DailyIQ
Last updated1 minute ago

HAS·Hasbro, Inc.

$87.57
-1.19 (-1.34%)
Market Closed (Overnight)$87.57+0.00 (+0.00%)
High
$88.76
Open
$88.54
Market Cap
12.52B
52W High
$106.98
Low
$87.05
P. Close
$87.57
P/E
15.77
52W Low
$69.50
Fwd P/E
13.42
DailyIQ Est.
$112.69
Inst. Ownership
62.1%
Short Interest
5.03%
Days to Cover
5.3
Technical Score (1D)
32
SELL
News Sentiment
63
BULLISH
Hasbro’s shares slipped 1.01% today, a sharper decline than the broader market, but the company’s consensus estimates still project a 6.2 % revenue lift and an 11.9 % EPS increase for the current quarter, suggesting that the short‑term pullback may be temporary. The earnings outlook, which forecasts a $1.88 EPS and $1.47 billion in revenue, is expected to be confirmed in the upcoming earnings release, so traders should watch the actual results for any revisions that could alter the trajectory. In parallel, Bridgewater Associates disclosed a new $20.8 million stake in Hasbro, adding 0.13 % to its portfolio; this move signals confidence in Hasbro’s brand strength and diversified product lines and could lift investor sentiment and trading volume in the near term. The stake does not represent a transformative shift, but it does provide a short‑term catalyst that may help offset the market‑wide sell‑off in the consumer discretionary sector. Meanwhile, Hasbro’s recent licensing expansion with Upper Deck for Transformers, Power Rangers, and G.I. Joe cards adds incremental revenue potential, but it remains an extension of existing licensing expertise rather than a game‑changing initiative. The company’s focus on recurring revenue from Magic: The Gathering continues to underpin its gaming segment, offering a stable earnings engine that can cushion broader toy‑market softness. Over the next 1–10 trading days, the key watch items will be the Q2 earnings release for confirmation of the guidance, any commentary on cost‑transformation progress, and early sales data from the Upper Deck partnership. If the earnings beat expectations and the new licensing deal shows early traction, the stock could rebound from its recent dip; conversely, if the earnings miss or the Upper Deck rollout stalls, the downward bias may persist.
Earnings Summary
Hasbro, Inc. is a global toy and game leader with a diversified portfolio of action figures, arts and crafts, dolls, and licensed franchises such as Magic: The Gathering, Transformers, and Star Wars, distributed through retail, e‑commerce, and specialty channels worldwide. In the consumer cyclical leisure sector, the company has historically leveraged its strong brand equity to drive sales across multiple categories. Recent quarterly performance shows a mixed trajectory: Q4 2024 EPS of $0.46 beat the $0.35 estimate while revenue of $1.10 B exceeded expectations; Q1 2025 EPS rose to $1.04 against a $0.67 estimate, yet revenue fell to $0.887 B. Q2 2025 EPS of $1.30 beat the $0.77 estimate and revenue rebounded to $0.981 B, followed by Q3 2025 EPS of $1.68 versus $1.63 estimate and a sharp revenue jump to $1.387 B. Q4 2025 EPS of $1.51 beat the $1.19 estimate and revenue surged to $1.445 B, while Q2 2026 EPS fell short of the $1.91 estimate at $1.28 and revenue rose modestly to $1.140 B. The pattern indicates consistent EPS beats in the last four quarters, though revenue growth has been volatile, with a notable decline in Q1 2025 offset by strong Q3 and Q4 results. Historically, Hasbro has maintained YoY revenue growth in most periods, with EPS often exceeding analyst forecasts, reflecting disciplined cost management and brand strength. Recent news highlights a 3.5 % annual sales decline over five years, raising concerns about demand erosion and margin pressure; investors should monitor cost‑control initiatives, product mix shifts, and guidance on digital and licensed‑content launches that could counteract physical toy sales weakness. Forward‑looking watch points include the company’s guidance for Q3 2026, potential updates on the Upper Deck licensing partnership, and any changes in capital allocation such as share buybacks or dividend adjustments that may signal management confidence.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.49$0.89$1.29$1.69$2.10Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$1.86 - -
Q2'26$1.91$1.28-33.0%
Q4'25$1.19$1.51+26.9%
Q3'25$1.63$1.68+2.9%
Q2'25$0.77$1.30+68.6%
Q1'25$0.67$1.04+54.3%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$797M$992M$1.2B$1.4B$1.6BQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$1.5B - -
Q2'26$1.1B$1.1B+5.5%
Q4'25$941M$1.4B+53.6%
Q3'25 - $1.4B -
Q2'25 - $981M -
Q1'25 - $887M -

Market Data

HAS Stock Snapshot

SELL32/100
$87.57+$0.00 (0.0%)
Market cap
12.52B
P/E ratio
15.8
Day range
$87.05 – $88.76
News sentiment
63/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$109.64 (+25.2%)
Consensus
Strong Buy · 22 analysts
52-week range+26.0% off low · -18.1% from high
$69.50$106.98
Price $87.57 DailyIQ Est. $112.69

Momentum has rolled over on Hasbro, Inc., which is what drives the bearish read. Sector peers are worth watching - large caps in Consumer Cyclical tend to move together on rotation.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into HAS?

FAIR

At today's price, Hasbro, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 3.2% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 8.41% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 5.5% a year, so the market is asking for 2.3 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis HAS looks priced roughly in line with its own growth record.

Implied FCF growth
3.2%
Historical FCF CAGR
5.5%
Growth gap
-2.3 pts
Verdict
FAIR
Discount rate (WACC)
8.41%
Beta
0.89

Behaviour On Record

What HAS's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
21.0% 31st pct
Below its peak
-30.5%
vs 200-day average
-2.7%
Up days (1y)
47%

Hasbro, Inc. is currently running 21.0% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against HAS's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 31st percentile on the quiet side for this stock, against a typical reading of 26.0%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

HAS is trading -30.5% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -24.5%, and the deepest was -57.7% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -2.7% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 34th percentile close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year HAS closed higher on 47% of sessions, and it is currently 5 sessions into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, HAS finished the month higher 5 of 13 times, with a median return of -0.7% and an average of -1.7%. Its strongest month historically has been April at +5.9% on average, its weakest October at -3.5%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: HAS has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 130 of 3,267 sessions (4.0% of the time), with the largest gaps running +8.0% and -6.7%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-09-20 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against HAS's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of HAS's sector?

Hasbro, Inc. sits in the Consumer Discretionary sector, currently ranked 10th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).

Sector rank
#10 of 11
Sector state
Improving
Sector rotation score
10

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for HAS?

CallsPuts

For Hasbro, Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 26 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.42), with at-the-money implied volatility around 48.2%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±13.1% move by that expiry — a range of about $82.94–$107.88.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16)
0.42
ATM implied volatility
48.2%
Total open interest
3,582
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±13.1% ($82.94–$107.88)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on HAS?

Wells Fargo most recently reiterated its rating on Hasbro, Inc. to Equal-Weight on Aug 20, 2026 with a price target of $90 (from $85). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
Wells FargoEqual-Weight
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Aug 20, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedEqual-Weight$85 → $90
Jul 23, 2026Argus ResearchMaintainedBuy$90 → $105
Jul 22, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$125 → $111
Jul 22, 2026DA DavidsonMaintainedNeutral$100 → $95
Jul 16, 2026JefferiesMaintainedBuy$120 → $110
Jul 16, 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$115 → $105
Jul 15, 2026BNP ParibasMaintainedOutperform$117 → $114
Jul 14, 2026Roth CapitalMaintainedBuy$120 → $100
Jul 10, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$114 → $101
Jun 9, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedEqual-Weight$92 → $85
May 22, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$118 → $114
May 21, 2026DA DavidsonMaintainedNeutral$100