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Last updated3 minutes ago

APTV·Aptiv PLC

$47.95
+1.42 (+3.05%)
Market Closed (Overnight)$47.95+0.00 (+0.00%)
High
$48.24
Open
$46.55
Market Cap
9.63B
52W High
$78.49
Low
$46.06
P. Close
$47.95
P/E
43.80
52W Low
$44.52
Fwd P/E
7.16
DailyIQ Est.
$68.98
Inst. Ownership
45.4%
Short Interest
4.64%
Days to Cover
1.5
Technical Score (1D)
18
SELL
News Sentiment
51
MIXED
Aptiv’s Q2 2026 earnings, released 28 hours ago, beat consensus by 14.8 % on adjusted EPS, driven by stronger operating profitability and lower interest expense, yet revenue fell 1.4 % short of expectations, tempering enthusiasm for the near‑term. The earnings surprise was followed by a sharp sell‑off that pushed the stock to a 52‑week low 87 hours ago, a move largely attributed to broader market weakness, higher rates, and price‑cut pressure across the auto‑tech sector. In the same week, Aptiv cut its 2026 outlook, citing China schedule cuts, launch delays, and software timing pressures that will dampen second‑half revenue growth and margin expansion. The guidance downgrade, coupled with a 10 % cut to current‑year earnings estimates, has prompted a Zacks Strong‑Sell rating and a downward revision of the consensus price target to $70.61. Analysts remain divided: some highlight the company’s low valuation and recent margin gains as upside, while others point to execution risk, cash‑flow constraints, and a tightening automotive demand environment as significant headwinds. Insider activity offers a counterpoint, with CEO Kevin P. Clark and board member Sean O. Mahoney each purchasing shares in August, signaling management confidence in a recovery. Investors should watch the upcoming earnings release for confirmation of the revised guidance, any updates on China market strategy, and progress on autonomous‑driving and software‑centric initiatives that could mitigate margin pressure. The next 1–10 trading days will likely see volatility as the market digests the earnings beat, revenue miss, and outlook cut, while also reacting to macro‑rate dynamics that continue to weigh on the auto‑tech space.
Earnings Summary
Aptiv PLC is a global automotive technology company that designs and produces critical vehicle components and systems, operating primarily through electrical architecture solutions and advanced safety and user‑experience technologies. The company serves automotive and commercial vehicle manufacturers worldwide, positioning itself within the broader auto parts sector as a key supplier of wiring harnesses, connectors, and cloud‑native software platforms for autonomous driving and connectivity. In the most recent quarters, Aptiv reported EPS of $1.75 in Q4 2024, beating the $1.64713 estimate, and $1.69 in Q1 2025, surpassing the $1.53463 forecast, while revenue remained steady at $4.907 billion and $4.825 billion respectively. Q2 2025 saw EPS rise to $2.12 against an estimate of $1.8311, with revenue climbing to $5.208 billion, and Q3 2025 maintained EPS at $2.17 versus $1.82694, with revenue at $5.212 billion. However, Q4 2025 EPS dipped to $1.86 below the $1.8885 estimate, and revenue fell to $5.153 billion from the $5.198 billion estimate, indicating a slight deceleration. Q1 2026 EPS of $1.71 beat the $1.51838 estimate, but revenue surged to $5.086 billion against a $3.303 billion estimate, reflecting a significant upside. Historically, Aptiv has shown a YoY revenue growth trajectory that has been largely positive, with EPS generally beating estimates in the last four quarters, except for Q4 2025 where it missed. The company has maintained consistent revenue growth even when EPS misses occur, suggesting resilience in top‑line performance. Recent news highlights a price‑target cut of 11.10% to $70.61, reflecting analyst concerns over earnings misses and a broader automotive demand slowdown, and a partnership with Nvidia to deepen support for the Jetson Orin Nano 2, which could drive future AI‑centric revenue. These developments underscore market sensitivity to earnings performance and potential upside from new AI product launches. Investors should watch for Aptiv’s next quarterly guidance on revenue and margin trends, particularly how the company plans to navigate tightening automotive demand and capitalize on its AI partnership. Key will be any updates on cost‑cutting initiatives, supply‑chain adjustments, and capital allocation that could influence short‑term cash flow and long‑term growth prospects.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$1.21$1.48$1.75$2.02$2.30Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$1.33 - -
Q2'26$1.46$1.63+11.6%
Q1'26$1.52$1.71+12.6%
Q4'25$1.89$1.86-1.5%
Q3'25$1.83$2.17+18.8%
Q2'25$1.83$2.12+15.8%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$2.9B$3.6B$4.2B$4.9B$5.5BQ2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$3.2B - -
Q2'26$3.4B$3.3B-3.2%
Q1'26$3.3B$5.1B+53.9%
Q4'25$5.2B$5.2B-0.9%
Q3'25 - $5.2B -
Q2'25 - $5.2B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
→

Market Data

APTV Stock Snapshot

SELL18/100
$47.95+$0.00 (0.0%)
Market cap
9.63B
P/E ratio
43.8
Day range
$46.06 – $48.24
News sentiment
51/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$66.61 (+38.9%)
Consensus
Buy · 31 analysts
52-week range+7.7% off low · -38.9% from high
$44.52$78.49
Price $47.95 DailyIQ Est. $68.98

APTV is on the weaker side of its setup, with little confirmation for a reversal yet. Company-specific news dominates here; sector-level flows matter less than for larger names.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into APTV?

CHEAP

At today's price, Aptiv PLC needs to grow free cash flow about -15.0% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 7.01% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 1.5% a year, so the market is asking for 16.6 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis APTV looks priced below what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
-15.0%
Historical FCF CAGR
1.5%
Growth gap
-16.6 pts
Verdict
CHEAP
Discount rate (WACC)
7.01%
Beta
1.00

Behaviour On Record

What APTV's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
37.6% 74th pct
Below its peak
-69.2%
vs 200-day average
-24.0%
Up days (1y)
49%

Aptiv PLC is currently running 37.6% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against APTV's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 74th percentile — a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 30.2%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

APTV is trading -69.2% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -30.8%, and the deepest was -65.2% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -24.0% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 6th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year APTV closed higher on 49% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a rising streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, APTV finished the month higher 8 of 13 times, with a median return of +1.4% and an average of -0.4%. Its strongest month historically has been May at +3.8% on average, its weakest March at -4.4%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: APTV has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 250 of 3,268 sessions (7.6% of the time), with the largest gaps running +9.5% and -11.2%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, APTV moved an average of 2.1% in the session after earnings, closing higher 2 of those 3 times, with a median move of +0.4% and a largest of +3.9%.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-09-05 and 2026-09-03, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against APTV's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of APTV's sector?

Aptiv PLC sits in the Consumer Discretionary sector, currently ranked 10th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging).

Sector rank
#10 of 11
Sector state
Lagging
Sector rotation score
0

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for APTV?

CallsPuts

For Aptiv PLC's nearest expiry (2026-09-18, 27 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.57), with at-the-money implied volatility around 54.7%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±13.0% move by that expiry — a range of about $39.49–$51.29.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-18)
0.57
ATM implied volatility
54.7%
Total open interest
8,428
Expected move by 2026-09-18
±13.0% ($39.49–$51.29)

APTV Competitive Positioning

Aptiv PLC (APTV) is tracked alongside these names in Auto Parts on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.

Held by These ETFs

APTV is a top holding in these ETFs tracked on DailyIQ — bar length shows portfolio weight.