DailyIQ
Last updated7 minutes ago

VRSK·Verisk Analytics, Inc.

$187.11
+10.91 (+6.19%)
Overnight$187.03-0.08 (-0.04%)
High
$187.47
Open
$181.18
Market Cap
23.14B
52W High
$263.67
Low
$177.02
P. Close
$187.11
P/E
26.13
52W Low
$155.94
Fwd P/E
21.51
DailyIQ Est.
$239.28
Inst. Ownership
49.2%
Short Interest
2.67%
Days to Cover
2.4
Technical Score (1D)
36
SELL
News Sentiment
63
BULLISH
Verisk’s latest outlook, released just over an hour ago, projects an 11.6 % year‑over‑year earnings lift for 2026, largely driven by its subscription‑led revenue model and recent AI‑enabled product upgrades. The company’s recent acquisitions have broadened its catastrophe risk intelligence portfolio, tightening its competitive moat and reinforcing the recurring revenue base. These developments suggest a sustainable earnings trajectory that should support the current share price over the next 1–10 trading days. The firm’s ongoing dividend and share‑repurchase program signals a strong commitment to shareholder returns, which may temper short‑term volatility. Together, the subscription growth, AI enhancements, and capital return initiatives create a bullish narrative that could attract new investors seeking a defensively positioned data analytics play. Watch for any updates on the integration progress of the new acquisitions, as delays could dampen the projected earnings lift. Also monitor the company’s quarterly guidance for any revisions to the 2026 earnings target, which would directly impact the valuation premise. Finally, keep an eye on broader market sentiment toward data‑analytics and insurance‑tech stocks, as shifts in risk appetite could influence Verisk’s short‑term performance.
Earnings Summary
Verisk Analytics, Inc. is a data analytics and technology solutions provider serving the insurance industry, offering underwriting, claims, and risk assessment tools, and operates within the consulting services industry. In Q4 2024 EPS of $1.61 beat the $1.60 estimate and revenue of $735.6 million; Q1 2025 EPS rose to $1.73 versus $1.68 estimate with revenue $753 million; Q2 2025 EPS of $1.88 exceeded the $1.77 estimate and revenue $772.6 million; Q3 2025 EPS of $1.72 slightly outpaced the $1.70 estimate with revenue $768.3 million; Q4 2025 EPS of $1.82 beat the $1.61 estimate and revenue of $778.8 million versus $773.8 million forecast; Q1 2026 EPS of $1.82 surpassed the $1.74 estimate and revenue $782.6 million versus $772.4 million forecast; Q2 2026 EPS of $1.98 exceeded the $1.95 estimate and revenue $806.3 million versus $820.2 million forecast, indicating a revenue dip but strong earnings. Historically, Verisk has maintained a pattern of EPS beats across multiple quarters while revenue growth has been modest, reflecting a subscription‑heavy model with incremental pricing power. Recent news reports a Q2 2026 earnings beat of $0.04 per share, 4.3% YoY revenue growth driven by an 8% rise in subscription revenue, and a 58% jump in free cash flow, yet analysts remain cautious due to a high valuation premium and pending legal outcomes from the AccuLynx acquisition; a court ruling on August 18 may delay integration and affect cash flow. Investors should watch for Q3 guidance on subscription pricing and underwriting fee adjustments, monitor the FTC approval timeline for the AccuLynx deal, and track any impact from the Japan earthquake loss estimate on underwriting margins.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$1.56$1.68$1.80$1.92$2.04Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$1.93 - -
Q2'26$1.95$1.98+1.7%
Q1'26$1.74$1.82+4.7%
Q4'25$1.61$1.82+12.9%
Q3'25$1.70$1.72+1.0%
Q2'25$1.77$1.88+6.1%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$760M$778M$795M$813M$831MQ2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$822M - -
Q2'26$820M$806M-1.7%
Q1'26$772M$783M+1.3%
Q4'25$774M$779M+0.6%
Q3'25 - $768M -
Q2'25 - $773M -

Market Data

VRSK Stock Snapshot

HOLD36/100
$187.03$0.08 (0.0%)
Market cap
23.14B
P/E ratio
26.1
Day range
$177.02 – $187.47
News sentiment
63/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$234.76 (+25.5%)
Consensus
Hold · 28 analysts
52-week range+19.9% off low · -29.1% from high
$155.94$263.67
Price $187.03 DailyIQ Est. $239.28

VRSK sits in the lower half of its 52-week range with the technical picture unresolved. The stock is liquid enough that positioning changes get absorbed without distorting the trend.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into VRSK?

CHEAP

At today's price, Verisk Analytics, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about -1.3% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 6.12% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 9.3% a year, so the market is asking for 10.6 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis VRSK looks priced below what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
-1.3%
Historical FCF CAGR
9.3%
Growth gap
-10.6 pts
Verdict
CHEAP
Discount rate (WACC)
6.12%
Beta
0.45

Behaviour On Record

What VRSK's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
38.9% 96th pct
Below its peak
-41.8%
vs 200-day average
-3.4%
Up days (1y)
49%

Verisk Analytics, Inc. is currently running 38.9% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against VRSK's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 96th percentile an extreme by its own standards, against a typical reading of 18.4%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

VRSK is trading -41.8% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -16.1%, and the deepest was -35.0% in 2025. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -3.4% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 19th percentile a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year VRSK closed higher on 49% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a rising streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, VRSK finished the month higher 3 of 13 times, with a median return of -2.2% and an average of -1.7%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +4.4% on average, its weakest September at -1.7%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: VRSK has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 81 of 3,267 sessions (2.5% of the time), with the largest gaps running +13.7% and -11.9%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, VRSK moved an average of 1.7% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -0.1% and a largest of -5.0%.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-09-16 and 2026-09-14, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against VRSK's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of VRSK's sector?

Verisk Analytics, Inc. sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 11th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging).

Sector rank
#11 of 11
Sector state
Lagging
Sector rotation score
0

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for VRSK?

CallsPuts

For Verisk Analytics, Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-09-18, 3 days out), open interest is roughly balanced between puts and calls (put/call ratio of 1.07), with at-the-money implied volatility around 59.4%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±5.0% move by that expiry — a range of about $173.39–$191.81.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-18)
1.07
ATM implied volatility
59.4%
Total open interest
5,351
Expected move by 2026-09-18
±5.0% ($173.39–$191.81)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on VRSK?

Barclays most recently reiterated its rating on Verisk Analytics, Inc. to Overweight on Sep 8, 2026 with a price target of $225 (from $275). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 1 upgrade against 0 downgrades, a net bullish lean.

Latest action
BarclaysOverweight
90-day upgrades
1
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
+1
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 8, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$275 → $225
Jul 30, 2026UBSMaintainedNeutral$220 → $235
Jul 30, 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainedIn-Line$222 → $223
Jul 30, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedOverweight$240 → $260
Jul 23, 2026JefferiesUpgradeHold → Buy$192 → $235
May 19, 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainedNeutral$225 → $190
Apr 30, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$220 → $230
Mar 30, 2026RBC CapitalReiteratedOutperform$230
Mar 2, 2026Raymond JamesUpgradeOutperform → Strong Buy$215 → $260
Mar 2, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedOverweight$223 → $240
Feb 19, 2026Goldman SachsMaintainedNeutral$239 → $206
Feb 19, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedOutperform$250 → $230

VRSK Competitive Positioning

Verisk Analytics, Inc. (VRSK) is tracked alongside these names in Consulting Services on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.