ATI Inc. (ATI) Stock Price, News, Analysis

Technical Score (1D)

SELL

News Sentiment

BULLISH

ATI’s most recent update comes from its appearance at Morgan Stanley’s Laguna Conference, where management highlighted new aerospace acquisitions and supply‑chain resilience. The company’s share price has dipped in the short term, but year‑to‑date performance remains strong, suggesting a potential 8 % undervaluation relative to its long‑term aerospace exposure. This implies that the market may be underpricing the firm’s future contract pipeline, creating a buying window for the next 1–10 trading days. The conference presentation itself offered no new financial guidance or material changes to the outlook, so the primary catalyst remains the implied undervaluation rather than a fresh earnings announcement. In the broader sector context, the aerospace group beat revenue consensus by 1.9 % and projected a 5.5 % lift for the next quarter, underscoring a generally positive industry backdrop. ATI’s specialized materials for commercial and military aircraft position it to benefit from this upward trend, but its specific earnings figures remain undisclosed, leaving a gap in concrete performance data. Traders should monitor ATI’s upcoming earnings release for actual revenue and margin numbers, as well as any confirmation of the new acquisitions’ impact on contract volumes. Additionally, watch for any shifts in the sector’s demand drivers—such as defense spending or commercial airline recovery—that could amplify ATI’s exposure. Finally, keep an eye on supply‑chain resilience updates, as any disruption could quickly erode the perceived upside.

ATI|Analyst Targets

LOW TARGET

$245 +27.9%

2 analysts

MEAN TARGET

$260 +35.6%

7 analysts

HIGH TARGET

$275 +43.5%

8 analysts

PRICE RANGE

$245.00 - $275.00

SB / B / H / S / SS

3/10/2/1/1

DAILYIQ EST.

$263.12 (+37.3%)

ATI|Company Info

Sector

Industrials

Industry

Metal Fabrication

Exchange

NYQ

Country

United States

Website

atimaterials.com

Symbol

ATI

Description

ATI Inc. is a global manufacturer specializing in advanced materials and complex components. The company's operations are divided into two primary segments, focusing on high-performance materials and advanced alloys. ATI offers a diverse portfolio of products, including titanium and nickel-based alloys, superalloys, and metallic powders, which are available in various forms such as long product forms, precision forgings, and rolled strip products. These materials are crucial for a wide range of industries, including aerospace and defense, medical, energy, and transportation. By providing specialized materials solutions, ATI aims to serve critical industries and maintain a strong position in the global market.

ATI|Insider Trading

Bought (1Y)

0 shares

Sold (1Y)

243,329 shares

$47.6M

Harris Timothy JSenior VP and CDIO

Sell16,500 shares2026-09-14

Harris Timothy JSenior VP and CDIO

Sell16,500 shares2026-09-08

Morehouse David J-

Sell2,485 shares2026-09-02

Harris Timothy JSenior VP and CDIO

Sell16,500 shares2026-08-31

Harris Timothy JSenior VP and CDIO

Sell16,500 shares2026-08-24

ATI|Fundamentals

Bullish

Verdict: Bullish

✓Revenue growing year over year

✓Positive net margin

✓Positive operating cash flow

Gross Margin

22.0%

Net Margin

8.8%

Revenue CAGR

-1.0%

Current Ratio

2.66x

Debt / Equity

0.97x

Return on Equity

22.4%

ATI|Earnings Snapshot

Earnings Summary

ATI Inc. is a global manufacturer of advanced materials and complex components, focusing on high‑performance alloys and metallic powders for aerospace, defense, medical, energy and transportation sectors. Operating in the industrials metal fabrication space, ATI supplies titanium, nickel‑based superalloys and precision forgings that are critical to high‑tech applications. In Q1 2025 the company reported EPS of $0.72 versus an estimate of $0.59, with revenue of $1.144 billion, a 4.3% increase from the prior year’s $1.094 billion. Q1 2026 EPS rose to $1.00 against an estimate of $0.89, while revenue dipped to $1.151 billion from the $1.198 billion forecast, indicating a slight revenue slowdown but continued earnings growth. Q2 2026 saw EPS of $1.23 beating the $1.05 estimate and revenue of $1.261 billion surpassing the $1.230 billion estimate, showing a rebound in top‑line performance. Across the last four quarters ATI has consistently beat EPS estimates, with a 100% beat rate, while revenue has trended upward overall despite a temporary dip in Q1 2026. Historically, ATI has maintained double‑digit YoY revenue growth for the past three years, with EPS growth outpacing revenue growth, reflecting efficient cost management and margin expansion. Recent news highlights the company’s CEO speaking at a major conference, emphasizing aerospace opportunities, and Zacks naming ATI an efficient stock for September 2026, underscoring strong receivables turnover and asset utilization; these developments reinforce investor confidence in ATI’s operational discipline. Going forward, investors should watch for any new guidance or contract announcements that could confirm whether the efficiency gains translate into higher revenue or margin expansion, monitor insider activity for sentiment shifts, and assess how broader sector cost dynamics may impact ATI’s working‑capital advantage.

Read full report

EPS

EstBeatMiss

Qtr	Est	Actual	+/−
Q3'26	$1.37	-	-
Q2'26	$1.05	$1.23	+17.3%
Q1'26	$0.89	$1.00	+12.4%
Q1'25	$0.59	$0.72	+21.7%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss

Qtr	Est	Actual	+/−
Q3'26	$1.3B	-	-
Q2'26	$1.2B	$1.3B	+2.5%
Q1'26	$1.2B	$1.2B	-3.9%
Q1'25	-	$1.1B	-

Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context

→

ATI|Monthly Returns

Market Data

ATI Stock Snapshot

HOLD41/100

$191.63−$0.14 (0.1%)

Market cap: 26.09B
P/E ratio: 54.8
Day range: $182.99 – $192.34
News sentiment: 62/100 · Bullish
Analyst target: $259.89 (+35.6%)
Consensus: Buy · 17 analysts

52-week range+155.4% off low · -21.3% from high

$75.02$243.57

Price $191.63 DailyIQ Est. $263.12

Neither side has the upper hand on ATI right now, and the indicator set reflects that. Earnings and guidance carry more weight than macro data at this capitalisation.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into ATI?

RICH

At today's price, ATI Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 54.2% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 10.85% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 1.6% a year, so the market is asking for 52.6 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis ATI looks priced above what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth: 54.2%
Historical FCF CAGR: 1.6%
Growth gap: +52.6 pts
Verdict: RICH
Discount rate (WACC): 10.85%
Beta: 1.26

Behaviour On Record

What ATI's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d): 38.3% 37th pct
Below its peak: -17.3%
vs 200-day average: +18.0%
Up days (1y): 54%

ATI Inc. is currently running 38.3% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against ATI's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 37th percentile — on the quiet side for this stock, against a typical reading of 43.0%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

ATI is trading -17.3% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -35.4%, and the deepest was -74.5% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +18.0% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 68th percentile — a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year ATI closed higher on 54% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, ATI finished the month higher 7 of 13 times, with a median return of +3.8% and an average of -0.8%. Its strongest month historically has been February at +13.4% on average, its weakest March at -5.1%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: ATI has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 377 of 3,266 sessions (11.5% of the time), with the largest gaps running +10.7% and -16.1%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,267 daily closes between 2013-09-23 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against ATI's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of ATI's sector?

ATI Inc. sits in the Materials sector, currently ranked 7th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging).

Sector rank: #7 of 11
Sector state: Lagging
Sector rotation score: 20

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for ATI?

CallsPuts

For ATI Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 25 days out), open interest is put-heavy, a defensive/bearish tilt (put/call ratio of 2.58), with at-the-money implied volatility around 53.7%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±13.2% move by that expiry — a range of about $162.75–$212.25.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16): 2.58
ATM implied volatility: 53.7%
Total open interest: 7,551
Expected move by 2026-10-16: ±13.2% ($162.75–$212.25)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on ATI?

Keybanc most recently reiterated its rating on ATI Inc. to Overweight on Aug 12, 2026 with a price target of $258 (from $211). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action: Keybanc — Overweight
90-day upgrades: 0
90-day downgrades: 0
Net rating momentum: 0

Date	Firm	Action	Rating	Price target
Aug 12, 2026	Keybanc	Maintained	Overweight	$211 → $258
Aug 7, 2026	Susquehanna	Maintained	Positive	$215 → $265
Aug 7, 2026	BTIG	Maintained	Buy	$180 → $270
Jul 13, 2026	TD Cowen	Maintained	Buy	$170 → $210
Jul 9, 2026	Susquehanna	Maintained	Positive	$185 → $215
Jun 30, 2026	Keybanc	Maintained	Overweight	$175 → $211
May 4, 2026	Keybanc	Maintained	Overweight	$167 → $175
May 1, 2026	JP Morgan	Maintained	Overweight	$150 → $175
May 1, 2026	BTIG	Maintained	Buy	$165 → $180
Apr 10, 2026	Susquehanna	Maintained	Positive	$155 → $185
Apr 9, 2026	Keybanc	Maintained	Overweight	$140 → $167
Apr 1, 2026	Wells Fargo	Initiated	Overweight	$175

Held by These ETFs

ATI is a top holding in these ETFs tracked on DailyIQ — bar length shows portfolio weight.

News Sentiment Analysis

Sentiment gathered from recent headlines

62/100

Strong NegativeNeutralStrong Positive

MODERATELY BULLISH

Recent News Coverage

Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).

10+ articles

What did this article say?

ATI Inc. maintains a Hold rating with a $190 fair value, citing solid execution and a growing defense backlog, including a $1B naval nuclear contract. The company’s advanced alloys and solutions margins have risen due to a favorable aerospace/defense mix and tight hafnium/zirconium supply, though margin pressure could mount if Chinese export controls ease. Commercial jet engine sales account for 40% of revenue, with strong backlog visibility, while airframe demand remains sluggish. The upside hinges on future congressional defense funding and a rebound in airframe orders, but the market has largely priced in 2027 growth expectations.

What did this article say?

ATI Inc. is under scrutiny as analysts question whether the company’s current share price is justified by its cash flow generation. The firm’s strong five‑year share price gain has led to a heightened focus on whether cash conversion improvements can sustain the valuation. While ATI has been investing in higher‑value materials, the lack of a clear, material upside may temper investor enthusiasm. The analysis suggests that the market may be pricing the stock too aggressively relative to cash flow fundamentals. Investors should monitor upcoming earnings for cash flow metrics and any guidance on capital allocation.

What did this article say?

ATI is positioning itself to benefit from a resurgence in aerospace demand, with management set to discuss this exposure at the upcoming Morgan Stanley Laguna Conference. The company has recently completed acquisitions that broaden its product portfolio and strengthen its supply chain resilience. While short‑term share price volatility has been noted, longer‑term performance remains robust, with a year‑to‑date return exceeding 50%. Investors should monitor the conference for confirmation of aerospace revenue projections and any updates on cost‑control initiatives.

What did this article say?

ATI Inc. (ATI) participated in Morgan Stanley’s 14th Annual Laguna Conference, with CEO Kim Fields and CFO Rob Rengel presenting. The session focused on general company updates and forward‑looking statements, with no new financial guidance or material developments disclosed. The remarks were largely routine, emphasizing existing business strategy and risk factors. No immediate catalysts or changes to outlook were announced.

What did this article say?

ATI’s Q2 results are evaluated alongside 15 other aerospace stocks, providing context for its performance relative to peers. The sector as a whole beat revenue estimates by 1.9% and projected a 5.5% revenue lift for the next quarter, indicating a generally positive outlook. ATI’s specialized materials for commercial and military aircraft are highlighted, but the article does not disclose its own earnings figures or guidance, leaving its individual trajectory unclear. The comparison underscores the importance of innovation in emissions and automation for gaining market share in a cycle‑sensitive industry. Investors should note that while the sector is upbeat, ATI’s specific financials remain unreported, limiting immediate actionable insight.

What did this article say?

ATI is positioned to gain from sustained air‑travel demand and ongoing strategic mergers and acquisitions within the aerospace‑defense equipment industry. Rising passenger traffic boosts aircraft utilization, driving higher demand for replacement parts, avionics, engines and other components that ATI supplies. While supply‑chain constraints and higher operating costs pose risks, the company’s expanded product portfolio and market exposure provide a cushion against potential downturns. Investors should monitor how ATI’s recent acquisitions integrate into its core operations and the impact of any supply‑chain disruptions on its revenue streams.

What did this article say?

ATI Inc. has surged 64% year‑to‑date, driven by robust aerospace and defense demand and a record $4.4 B backlog. The company reported a 13% jump in jet‑engine revenue and a 36% rise in defense sales to $162 M, prompting a high‑teen outlook for 2026 defense growth. Improved margins and a broadened product mix position ATI to capture next‑generation engine and naval nuclear opportunities, reinforcing its upside trajectory.

What did this article say?

ATI Inc. CEO Kim Fields will participate in a fireside chat at the Morgan Stanley 14th Annual Laguna Conference on September 17, 2026. The event will focus on aerospace opportunities and ATI’s differentiated capabilities. No new financial guidance, contracts, or material developments are announced, so the announcement is a routine investor relations activity.

What did this article say?

ATI Inc. reported a 10% YoY rise in Q2 sales to $1.26 billion, with aerospace and defense revenue up 13%. Adjusted EBITDA surged 37%, and the company’s backlog hit a record $4.4 billion, 18% higher than a year ago. Management lifted 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $4.90‑$5.18, a 50% YoY increase, signaling robust future earnings. These results reinforce ATI’s strong position in the defense and commercial jet engine markets and support a bullish outlook for the stock.

What did this article say?

Zacks.com highlighted ATI Inc. among five companies deemed efficient for September 2026, alongside Wayfair, Alarm.com, Farmers & Merchants Bancorp, and Amerant Bancorp. The article explains that efficiency ratios such as receivables turnover and asset utilization are key metrics used to screen these stocks. No specific financial results, guidance, or catalysts for ATI are disclosed, and the piece serves primarily as a recognition of the company’s operational metrics rather than a detailed analysis.

Technical Analysis

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Institutional & Hedge Fund Ownership

25 tracked managers · $12.99B combined position · 12 adding, 11 trimming, 2 unchanged (latest 13F filings)

Manager	Trend	Shares Held	% of Co.	Position Value	Filed
BlackRock, Inc.	▲ Buy	18,708,922	13.74%	$3.69B	2026-08-07
Vanguard Group Inc	▼ Sell	12,726,524	9.35%	$1.46B	2026-01-29
Capital World Investors	▼ Sell	5,249,249	3.85%	$1.03B	2026-08-12
Capital Research Global Investors	▼ Sell	5,093,768	3.74%	$1.00B	2026-08-12
FMR LLC (Fidelity)	▼ Sell	4,989,171	3.66%	$983.37M	2026-08-13
Invesco Ltd.	▼ Sell	3,449,291	2.53%	$679.86M	2026-08-14
Geode Capital Management, LLC	▼ Sell	2,777,512	2.04%	$547.58M	2026-08-12
Morgan Stanley	▲ Buy	1,865,178	1.37%	$367.63M	2026-08-13
Bank of America Corp	▲ Buy	1,767,047	1.30%	$348.28M	2026-08-14
Norges Bank	▲ Buy	1,739,884	1.28%	$342.93M	2026-08-12
AQR Capital Management LLC	▲ Buy	1,432,935	1.05%	$282.43M	2026-08-14
Northern Trust Corp	▲ Buy	1,288,597	0.95%	$253.98M	2026-08-13
Point72 Asset Management, L.P.	▼ Sell	1,248,948	0.92%	$246.17M	2026-08-14
Viking Global Investors LP	▼ Sell	1,153,880	0.85%	$227.43M	2026-08-14
Millennium Management LLC	▲ Buy	883,260	0.65%	$174.09M	2026-08-14
Fisher Asset Management, LLC	▼ Sell	872,372	0.64%	$171.94M	2026-08-04
D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc.	▼ Sell	830,185	0.61%	$163.63M	2026-08-14
Polen Capital Management LLC	• Hold	819,236	0.60%	$161.47M	2026-08-04
Goldman Sachs Group Inc	▲ Buy	751,276	0.55%	$148.08M	2026-08-14
Marshall Wace, LLP	▲ Buy	709,552	0.52%	$139.85M	2026-08-13
Citadel Advisors LLC	• Hold	659,618	0.48%	$130.01M	2026-09-02
Two Sigma Investments, LP	▲ Buy	649,471	0.48%	$128.01M	2026-08-14
Susquehanna International Group, LLP	▲ Buy	544,668	0.40%	$107.35M	2026-08-14
Balyasny Asset Management L.P.	▼ Sell	514,088	0.38%	$101.33M	2026-08-14
Wells Fargo & Company	▲ Buy	483,681	0.36%	$95.33M	2026-08-14

Q2 2026 flow:5.64M sh bought ($1.11B)6.55M sh sold ($1.29B)net -906.3K sh (−$178.64M)

ATI·ATI Inc.

EPS

Revenue

ATI Stock Snapshot

What growth is priced into ATI?

What ATI's own history says about today's numbers

Is money rotating into or out of ATI's sector?

What is the options market pricing for ATI?

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on ATI?

Held by These ETFs

News Sentiment Analysis

Recent News Coverage

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

News Sentiment Analysis

Recent News Coverage

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

Market Status

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Earnings Events

Economic News

ATI·ATI Inc.

EPS

Revenue

ATI Stock Snapshot

What growth is priced into ATI?

What ATI's own history says about today's numbers

Is money rotating into or out of ATI's sector?

What is the options market pricing for ATI?

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on ATI?

Held by These ETFs

News Sentiment Analysis

Recent News Coverage

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

Discover More

News Sentiment Analysis

Recent News Coverage

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

Discover More

Market Status

Recently Viewed

Portfolio

Email Alerts

Portfolio News

Economic Events

Earnings Events

Economic News