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Last updated2 minutes ago

EPAM·EPAM Systems, Inc.

$114.12
-2.98 (-2.54%)
Market Closed (Overnight)$114.50+0.38 (+0.33%)
High
$117.00
Open
$116.82
Market Cap
6.11B
52W High
$222.53
Low
$113.21
P. Close
$114.12
P/E
15.22
52W Low
$73.05
Fwd P/E
8.11
DailyIQ Est.
$129.08
Inst. Ownership
4.8%
Short Interest
13.98%
Days to Cover
5.8
Technical Score (1D)
64
BUY
News Sentiment
53
MIXED
EPAM’s latest partnership with Wiz, announced 12 days ago, adds an AI‑driven cloud‑security layer to its engineering and modernization services, positioning the company to monetize a new growth lever as core consulting slows. The deal lets EPAM convert cloud‑risk data into remediation actions across Google Cloud, AWS, Azure and other environments, potentially widening its client base and boosting higher‑margin security projects. A few weeks earlier, analysts warned that AI adoption is already eroding legacy consulting revenue, and the company’s forward non‑GAAP earnings multiple of 8.7× reflects the market’s pricing in that cannibalization risk. In the same window, Engine Capital and other activist investors intensified pressure for a $750 million accelerated share‑repurchase program, citing EPAM’s perceived undervaluation and idle cash; management has yet to confirm any buy‑back plan, leaving the outcome uncertain. JP Morgan’s downgrade to neutral, issued 22 days ago, highlighted margin pressure and competitive intensity in the software‑services sector, a sentiment echoed by several other research houses that have trimmed price targets. The combination of a new security partnership, AI‑driven revenue erosion, activist buy‑back pressure, and a rating downgrade creates a mixed outlook for the next ten trading days. Traders should watch for EPAM’s next earnings guidance to see whether the company can lift its 2026 revenue outlook or demonstrate cost controls that mitigate margin concerns. Additionally, any announcement of a share‑repurchase program or a shift in the partnership’s commercial traction will be a key catalyst for short‑term price movement.
Earnings Summary
EPAM Systems is a global provider of digital platform engineering and software development services, offering cloud services, data analytics, customer experience design, and cybersecurity solutions to industries such as financial services, consumer goods, and healthcare. In the most recent two quarters, Q1 2026 and Q2 2026, EPAM reported revenue of $1.40006 billion and $1.41477 billion, respectively, a modest 1.0% increase, while EPS rose from $2.86 to $3.38, a 18% increase, both beating estimates in each quarter. Over the past few years, EPAM has maintained a YoY revenue growth rate that has slowed slightly, with revenue increasing from $1.248351 billion in Q4 2024 to $1.41477 billion in Q2 2026, and EPS has consistently outperformed analyst expectations, though the company has recently experienced margin pressure from AI‑driven services cannibalizing legacy consulting revenue. Recent news reports a partnership with Wiz, a Google‑Cloud‑aligned AI‑driven security platform, which could provide a new growth lever amid slowing core consulting revenue, and activist pressure for a $750 million accelerated share‑repurchase program, both of which could influence near‑term sentiment; the company’s board decision on the buyback will be a key catalyst. Investors should watch for the company’s next earnings guidance and any board action on the buyback request, as these developments will likely be the primary drivers of near‑term price movement, and monitor the commercial traction of the Wiz integration and any updates on cost‑control initiatives that could mitigate margin pressure.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$2.49$2.75$3.01$3.27$3.52Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$3.40 - -
Q2'26$3.21$3.38+5.4%
Q1'26$3.10$2.86-7.8%
Q4'25$3.22$3.26+1.3%
Q3'25$3.03$3.08+1.7%
Q2'25$2.61$2.77+6.0%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$1.3B$1.4B$1.4B$1.4B$1.5BQ2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$1.4B - -
Q2'26$1.4B$1.4B-1.4%
Q1'26$1.4B$1.4B-1.6%
Q4'25$1.4B$1.4B-0.7%
Q3'25 - $1.4B -
Q2'25 - $1.4B -

Market Data

EPAM Stock Snapshot

HOLD64/100
$114.50+$0.38 (0.3%)
Market cap
6.11B
P/E ratio
15.2
Day range
$113.21 – $117.00
News sentiment
53/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$122.82 (+7.3%)
Consensus
Hold · 28 analysts
52-week range+56.7% off low · -48.5% from high
$73.05$222.53
Price $114.50 DailyIQ Est. $129.08

The setup on EPAM Systems, Inc. is patient: consolidation, not accumulation or distribution. Thinner liquidity means moves can extend past what the fundamentals alone justify.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into EPAM?

CHEAP

At today's price, EPAM Systems, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about -10.8% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 9.77% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 27.4% a year, so the market is asking for 38.2 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis EPAM looks priced below what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
-10.8%
Historical FCF CAGR
27.4%
Growth gap
-38.2 pts
Verdict
CHEAP
Discount rate (WACC)
9.77%
Beta
0.97

Behaviour On Record

What EPAM's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
39.8% 69th pct
Below its peak
-84.1%
vs 200-day average
-16.0%
Up days (1y)
49%

EPAM Systems, Inc. is currently running 39.8% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against EPAM's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 69th percentile a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 31.3%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

EPAM is trading -84.1% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -29.2%, and the deepest was -73.4% in 2022. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -16.0% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 19th percentile a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year EPAM closed higher on 49% of sessions, and it is currently 4 sessions into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, EPAM finished the month higher 6 of 13 times, with a median return of -2.0% and an average of -1.0%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +8.0% on average, its weakest February at -4.8%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: EPAM has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 199 of 3,268 sessions (6.1% of the time), with the largest gaps running +10.0% and -12.6%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, EPAM moved an average of 2.0% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -1.0% and a largest of -3.8%.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-09-19 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against EPAM's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of EPAM's sector?

EPAM Systems, Inc. sits in the Technology sector, currently ranked 1st of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (leading).

Sector rank
#1 of 11
Sector state
Leading
Sector rotation score
90

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for EPAM?

CallsPuts

For EPAM Systems, Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 27 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.39), with at-the-money implied volatility around 54.3%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±13.6% move by that expiry — a range of about $97.01–$127.61.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16)
0.39
ATM implied volatility
54.3%
Total open interest
3,163
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±13.6% ($97.01–$127.61)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on EPAM?

JP Morgan most recently downgraded EPAM Systems, Inc. to Neutral on Aug 26, 2026 with a price target of $120. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 2 downgrades, a net bearish lean.

Latest action
JP MorganNeutral
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
2
Net rating momentum
-2
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Aug 26, 2026JP MorganDowngradeOverweight → Neutral$120
Aug 10, 2026GuggenheimMaintainedBuy$165 → $140
Aug 7, 2026TD CowenMaintainedBuy$131 → $120
Aug 7, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$142 → $120
Aug 7, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainedHold$112 → $110
Aug 7, 2026SusquehannaMaintainedPositive$167 → $146
Aug 6, 2026NeedhamMaintainedBuy$135 → $120
Aug 6, 2026William BlairDowngradeOutperform → Market Perform-
Aug 4, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedEqual-Weight$112 → $100
Jul 27, 2026CitigroupMaintainedNeutral$112 → $100
Jul 10, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedOverweight$151 → $125
Jul 9, 2026TD CowenMaintainedBuy$170 → $131

EPAM Competitive Positioning

EPAM Systems, Inc. (EPAM) is tracked alongside these names in Information Technology Services on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.