DailyIQ
Last updated 9 minutes ago

GPC·Genuine Parts Company

$.
+. (+.%)
High
$127.76
Open
$124.91
Market Cap
17.40B
52W High
$151.57
Low
$124.61
P. Close
$124.27
P/E
289.53
52W Low
$90.78
Fwd P/E
14.80
DailyIQ Est.
$134.93
Technical Score (1D)
91
BUY
News Sentiment
47
MIXED
Oil prices spiked after President Trump’s statement on the Iran ceasefire, pushing crude above $75 and raising gasoline costs, which in turn increased auto‑loan rates and dampened demand for higher‑margin trucks and SUVs, leading to a broader market sell‑off that weighed on GPC; watch for further volatility as bond yields and consumer sentiment remain sensitive to Middle East tensions. Analysts note GPC’s limited upside, with only a 4.7% return over six months, a 3.1% CAGR in long‑term revenue growth, and flat same‑store sales, indicating weak demand that could constrain earnings momentum; watch for any signs of demand recovery in the automotive and industrial segments. DA Davidson lifted its price target to $150 and upgraded GPC to overweight, citing stronger earnings prospects and a favorable competitive position, which could buoy investor sentiment; watch for the company’s upcoming earnings release to see if guidance aligns with the new target. GPC’s recent rally, driven by a cash offer for its NAPA auto parts division, has left the stock still undervalued per DCF and multiples, suggesting potential upside if the market fully incorporates the automotive prospects; watch for valuation adjustments as the deal progresses. O’Reilly Automotive’s reported offer for GPC’s auto parts division signals a material corporate action that could reshape GPC’s revenue mix; watch for board acceptance and regulatory approvals. Bloomberg estimates the auto unit could be worth $10 bn or more, with the sale announcement expected by late summer, which could unlock shareholder value and alter GPC’s earnings profile; watch for final valuation and terms. The upcoming Q2 2026 earnings preview anticipates steady performance, with analysts focusing on revenue growth, gross margin, and EPS guidance, which will confirm whether the company can sustain its recent rally; watch the earnings call for any deviations from historical trends. GPC’s recent trading activity shows significant intraday swings, suggesting short‑term enthusiasm that may not be fully supported by fundamentals; watch for intraday price action and overnight news that could confirm or reverse the trend. The market’s reaction to O’Reilly’s cash bid underscores the importance of the potential spin‑off, but the outcome will depend on the deal’s completion and GPC’s decision to retain or divest the unit; watch for any updates on the bid’s progress. With the Q2 2026 earnings release scheduled for July 21, investors should prepare for a detailed review of GPC’s performance, as the call will likely address the impact of the auto unit sale and the company’s cost‑control initiatives; watch the conference call for guidance on future earnings trajectory.
Earnings Summary
Genuine Parts Company is a leading distributor of automotive and industrial replacement parts, operating through its Automotive Parts Group and Industrial Parts Group, and is known for its NAPA brand. The company serves both professional repair shops and do‑it‑yourself customers, positioning it within the Consumer Cyclical sector and Auto Parts industry. In Q1 2026 Genuine Parts reported EPS of $1.77, up from $1.55 in Q4 2025, while revenue rose to $6.26 B from $6.01 B, reflecting a rebound after a dip in Q4 2025. Q2 2026 guidance projects EPS of $2.07 and revenue of $6.50 B, indicating continued growth momentum. Across the most recent four quarters, the company beat estimates in Q4 2024, Q1 2025, and Q2 2025, missed in Q3 2025 and Q4 2025, and then beat again in Q1 2026, showing a mixed but generally upward trend. Revenue growth has been steady, with a 1.6 % increase from Q4 2024 to Q1 2025, a 5.3 % jump to Q2 2025, and a 1.5 % rise to Q3 2025 before a 3.1 % decline in Q4 2025, followed by a 4.2 % rebound in Q1 2026. Year‑over‑year, Genuine Parts has maintained a modest upward trajectory in revenue, while EPS has fluctuated, reflecting the impact of cost‑cutting initiatives and restructuring costs. The company’s pattern of beating estimates in the first three quarters of the cycle, missing in the last two, and then rebounding in Q1 2026 underscores the effectiveness of its margin‑expansion strategy. Analysts have highlighted a planned spin‑off of the motion business by Q1 2027 and cost‑reduction initiatives within the NAPA division as key catalysts for unlocking value. The spin‑off is expected to separate high‑margin, growth‑oriented motion assets from the core distribution unit, potentially improving earnings visibility and capital allocation. Investors should watch the Q2 2026 earnings release for guidance on the progress of the spin‑off, updates on NAPA cost‑cutting, and any changes in gross‑margin trends, as well as supply‑chain dynamics that could influence automotive aftermarket demand.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$1.47$1.65$1.83$2.00$2.18Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$2.07 - -
Q1'26$1.75$1.77+1.3%
Q4'25$2.00$1.55-22.7%
Q3'25$1.99$1.98-0.5%
Q2'25$2.07$2.10+1.6%
Q1'25$1.68$1.75+4.2%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$5.8B$6.0B$6.2B$6.4B$6.6BQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$6.5B - -
Q1'26$6.2B$6.3B+1.6%
Q4'25$6.2B$6.0B-2.7%
Q3'25 - $6.3B -
Q2'25 - $6.2B -
Q1'25 - $5.9B -

Market Data

GPC Stock Snapshot

GPC is currently trading at $127.64, giving Genuine Parts Company a market cap of 17.40B and a P/E ratio of 289.5. Today's range spans $124.61–$127.76, with shares opening at $124.91 and moving up $3.37 (2.7%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 91/100 (BUY) with a news sentiment reading of 47/100.

Over the past year GPC has traded between $90.78 and $151.57 - the current price is +40.6% off the 52-week low and -15.8% from the high. 20 analysts cover the stock with a Hold consensus and a mean 12-month target of $134.00 (range $124.00–$145.00), implying upside of +5.0%.

In the Consumer Cyclical peer group, Genuine Parts Company (GPC) stands out for a BUY signal backed by aligned sentiment - score 91/100, sentiment neutral at 47/100, price $127.64 (in the middle of its 52-week range). (P/E: 289.5) With 17.40B in market cap, this is large enough to feature on institutional watch lists but small enough to re-rate meaningfully on a positive earnings surprise. The 52-week span of $90.78–$151.57 shows the stock has already proven it can make significant moves.

What makes GPC's BUY setup (91/100) particularly actionable at 17.40B in Consumer Cyclical capitalization is the scale-to-move ratio: large enough to feature on institutional mandates but not so large that the percentage upside is already compressed by index inertia. At $127.64 (in the middle of its 52-week range in $90.78–$151.57), with sentiment running neutral at 47/100, the setup rewards conviction-sized positioning more than it does speculative small bets.