioned to build on our current momentum."

    New this quarter
  3. 3

    Revenue growth of about 6%

    New this quarter

Peers & ETF holders

ADP peers & ETF holders

News & sentiment

What is the news saying about ADP?

ADP rose 15.0% over the month to Nov 6. News tone held between 36 and 82 from Oct 6 to Oct 20, then jumped to 69 on Oct 21.

Daily close and news tone, Oct 6 to Nov 6
$260$280$300Oct 6: tone 46Oct 7: tone 50Oct 8: tone 56Oct 9: tone 50Oct 12: tone 83Oct 13: tone 53Oct 14: tone 52Oct 15: tone 82Oct 16: tone 71Oct 19: tone 65Oct 20: tone 36Oct 21: tone 69Oct 22: tone 74Oct 23: tone 62Oct 26Oct 27: tone 53Oct 28: tone 67Oct 29: tone 56Oct 30: tone 52Nov 2: tone 60Nov 3: tone 56Nov 4: tone 56Nov 5: tone 70Nov 6Oct 6News toneNov 6123
  1. Oct 14 +2.8%same day: Insights Into Automatic Data Processing's Performance Versus Peers In Professional Services Sector
  2. Oct 22 +4.6%same day: Automatic Data Processing’s Quarterly Earnings Preview: What You Need to Know
  3. Nov 2 +2.6%same day: Argus Adjusts Price Target on Automatic Data Processing to $330 From $300

Technical analysis

How strong is ADP's momentum right now?

On the daily chart ADP ranks at the 42nd percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a neutral reading.

Momentum rank by timeframe0 = weakest, 100 = strongest
See what drives the rankThe inputs behind each timeframe's momentum rank, plus RSI, stochastics, Bollinger Bands and moving averages. Free with an account.

Institutional ownership

Are big funds buying or selling ADP?

91 of the 219 tracked managers added to ADP in their latest 13F and 123 trimmed. Together they own 73.3% of the company, worth $66.8B. BlackRock and Vanguard Capital Management alone hold 15.4%.

91adding123trimming5unchanged
Largest holders by stake, latest 13FBar = share of ADP
  1. $8.1B positionAdded 1.9% last quarter
  2. $5.8B positionTrimmed 0.2% last quarter
  3. $4.6B positionAdded 5.5% last quarter
  4. $3.0B positionAdded 60.5% last quarter
  5. $2.9B positionAdded 10.1% last quarter
  6. $2.7B positionTrimmed 0.3% last quarter
  7. $2.4B positionTrimmed 4.6% last quarter
  8. $2.2B positionTrimmed 0.7% last quarter
  9. $1.9B positionAdded 30.8% last quarter
  10. $1.9B positionTrimmed 3.3% last quarter
Full holdings history

Congressional trading

Is Congress trading ADP?

14 members of Congress disclosed 24 ADP trades between Jan 13, 2015 and Jul 30, 2026: 13 buys and 11 sells, about $584.5K in estimated value.

BuysSells201620182020202220242026
BuySell$1K–$15K$15K–$50K$50K–$100K$100K–$250K

What stands out

Click one to highlight its trades in the chart

Discover more

How has ADP done against its peers?

Over the six months to Nov 6, ADP returned +45.6%. Of the 15 related stocks and ETFs, none did better.

Change since May 6, through Nov 6
−50%0%+50%+100%May 6JunJulAugSepOctNov 6ADP +45.6%KEYS −27.1%