DailyIQ
Last updatedUpdating…

AEM·Agnico Eagle Mines Limited

$197.46
-2.90 (-1.45%)
High
$199.15
Open
$193.50
Market Cap
138.63B
52W High
$260.02
Low
$192.93
P. Close
$197.46
P/E
17.01
52W Low
$134.38
Fwd P/E
16.04
DailyIQ Est.
$235.48
Inst. Ownership
0.0%
Short Interest
0.84%
Days to Cover
1.7
Technical Score (1D)
50
NEUTRAL
News Sentiment
66
BULLISH
Agnico Eagle’s latest earnings outlook, released 47 hours ago, projects a 13.4 % year‑over‑year rise in quarterly EPS to $2.45 and a 15.5 % increase in revenue to $3.53 billion, a sharp lift that should support the stock’s upward momentum over the next week or two. The forecast comes after the company posted record free‑cash flow in Q2 and reaffirmed a 20‑30 % growth outlook for the full year, reinforcing its status as a leading gold producer. Because the guidance is already priced into the market, the immediate market implication is a modest tailwind for AEM, with traders likely to hold positions until the earnings release confirms the revisions. In the days ahead, watch for any updates on cost‑control initiatives, as rising operating costs have previously threatened to erode the gains from higher gold prices. The company’s recent divestiture of the Delta and Helm Bay projects to Vizsla Copper, completed in September, will not affect earnings immediately but could alter the balance sheet by providing a 20 % equity stake in a developing copper project, offering a secondary source of upside if copper prices stay above $75. Monitor the closing of that transaction in Q4 2026 for potential liquidity injections and the impact on AEM’s asset mix. Institutional buying activity—Carmignac Gestion’s purchase of 113,584 shares and Nykredit A S’s addition of 207,092 shares—signals continued confidence and may support short‑term liquidity, so keep an eye on subsequent filings for any shift in ownership concentration. Finally, the broader gold mining sector’s 10.6 % gain and AEM’s 9.4 % monthly return suggest a favorable environment, but the stock remains sensitive to gold price volatility and interest‑rate expectations, so watch the Fed’s policy stance and any changes in gold spot prices for potential catalysts.
Earnings Summary
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited is a Canadian gold mining company that explores, develops, and produces precious metals across Canada, Australia, Finland, and Mexico, with additional exploration activities in North and South America and Europe. Operating in the basic materials sector, the firm focuses on gold while also extracting silver, copper, and zinc, positioning it within the broader gold mining industry. In Q2 2025, Agnico Eagle reported earnings per share of $1.94, surpassing the $1.80 estimate and achieving a 57 % year‑over‑year beat, while revenue reached $2.82 billion, slightly below consensus; the company’s cash costs rose to $1,054 per ounce, reflecting higher input prices. The following quarter, Q3 2025, lacks reported EPS and revenue figures, but guidance for Q2 2026 indicates an EPS estimate of $2.91 and a revenue estimate of $3.83 billion, suggesting a continued upward trajectory in earnings and top‑line growth. Historically, Agnico Eagle has maintained a consistent pattern of beating earnings estimates in multiple consecutive quarters, with revenue growth persisting even when EPS misses occur, underscoring its operational efficiency and cost control. Recent news highlights a strong Q2 earnings beat and a 57 % YoY EPS increase, coupled with a revenue miss that signals potential margin pressure; the company’s inclusion on the Best Dividend screen and a private placement of Radisson Mining units for C$57.16 million add layers of dividend stability and exploration upside, though execution risk remains. Investors should watch for guidance revisions in the next earnings cycle, particularly any updates on production forecasts or cost‑control initiatives, as these will directly influence valuation swings; monitoring gold price movements and the status of the Radisson deal will also be key to assessing Agnico Eagle’s near‑term trajectory.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$1.65$1.98$2.32$2.66$2.99Q2'25Q3'25
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'25$2.84 - -
Q2'25$1.80$1.94+7.5%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$2.6B$3.0B$3.5B$3.9B$4.3BQ2'25Q3'25
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'25$4.1B - -
Q2'25 - $2.8B -

Market Data

AEM Stock Snapshot

HOLD50/100
$197.46$2.90 (1.4%)
Market cap
138.63B
P/E ratio
17.0
Day range
$192.93 – $199.15
News sentiment
66/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$214.89 (+8.8%)
Consensus
Buy · 22 analysts
52-week range+46.9% off low · -24.1% from high
$134.38$260.02
Price $197.46 DailyIQ Est. $235.48

AEM is in a holding pattern - neither trend nor momentum has taken control. Earnings and guidance carry more weight than macro data at this capitalisation.

Behaviour On Record

What AEM's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
59.1% 94th pct
Below its peak
-22.8%
vs 200-day average
+4.3%
Up days (1y)
53%

Agnico Eagle Mines Limited is currently running 59.1% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against AEM's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 94th percentile an extreme by its own standards, against a typical reading of 36.0%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

AEM is trading -22.8% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -35.7%, and the deepest was -48.0% in 2014. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +4.3% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 53rd percentile close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year AEM closed higher on 53% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, AEM finished the month higher 6 of 13 times, with a median return of -0.6% and an average of -2.7%. Its strongest month historically has been April at +5.9% on average, its weakest February at -4.0%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: AEM has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 270 of 3,267 sessions (8.3% of the time), with the largest gaps running +15.1% and -10.4%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-09-16 and 2026-09-14, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against AEM's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of AEM's sector?

Agnico Eagle Mines Limited sits in the Materials sector, currently ranked 7th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging).

Sector rank
#7 of 11
Sector state
Lagging
Sector rotation score
20

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for AEM?

CallsPuts

For Agnico Eagle Mines Limited's nearest expiry (2026-09-18, 4 days out), open interest is roughly balanced between puts and calls (put/call ratio of 0.88), with at-the-money implied volatility around 49.7%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±5.1% move by that expiry — a range of about $187.27–$207.45.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-18)
0.88
ATM implied volatility
49.7%
Total open interest
22,102
Expected move by 2026-09-18
±5.1% ($187.27–$207.45)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on AEM?

JP Morgan most recently reiterated its rating on Agnico Eagle Mines Limited to Neutral on Aug 3, 2026 with a price target of $179 (from $175). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 1 upgrade against 0 downgrades, a net bullish lean.

Latest action
JP MorganNeutral
90-day upgrades
1
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
+1
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Aug 3, 2026JP MorganMaintainedNeutral$175 → $179
Jul 21, 2026JP MorganMaintainedNeutral$222 → $175
Jul 16, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$210 → $188
Jul 14, 2026ScotiabankMaintainedSector Outperform$278 → $260
Jul 9, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedSector Perform$230 → $210
Jul 9, 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$302 → $240
Jul 6, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$213 → $210
Jul 6, 2026JefferiesUpgradeHold → Buy$187 → $200
Jun 30, 2026UBSMaintainedNeutral$210 → $170
May 26, 2026CIBCMaintainedOutperformer$304 → $310
May 22, 2026BarclaysInitiatedOverweight$213
May 4, 2026JP MorganMaintainedNeutral$220 → $222

AEM Competitive Positioning

Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM) is tracked alongside these names in Gold on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.