AMH·American Homes 4 Rent Common Shares of Beneficial Interest

Realized volatility (21d)

15.1% 23rd pct

Below its peak

-29.7%

vs 200-day average

-3.2%

Up days (1y)

48%

American Homes 4 Rent Common Shares of Beneficial Interest is currently running 15.1% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against AMH's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 23rd percentile — unusually subdued by its own history, against a typical reading of 19.1%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

AMH is trading -29.7% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -16.7%, and the deepest was -38.2% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -3.2% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 27th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year AMH closed higher on 48% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 14 years of records, AMH finished the month higher 6 of 14 times, with a median return of -1.0% and an average of -0.8%. Its strongest month historically has been April at +3.0% on average, its weakest September at -3.9%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: AMH has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 111 of 3,267 sessions (3.4% of the time), with the largest gaps running +17.1% and -35.7%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-10-15 and 2026-10-14, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against AMH's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.