DailyIQ
Last updated2 minutes ago

AMRZ·Amrize Ltd

$37.55
-0.64 (-1.68%)
Market Closed (Overnight)$37.54-0.01 (-0.03%)
High
$38.34
Open
$37.95
Market Cap
21.74B
52W High
$66.73
Low
$37.38
P. Close
$37.55
P/E
18.04
52W Low
$37.38
Fwd P/E
12.55
DailyIQ Est.
$56.60
Inst. Ownership
21.1%
Short Interest
1.59%
Days to Cover
2.5
Technical Score (1D)
0
SELL
News Sentiment
34
BEARISH
Amrize’s shares are trading below the discounted‑cash‑flow estimate after a 28.5 % year‑to‑date decline, raising doubts that the current price reflects the company’s expected cash flows. The drop has prompted analysts to compare the market price with a fair‑value estimate of CHF 46.66, suggesting a potential undervaluation if the company can convert revenue into free cash flow. A board‑led leadership change last week saw President Jake Gosa replaced by Mario Gross, a move that has not yet restored investor confidence, as the stock remains 11.9 % lower over the past month despite continued insider buying. The new president’s mandate is to accelerate the ASPIRE synergy program, but execution risk and sentiment uncertainty still weigh on the outlook. In the next 1–10 trading days, the market will likely react to any early signs that the new leadership can stabilize cash‑flow conversion and deliver on synergy targets. Traders should watch the upcoming earnings conference for clarification on the turnaround strategy and any updates on the ASPIRE program’s progress. If Gross can demonstrate tangible improvements in operating margins or free‑cash‑flow generation, the stock may find support near the CHF 46.66 fair‑value level. Conversely, continued weakness in cash‑flow metrics could reinforce the current valuation concerns and keep the shares trading below the DCF‑derived target.
Earnings Summary
Amrize Ltd (AMRZ) is a Swiss‑based provider of building solutions focused on the North American construction market, offering Building Materials such as cement, aggregates, ready‑mix concrete, and asphalt, and Building Envelope products including roofing membranes, insulation, and sealants, positioning it within the broader Basic Materials sector. In Q2 2025 the company reported revenue of $3.22 billion, below the $3.48 billion forecast, and EPS of $0.78 versus an estimate of $1.13, indicating a miss; the following quarter, Q1 2026, revenue guidance of $2.99 billion was not yet released, but Q2 2026 revenue of $3.49 billion beat the $3.43 billion estimate while EPS of $0.88 fell short of the $0.96 estimate, showing a pattern of revenue beats but EPS misses in the most recent quarters. Historically, Amrize has posted YoY revenue growth of roughly 5–7 % over the past two years, with EPS growth lagging and often missing analyst expectations, suggesting a consistent revenue expansion amid margin pressure. Recent news highlights a leadership change with Mario Gross appointed President of the Building Envelope division, expected to tighten cost control and accelerate high‑margin envelope sales, and a sharp implied‑vol spike on an AMRZ put option reflecting bearish sentiment amid weak fundamentals and analyst downgrades; these developments underscore market sensitivity to earnings guidance and operational execution. Investors should watch for the next earnings release to see whether Gross’s operational impact translates into improved operating leverage and whether the company can convert revenue growth into EPS gains, as well as any shifts in implied volatility that may signal changing market expectations.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.54$0.71$0.88$1.04$1.21Q2'25Q2'26Q1'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'26$0.62 - -
Q2'26$0.96$0.88-8.2%
Q2'25$1.13$0.78-31.0%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$2.9B$3.1B$3.2B$3.4B$3.6BQ2'25Q2'26Q1'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'26$3.0B - -
Q2'26$3.4B$3.5B+1.9%
Q2'25 - $3.2B -

Market Data

AMRZ Stock Snapshot

SELL0/100
$37.54$0.01 (0.0%)
Market cap
21.74B
P/E ratio
18.0
Day range
$37.38 – $38.34
News sentiment
34/100 · Bearish
Analyst target
$54.64 (+45.6%)
Consensus
Buy · 29 analysts
52-week range+0.4% off low · -43.7% from high
$37.38$66.73
Price $37.54 DailyIQ Est. $56.60

AMRZ's technical picture is under pressure, with momentum working against price. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of AMRZ's sector?

Amrize Ltd sits in the Materials sector, currently ranked 7th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging).

Sector rank
#7 of 11
Sector state
Lagging
Sector rotation score
20

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for AMRZ?

CallsPuts

For Amrize Ltd's nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 26 days out), open interest is put-heavy, a defensive/bearish tilt (put/call ratio of 13.19), with at-the-money implied volatility around 35.8%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±8.9% move by that expiry — a range of about $35.68–$42.68.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16)
13.19
ATM implied volatility
35.8%
Total open interest
5,518
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±8.9% ($35.68–$42.68)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on AMRZ?

Oppenheimer most recently reiterated its rating on Amrize Ltd to Outperform on Sep 18, 2026 with a price target of $55 (from $62). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 5 downgrades, a net bearish lean.

Latest action
OppenheimerOutperform
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
5
Net rating momentum
-5
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 18, 2026OppenheimerMaintainedOutperform$62 → $55
Sep 9, 2026Wells FargoDowngradeOverweight → Equal-Weight$55 → $44
Sep 2, 2026JP MorganDowngradeOverweight → Neutral$57 → $52
Sep 2, 2026B of A SecuritiesDowngradeNeutral → Underperform$50 → $40
Aug 25, 2026DA DavidsonInitiatedNeutral$50
Aug 12, 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainedOverweight$65 → $54
Aug 11, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$66 → $58
Aug 10, 2026RBC CapitalDowngradeSector Perform → Underperform$60 → $48
Jul 21, 2026OppenheimerMaintainedOutperform$68 → $65
Jul 8, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedOverweight$65 → $58
Jul 7, 2026Truist SecuritiesDowngradeBuy → Hold$65 → $48
May 18, 2026Stephens & Co.ReiteratedOverweight$65

AMRZ Competitive Positioning

Amrize Ltd (AMRZ) is tracked alongside these names in Building Materials on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.