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CNH·CNH Industrial N.V.

$13.57
+0.12 (+0.89%)
High
$13.75
Open
$13.71
Market Cap
16.65B
52W High
$14.46
Low
$13.39
P. Close
$13.57
P/E
53.53
52W Low
$8.71
Fwd P/E
19.63
DailyIQ Est.
$14.47
Inst. Ownership
1.6%
Short Interest
4.92%
Days to Cover
2.5
Technical Score (1D)
82
BUY
News Sentiment
60
BULLISH
Analysts upgraded CNH Industrial ahead of its October earnings, citing expected improvements in operating margins and a rebound in demand for industrial equipment; the upgrade signals a modest upside potential that could lift the stock in the next few trading days. The upgrade follows a broader analyst consensus that CNH’s earnings outlook is strengthening, which may prompt a short‑term rally as investors adjust expectations. CNH’s planned Q4 2026 software updates to extend the fault‑repair window for emissions systems align with new EPA guidance and are designed to reduce downtime for customers, thereby improving customer satisfaction and supporting CNH’s service‑centric value proposition. The rollout will initially target priority products and expand to more applications in 2027, which could translate into incremental revenue and margin improvement once the updates are fully deployed. In the agriculture sector, CNH’s partnership with Bourgault to launch co‑branded seeding equipment in 2028 is expected to accelerate innovation, broaden customer choice, and leverage CNH’s dealer network, potentially boosting sales in key markets such as North America and Australia. The partnership also positions CNH to capture growing demand for precision seeding, air drills, and digital control technology, which are critical components of the projected 2.6 million tractor unit sales by 2031. Meanwhile, CNH’s Q2 2026 earnings call confirmed that the company beat expectations on EPS and lifted its outlook for sales, margins, and free cash flow, though cash conversion has worsened, leaving valuation concerns that could temper upside. Traders should watch the upcoming earnings release for detailed guidance on margin trends, commodity exposure, and the impact of the software updates and seeding partnership on revenue mix.
Earnings Summary
CNH Industrial N.V. is a global equipment and services provider that designs, manufactures, and distributes agricultural and construction machinery under brands such as Case IH, New Holland, and CASE Construction Equipment. Operating across North America, Europe, and other key markets, the company serves the farm and heavy construction machinery sector, offering both equipment and financing solutions to end‑users and dealers. In the most recent quarter, Q4 2025, CNH reported earnings per share of $0.19, surpassing the $0.1009 estimate, while revenue rose to $5.157 billion against an estimate of $4.656 billion, marking a 9.4% increase from the prior quarter’s $4.876 billion. The prior quarter, Q4 2024, saw EPS of $0.15 below the $0.1895 estimate but revenue of $4.876 billion, a modest 1.2% rise from Q3 2024. Over the last two quarters, revenue accelerated from $4.876 billion to $5.157 billion, and EPS grew from $0.15 to $0.19, indicating a positive momentum that contrasts with the earlier miss. Historically, CNH has delivered year‑over‑year revenue growth of roughly 5–7% in recent years, with EPS often trailing analyst expectations; for example, Q4 2024 missed EPS estimates while Q4 2025 beat them, a pattern that suggests revenue expansion can occur even when profitability is pressured. Recent news highlights a projected rise in global tractor unit sales to 2.6 million by 2031, driven by precision agriculture and autonomous technology, which could lift CNH’s sales pipeline, especially in Asia‑Pacific markets. Analysts have upgraded the stock to Outperform, citing stronger commercial‑vehicle and construction‑equipment demand and a potential farming recovery in 2027, reinforcing optimism about near‑term earnings. Investors should watch the upcoming earnings release for guidance on margin improvement, the progress of the Bourgault partnership rollout, and any updates on commodity price exposure, as these factors will be key to sustaining the current revenue acceleration and translating it into continued EPS growth.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.08$0.11$0.14$0.17$0.20Q4'24Q4'25Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$0.10 - -
Q2'26$0.11$0.13+22.4%
Q4'25$0.10$0.19+88.3%
Q4'24$0.19$0.15-20.8%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$4.1B$4.4B$4.7B$5.0B$5.3BQ4'24Q4'25Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$4.3B - -
Q2'26$4.4B$4.8B+8.6%
Q4'25$4.7B$5.2B+10.8%
Q4'24 - $4.9B -

Market Data

CNH Stock Snapshot

BUY82/100
$13.57+$0.12 (0.9%)
Market cap
16.65B
P/E ratio
53.5
Day range
$13.39 – $13.75
News sentiment
60/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$13.82 (+1.8%)
Consensus
Buy · 25 analysts
52-week range+55.8% off low · -6.2% from high
$8.71$14.46
Price $13.57 DailyIQ Est. $14.47

CNH's technical picture is constructive, with trend and momentum pointing the same direction. In Industrials, names this size usually take direction from sector flows before company-level news.

Behaviour On Record

What CNH's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
48.9% 89th pct
Below its peak
-24.5%
vs 200-day average
+24.2%
Up days (1y)
49%

CNH Industrial N.V. is currently running 48.9% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against CNH's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 89th percentile elevated for this stock, against a typical reading of 31.8%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

CNH is trading -24.5% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -33.3%, and the deepest was -54.6% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +24.2% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 92nd percentile a wider gap than this stock usually carries. Over the past year CNH closed higher on 49% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, CNH finished the month higher 6 of 13 times, with a median return of -1.6% and an average of -1.6%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +4.4% on average, its weakest May at -3.0%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: CNH has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 534 of 3,262 sessions (16.4% of the time), with the largest gaps running +10.1% and -17.8%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,263 daily closes between 2013-09-30 and 2026-09-21, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against CNH's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of CNH's sector?

CNH Industrial N.V. sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 9th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging).

Sector rank
#9 of 11
Sector state
Lagging
Sector rotation score
50

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for CNH?

CallsPuts

For CNH Industrial N.V.'s nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 25 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.59), with at-the-money implied volatility around 52.4%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±13.1% move by that expiry — a range of about $11.86–$15.44.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16)
0.59
ATM implied volatility
52.4%
Total open interest
918
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±13.1% ($11.86–$15.44)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on CNH?

Evercore ISI Group most recently upgraded CNH Industrial N.V. to Outperform on Sep 3, 2026 with a price target of $18 (from $13). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 1 upgrade against 0 downgrades, a net bullish lean.

Latest action
Evercore ISI GroupOutperform
90-day upgrades
1
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
+1
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 3, 2026Evercore ISI GroupUpgradeIn-Line → Outperform$13 → $18
Aug 20, 2026DA DavidsonMaintainedNeutral$12
Aug 19, 2026DA DavidsonMaintainedNeutral$12
Aug 11, 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainedIn-Line$12 → $13
Aug 4, 2026Truist SecuritiesReiteratedBuy$16 → $15
Aug 4, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$12 → $13
Aug 4, 2026BMO CapitalMaintainedMarket Perform$11 → $12
Jul 13, 2026JP MorganMaintainedUnderweight$10 → $10
May 11, 2026Goldman SachsDowngradeBuy → Neutral$12 → $11
May 7, 2026BernsteinInitiatedMarket Perform$11
May 4, 2026DA DavidsonMaintainedNeutral$12
Apr 13, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$13 → $14

CNH Competitive Positioning

CNH Industrial N.V. (CNH) is tracked alongside these names in Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.