TYL·Tyler Technologies, Inc.

Realized volatility (21d)

49.1% 95th pct

Below its peak

-47.8%

vs 200-day average

-4.2%

Up days (1y)

49%

Tyler Technologies, Inc. is currently running 49.1% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against TYL's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 95th percentile — an extreme by its own standards, against a typical reading of 24.6%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

TYL is trading -47.8% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -20.9%, and the deepest was -45.0% in 2022. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -4.2% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 24th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year TYL closed higher on 49% of sessions, and it is currently 4 sessions into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, TYL finished the month higher 5 of 13 times, with a median return of -1.6% and an average of -1.2%. Its strongest month historically has been July at +3.7% on average, its weakest February at -1.8%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: TYL has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 127 of 3,269 sessions (3.9% of the time), with the largest gaps running +7.0% and -10.6%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, TYL moved an average of 5.5% in the session after earnings, closing higher 0 of those 3 times, with a median move of -5.2% and a largest of -7.1%.

All figures computed from 3,270 daily closes between 2013-09-19 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against TYL's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.