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BA·The Boeing Company

$209.69
-0.58 (-0.28%)
After Hours
High
$212.40
Open
$210.87
Market Cap
166.11B
52W High
$259.42
Low
$208.64
P. Close
$209.69
P/E
68.22
52W Low
$176.77
Fwd P/E
51.41
DailyIQ Est.
$281.36
Inst. Ownership
53.1%
Short Interest
2.01%
Days to Cover
2.9
Technical Score (1D)
27
SELL
News Sentiment
66
BULLISH
Boeing’s latest $552 million Navy contract modification for three MQ‑25A Stingray aircraft, awarded 12 hours ago, immediately expands the company’s defense revenue base and secures a clear cash‑flow boost through FY25‑26, reinforcing the firm’s long‑term earnings outlook for the next 10 trading days. The award also includes advance acquisition of long‑lead components for additional aircraft, extending the program through July 2031 and providing a predictable source of future revenue. This development signals the U.S. Navy’s continued confidence in Boeing’s carrier‑based aircraft and may prompt a modest uptick in defense‑sector sentiment, which could lift the broader aerospace index. Twenty‑two hours ago, Boeing and American Airlines completed the first landing‑gear exchange on a 737 MAX, marking the expansion of Boeing’s Landing Gear Exchange Program to the newest single‑aisle platform. The program delivers fully overhauled, certified gear assemblies ready for installation, cutting aircraft on‑ground time and reducing AOG risk for operators. This milestone improves maintenance predictability for the 737 MAX fleet and could lead to incremental maintenance‑contract revenue in the near term. The successful exchange also strengthens customer confidence in Boeing’s aftermarket solutions, potentially easing future negotiations for maintenance contracts. Together, the defense contract and the landing‑gear program expansion suggest that Boeing is solidifying both its core production and aftermarket service streams. Traders should watch for any subsequent Navy procurement announcements or additional 737 MAX maintenance contracts, as these could further confirm the company’s dual‑track growth strategy.
Earnings Summary
Boeing, a global aerospace and defense leader, operates through commercial airplanes, defense, space & security, and global services segments, delivering aircraft, weapons systems, and support solutions worldwide. In Q4 2024, the company posted revenue of $15.24 billion and an EPS of –$5.90, missing the –$3.78 estimate; the following quarter, Q1 2025 revenue rose to $19.50 billion and EPS improved to –$0.49, beating the –$1.30 forecast, while Q2 2025 revenue climbed to $22.75 billion and EPS of –$1.24 narrowly beat the –$1.27 estimate. The most recent quarter, Q4 2025, saw revenue of $23.95 billion and EPS of –$1.91, a miss against the –$0.40 estimate, indicating a recurring pattern of revenue growth but persistent earnings deficits. Historically, Boeing’s revenue has trended upward year‑over‑year, yet EPS has remained negative, with occasional beats in the first half of the year but consistent misses in the latter quarters, underscoring margin challenges. Recent news reports a $552 million Navy contract modification for MQ‑25A Stingray aircraft and a 737‑MAX landing‑gear exchange milestone, both of which reinforce defense revenue and aftermarket service streams; these developments may temper short‑term earnings pressure. Investors should watch the next earnings cycle for guidance on defense procurement, commercial delivery schedules, and any changes in backlog or cash‑flow metrics, as these will be key indicators of Boeing’s ability to convert revenue growth into improved profitability.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$-8.57$-6.19$-3.81$-1.43$0.95Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$-0.14 - -
Q2'26$-0.31$-0.76-141.5%
Q1'26$-0.16$-0.20-27.7%
Q4'25$-0.40$-1.91-381.5%
Q3'25$-2.38$-7.47-214.4%
Q2'25$-1.27$-1.24+2.3%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$21.7B$22.8B$23.9B$25.1B$26.2BQ2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$25.7B - -
Q2'26$25.0B$24.6B-1.7%
Q1'26$24.1B$22.2B-7.7%
Q4'25$23.1B$23.9B+3.5%
Q3'25 - $23.3B -
Q2'25 - $22.7B -

Market Data

BA Stock Snapshot

SELL27/100
$209.70+$0.01 (0.0%)
Market cap
166.11B
P/E ratio
68.2
Day range
$208.64 – $212.40
News sentiment
66/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$274.85 (+31.1%)
Consensus
Buy · 39 analysts
52-week range+18.6% off low · -19.2% from high
$176.77$259.42
Price $209.70 DailyIQ Est. $281.36

Price action on BA is defensive - rallies are being sold rather than extended. The stock is liquid enough that positioning changes get absorbed without distorting the trend.

Behaviour On Record

What BA's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
20.1% 27th pct
Below its peak
-52.4%
vs 200-day average
-4.9%
Up days (1y)
47%

The Boeing Company is currently running 20.1% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against BA's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 27th percentile on the quiet side for this stock, against a typical reading of 26.7%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

BA is trading -52.4% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -26.3%, and the deepest was -72.7% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -4.9% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 30th percentile close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year BA closed higher on 47% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 14 years of records, BA finished the month higher 9 of 14 times, with a median return of +1.6% and an average of -1.4%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +7.4% on average, its weakest March at -5.6%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: BA has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 63 of 3,268 sessions (1.9% of the time), with the largest gaps running +8.4% and -7.2%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, BA moved an average of 1.8% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -1.3% and a largest of -3.2%.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-09-16 and 2026-09-15, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against BA's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of BA's sector?

The Boeing Company sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 11th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging). Within its narrower Aerospace & Defense industry group, BA ranks 15th of 15 tracked industries, lagging.

Sector rank
#11 of 11
Sector state
Lagging
Sector rotation score
10
Industry rank
#15 of 15

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for BA?

CallsPuts

For The Boeing Company's nearest expiry (2026-09-18, 3 days out), open interest is roughly balanced between puts and calls (put/call ratio of 0.90), with at-the-money implied volatility around 38.5%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±3.2% move by that expiry — a range of about $204.39–$217.89.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-18)
0.90
ATM implied volatility
38.5%
Total open interest
134,771
Expected move by 2026-09-18
±3.2% ($204.39–$217.89)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on BA?

Argus Research most recently upgraded The Boeing Company to Buy on Aug 11, 2026 with a price target of $265. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 2 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net bullish lean.

Latest action
Argus ResearchBuy
90-day upgrades
2
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
+2
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Aug 11, 2026Argus ResearchUpgradeHold → Buy$265
Aug 6, 2026Tigress FinancialMaintainedBuy$295 → $305
Aug 3, 2026BNP ParibasUpgradeUnderperform → Outperform$230 → $300
Jul 29, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$270 → $290
Jul 29, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedOutperform$275 → $265
May 18, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$256 → $260
Apr 29, 2026Tigress FinancialMaintainedBuy$290 → $295
Apr 23, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedEqual-Weight$245 → $250
Apr 2, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$290 → $256
Apr 1, 2026Wells FargoInitiatedOverweight$250
Mar 19, 2026Tigress FinancialMaintainedBuy$275 → $290
Feb 6, 2026Freedom BrokerMaintainedBuy$270 → $290

BA Competitive Positioning

The Boeing Company (BA) is tracked alongside these names in Aerospace & Defense on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.