DOV·Dover Corporation

Realized volatility (21d)

14.7% 10th pct

Below its peak

-17.4%

vs 200-day average

-8.2%

Up days (1y)

51%

Dover Corporation is currently running 14.7% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against DOV's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 10th percentile — unusually subdued by its own history, against a typical reading of 22.8%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

DOV is trading -17.4% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -22.5%, and the deepest was -45.5% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits -8.2% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 16th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year DOV closed higher on 51% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, DOV finished the month higher 8 of 13 times, with a median return of +3.3% and an average of +2.8%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +3.7% on average, its weakest September at -1.7%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: DOV has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 117 of 3,267 sessions (3.6% of the time), with the largest gaps running +15.3% and -10.8%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, DOV moved an average of 1.6% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -0.2% and a largest of +3.2%.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-10-15 and 2026-10-13, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against DOV's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.