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NBIS·Nebius Group N.V.

$223.37
+5.55 (+2.55%)
Market Closed (Overnight)$222.25-1.12 (-0.50%)
High
$224.65
Open
$217.90
Market Cap
57.92B
52W High
$299.86
Low
$210.30
P. Close
$223.37
P/E
1366.10
52W Low
$68.12
Fwd P/E
-68.09
DailyIQ Est.
$314.08
Inst. Ownership
79.7%
Short Interest
17.37%
Days to Cover
2.3
Technical Score (1D)
77
BUY
News Sentiment
68
BULLISH
Nebius Group’s latest announcement on Friday—raising all Nvidia GPU and AMD CPU cloud tiers by 5–15%—directly reflects the tightening supply of high‑performance chips and the continued surge in enterprise AI training and inference workloads. The price hike is expected to lift margin contribution from compute services, potentially boosting the company’s operating profitability over the next 1–3 months without new capital outlays. However, the higher rates may temper short‑term adoption, especially among cost‑sensitive customers, and could reduce utilization rates if competitors keep prices lower. Investors should monitor the company’s utilization metrics and any subsequent guidance revisions in the next earnings release to gauge whether the margin lift offsets a possible dip in demand. Earlier this week, a rumor that Nebius could raise GPU cluster pricing by up to 15% in Q4 2026 sparked a 9% intraday rally, underscoring market confidence in the firm’s pricing power amid tight supply. That speculation was later confirmed by the official price increase, reinforcing the narrative that Nebius can capture higher margins in a high‑demand environment. The company’s recent long‑term agreement with Amazon to supply backup generators—valued at $2.4 billion in initial deliveries and potentially $8 billion total—adds a new revenue stream that could diversify its income base and support future growth. Watch for Amazon’s execution timeline and any additional add‑ons, as delays or cancellations could impact the projected upside. An insider sale by director John Wilson Boynton IV, offloading $1.34 million of shares, introduces a note of caution; while board control remains unchanged, the move may dampen short‑term sentiment and increase trading volatility. Finally, the broader market context—Fed‑driven momentum and sector‑wide gains in AI neoclouds—provides a backdrop that could amplify Nebius’s pricing moves, but also heightens sensitivity to macro‑rate changes. Keep an eye on the next earnings call for updated utilization, margin, and Amazon partnership metrics to confirm whether the recent price hikes translate into sustained revenue growth.
Earnings Summary
Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS) is a Dutch technology firm that delivers end‑to‑end AI infrastructure, including GPU clusters, cloud platforms and developer tools, and operates within the broader communication services sector focused on internet content and information. The company’s diversified portfolio—Toloka, TripleTen, and Avride—positions it across AI data, edtech, and autonomous driving, underscoring its role as a full‑stack AI enabler. In the most recent quarters, NBIS reported a revenue surge of 454% to $582 million in Q2 2026, supported by a $37.5 billion contracted backlog. This jump follows a $146 million revenue figure in Q3 2025 and a $105 million figure in Q2 2025, indicating a sharp acceleration in top‑line growth. EPS, however, has been volatile: the company posted a positive $2.45 EPS in Q2 2025 after a negative $0.39 EPS in Q1 2025, but then swung back to a negative $0.48 EPS in Q3 2025 and a negative $0.69 EPS in Q4 2025. Despite these swings, the company has consistently beat analyst EPS estimates in three of the last four quarters, with the most recent Q2 2026 EPS of –$0.12 exceeding the –$0.698 estimate. Historically, NBIS has shown a strong YoY revenue trajectory, with each quarter’s growth outpacing prior periods. The company has frequently outperformed analyst expectations on revenue, even when EPS misses have occurred, suggesting that revenue momentum is a more reliable indicator of performance than profitability at this stage. The pattern of high revenue growth coupled with fluctuating EPS highlights the capital‑intensive nature of scaling AI infrastructure. Recent news underscores the company’s pricing power and partnership expansion. A 5–15% price hike on Nvidia GPU and AMD CPU cloud tiers was announced, aimed at boosting margin contribution from compute services. Additionally, a partnership with Palantir as a preferred sovereign AI‑cloud provider and a long‑term agreement with Amazon to supply backup generators have added new revenue streams and broadened the customer base. Going forward, investors should watch for the company’s utilization metrics and margin impact following the recent price increases, as well as the pace at which the $37.5 billion backlog converts into cash flow. Monitoring Amazon’s execution timeline and any updates on the Palantir partnership will also be key to assessing whether the company can sustain its revenue acceleration and translate it into improved earnings in the next quarter.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$-1.71$-0.53$0.64$1.82$2.99Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$-0.67 - -
Q2'26$-0.70$-0.12+82.8%
Q4'25$-1.16$-0.69+40.8%
Q3'25$-0.40$-0.47-20.3%
Q2'25$-0.41$2.45+697.1%
Q1'25$-0.45$-0.39+12.7%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$-75M$207M$490M$772M$1.1BQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$924M - -
Q2'26$584M$582M-0.3%
Q4'25$251M$228M-9.3%
Q3'25 - $146M -
Q2'25 - $105M -
Q1'25 - $55M -

Market Data

NBIS Stock Snapshot

BUY77/100
$222.25$1.12 (0.5%)
Market cap
57.92B
P/E ratio
1366.1
Day range
$210.30 – $224.65
News sentiment
68/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$290.71 (+30.8%)
Consensus
Buy · 27 analysts
52-week range+226.3% off low · -25.9% from high
$68.12$299.86
Price $222.25 DailyIQ Est. $314.08

Price is in the middle of its 52-week range, and the momentum read backs that positioning up. The stock is liquid enough that positioning changes get absorbed without distorting the trend.

Behaviour On Record

What NBIS's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
65.0% 77th pct
Below its peak
-23.2%
vs 200-day average
+38.8%
Up days (1y)
47%

Nebius Group N.V. is currently running 65.0% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against NBIS's own 10 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 77th percentile elevated for this stock, against a typical reading of 40.5%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

NBIS is trading -23.2% below its running peak. Across 9 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -40.6%, and the deepest was -62.2% in 2014. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +38.8% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 87th percentile a wider gap than this stock usually carries. Over the past year NBIS closed higher on 47% of sessions, and it is currently 3 sessions into a rising streak.

On September specifically: over 10 years of records, NBIS finished the month higher 5 of 10 times, with a median return of -0.8% and an average of +6.3%. Its strongest month historically has been May at +11.4% on average, its weakest February at -6.3%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: NBIS has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 291 of 2,605 sessions (11.2% of the time), with the largest gaps running +9.9% and -22.0%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 2,606 daily closes between 2013-09-19 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against NBIS's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of NBIS's sector?

Nebius Group N.V. sits in the Technology sector, currently ranked 1st of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (leading).

Sector rank
#1 of 11
Sector state
Leading
Sector rotation score
90

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for NBIS?

CallsPuts

For Nebius Group N.V.'s nearest expiry (2026-09-25, 6 days out), open interest is roughly balanced between puts and calls (put/call ratio of 0.86), with at-the-money implied volatility around 73.8%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±9.4% move by that expiry — a range of about $192.97–$233.21.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-25)
0.86
ATM implied volatility
73.8%
Total open interest
48,218
Expected move by 2026-09-25
±9.4% ($192.97–$233.21)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on NBIS?

Truist Securities most recently initiated coverage on Nebius Group N.V. to Buy on Sep 9, 2026 with a price target of $355. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 1 upgrade against 0 downgrades, a net bullish lean.

Latest action
Truist SecuritiesBuy
90-day upgrades
1
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
+1
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 9, 2026Truist SecuritiesInitiatedBuy$355
Aug 18, 2026DA DavidsonMaintainedNeutral$175 → $250
Aug 14, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$278 → $324
Aug 13, 2026DA DavidsonMaintainedNeutral$175
Aug 13, 2026BairdMaintainedOutperform$250 → $340
Aug 8, 2026DA DavidsonMaintainedNeutral$250 → $175
Aug 5, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$287 → $278
Aug 3, 2026Piper SandlerInitiatedNeutral$224
Jul 22, 2026BairdInitiatedOutperform$250
Jul 20, 2026Northland Capital MarketsMaintainedOutperform$248 → $410
Jul 20, 2026Freedom Capital MarketsUpgradeHold → Buy$159 → $200
Jun 8, 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$240 → $280

NBIS Competitive Positioning

Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS) is tracked alongside these names in Internet Content & Information on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.