DailyIQ
DailyIQ
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NBIS·Nebius Group N.V.

$129.43
+9.06 (+7.53%)
After Hours
High
$136.87
Open
$130.72
Market Cap
32.72B
52W High
$299.86
Low
$117.50
P. Close
$129.43
P/E
771.77
52W Low
$68.12
Fwd P/E
-35.43
DailyIQ Est.
$307.94
Inst. Own.
23.9%
Short Interest
18.97%
Days to Cover
2.4
Technical Score (1D)
92
BULLISH
News Sentiment
51
MIXED
On Nov 5, Nebius Group (NASDAQ:NBIS) fell 14.03 percent as investors questioned the company’s ability to translate its rapid revenue growth into usable computing capacity, despite a 454 percent jump in Q2 revenue to $582.3 million and a 5 GW power guidance for the year. The same day, the stock also slipped 4 percent after the Texas gubernatorial election raised concerns about data‑center power restrictions, highlighting the risk of single‑state construction permits for AI cloud builders. Earlier on Nov 5, Citi reduced its price target for NBIS to $265 from $324, citing the company’s high debt load and dilution from a $2.8 billion equity sale and $5.75 billion convertible notes, while maintaining a Buy rating. That same day, a separate analysis noted that Nebius’s 2027 loss estimates had risen even as revenue forecasts increased, prompting a more cautious outlook. On Nov 5, a comparison article favored NBIS over CoreWeave for a three‑year horizon, pointing to NBIS’s stronger liquidity with a 4.03 current ratio and CoreWeave’s potential refinancing costs that could raise expenses. Earlier, a report highlighted that Nebius had secured a $3.5 billion financing facility from Citigroup on Oct 22, projecting a 2026 run‑rate revenue of $7 billion to $9 billion, and noted that the upcoming Q3 earnings release on Nov 12 would be critical for reassessing the company’s trajectory.
LOW TARGET
$84 -35.5%
2 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$281 +115.7%
17 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$410 +214.7%
13 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$84.00 - $410.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
8/13/9/1/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$307.94 (+136.3%)
Sector
Communication Services
Industry
Internet Content & Information
Exchange
NMS
Country
Netherlands
Symbol
NBIS
Description
Nebius Group N.V. is a technology firm based in Amsterdam, Netherlands, focused on providing comprehensive infrastructure solutions for the burgeoning global artificial intelligence sector. The company's core value proposition lies in its full-stack approach, offering large-scale GPU clusters, cloud platforms, and developer tools designed to support the development and deployment of AI applications. Nebius Group N.V. also strategically positions itself within the AI ecosystem through its diverse portfolio, including Toloka, a data partner for generative AI, TripleTen, an edtech platform focused on technology reskilling, and Avride, which is developing autonomous driving technology. Formerly known as Yandex N.V., the company rebranded in August 2024 and maintains a long-standing operational history, having been founded in 1989.
Bought (1Y)
2,014 shares
$330K
Sold (1Y)
1,295,035 shares
$287.2M
Boynton John Wilson IV-
Sell333 shares2026-10-29
Grimme Arne-
Buy148 shares2026-10-29
Grimme Arne-
Buy148 shares2026-10-28
Grimme Arne-
Buy205 shares2026-10-27
Grimme Arne-
Buy208 shares2026-10-26
81/ 100
Bullish
Overall: Bullish
✓Revenue growing year over year
✓Positive net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Net Margin
15.6%
Revenue CAGR
-1.1%
Current Ratio
3.08x
Debt / Equity
0.90x
Return on Equity
1.8%
Earnings Summary
In the most recent quarters, Nebius reported a dramatic revenue surge, with Q2 2025 revenue rising to $105.1 million from $55.3 million in Q1 2025, a 90% YoY increase, and Q3 2025 revenue climbing to $146.1 million, a 39% YoY jump. EPS, however, swung from a loss of $0.3885 in Q1 to a surprising profit of $2.4482 in Q2, before slipping to a loss of $0.475 in Q3, indicating volatility in profitability despite strong top‑line growth. Historically, the company has shown a consistent pattern of revenue acceleration, with Q4 2025 revenue of $227.7 million versus an estimate of $250.97 million, and Q2 2026 revenue of $582.3 million against an estimate of $584.2 million, underscoring a near‑flat revenue trajectory in the most recent period. EPS has fluctuated, with losses in Q4 2024 and Q4 2025 but a notable profit in Q2 2025, reflecting a mixed earnings track record. Recent news highlights a sharp share price decline following a rating downgrade on November 2, driven by concerns over debt‑market risk and GPU rental growth pressures, yet analysts have simultaneously raised price targets, citing a 454% YoY revenue growth in Q2 and large contracts such as a $27 billion agreement with Meta.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$-1.71$-0.53$0.64$1.82$2.99Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$-0.70 - -
Q2'26$-0.86$-0.68+21.2%
Q4'25$-1.16$-0.69+40.8%
Q3'25$-0.40$-0.47-20.3%
Q2'25$-0.41$2.45+697.1%
Q1'25$-0.45$-0.39+12.7%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$-75M$207M$490M$772M$1.1BQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$924M - -
Q2'26$584M$582M-0.3%
Q4'25$251M$228M-9.3%
Q3'25 - $146M -
Q2'25 - $105M -
Q1'25 - $55M -

Market Data

NBIS Stock Snapshot

BULLISH92/100
$130.30+$0.87 (0.7%)
Market cap
32.72B
P/E ratio
771.8
Day range
$117.50 – $136.87
News sentiment
51/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$281.00 (+115.7%)
Consensus
Buy · 32 analysts
52-week range+91.3% off low · -56.5% from high
$68.12$299.86
Price $130.30 DailyIQ Est. $307.94

Price is in the lower half of its 52-week range, and the momentum read backs that positioning up. The stock is liquid enough that positioning changes get absorbed without distorting the trend.

Behaviour On Record

What NBIS's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
103.8% 88th pct
Below its peak
-53.2%
vs 200-day average
-24.4%
Up days (1y)
47%

Nebius Group N.V. is currently running 103.8% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against NBIS's own 10 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 88th percentile — elevated for this stock, against a typical reading of 40.9%.

NBIS is trading -53.2% below its running peak. Across 10 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -41.0%, and the deepest was -62.2% in 2014. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began, and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -24.4% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 12th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year NBIS closed higher on 47% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a falling streak.

On November specifically: over 11 years of records, NBIS finished the month higher 5 of 11 times, with a median return of -2.6% and an average of +0.3%. Its strongest month historically has been May at +11.4% on average, its weakest February at -6.3%.

Overnight risk is measurable too: NBIS has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 301 of 2,607 sessions (11.5% of the time), with the largest gaps running +9.4% and -22.0%.

All figures computed from 2,608 daily closes between 2013-11-06 and 2026-11-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against NBIS's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of NBIS's sector?

Nebius Group N.V. sits in the Software sector, currently ranked 11th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging).

Sector rank
#11 of 12
Sector state
Lagging
Sector rotation score
18

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for NBIS?

CallsPuts

For Nebius Group N.V.'s nearest expiry (2026-11-06, 0 days out), open interest is roughly balanced between puts and calls (put/call ratio of 1.06), with at-the-money implied volatility around 98.4%.

Put/call ratio (2026-11-06)
1.06
ATM implied volatility
98.4%
Total open interest
74,206

Analyst Consensus Estimates

What do analysts expect NBIS to earn?

Analysts expect Nebius Group N.V. to earn -$2.11 per share in the fiscal year ending Dec 2026 and $10.49 in the fiscal year ending Dec 2029, from 2 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.

Quarter endingEPS estimateEPS rangeEPS analystsRevenue estimateRevenue analysts
Sep 2026-$1.24-$2.67 to -$0.565$906M17
Dec 2026-$1.78-$3.63 to -$0.434$1.46B17
Mar 2027$0.07-$0.68 to $0.483--
Jun 2027-$0.07-$0.63 to $0.413--
Sep 2027-$0.53-$0.77 to -$0.123--
Fiscal year endingEPS estimateEPS rangeEPS analystsRevenue estimateRevenue analysts
Dec 2026-$2.11-$6.41 to $0.499$3.35B21
Dec 2027-$6.16-$15.31 to $5.2710$12.24B22
Dec 2028$1.48-$5.82 to $6.744--
Dec 2029$10.49$10.35 to $10.632--

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on NBIS?

Citigroup most recently reiterated its rating on Nebius Group N.V. to Buy on Nov 4, 2026 with a price target of $265 (from $324). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 1 upgrade against 0 downgrades, a net bullish lean.

Latest action
Citigroup: Buy
90-day upgrades
1
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
+1
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Nov 4, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$324 → $265
Oct 21, 2026Piper SandlerMaintainedNeutral$237 → $185
Oct 8, 2026RosenblattInitiatedBuy$304
Sep 30, 2026William BlairInitiatedOutperform-
Sep 24, 2026BNP ParibasUpgradeNeutral → Outperform$260 → $399
Sep 21, 2026Rothschild & CoInitiatedSell$84
Sep 9, 2026Truist SecuritiesInitiatedBuy$355
Aug 18, 2026DA DavidsonMaintainedNeutral$175 → $250
Aug 14, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$278 → $324
Aug 13, 2026DA DavidsonMaintainedNeutral$175
Aug 13, 2026BairdMaintainedOutperform$250 → $340
Aug 8, 2026DA DavidsonMaintainedNeutral$250 → $175

Corporate Stakes

Which companies own a stake in NBIS?

0.47%held by NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation reports a stake in Nebius Group N.V. on SEC Form 13F: 1.2M shares, about 0.47% of the company, worth $328.8M at the end of Q2 2026. At today's price that stake is worth $155.1M, about 0.00% of NVDA's own market value.

Holder
NVDA
Shares held
1.2M
Stake
0.47%
Value
$328.8M
HolderLast quarterShares% of NBISValue at filingValue nowChange
NVIDIA Corporation NVDAUnchanged1.2M0.47%$328.8M$155.1M-52.8%

Form 13F lists US-listed shares held at quarter-end and is filed up to 45 days later. Stakes in private companies are not on it. Value now and Change put those same shares, adjusted for any stock split, at today's price against their reported quarter-end value, so they do not reflect buying or selling since.

Peers & ETF holders

NBIS peers & ETF holders

News & sentiment

What is the news saying about NBIS?

NBIS fell 48.3% over the month to Nov 6. News tone held between 25 and 59 from Oct 6 to Oct 20, then jumped to 64 on Oct 21.

Daily close and news tone, Oct 6 to Nov 6
$200Oct 6: tone 59Oct 7: tone 53Oct 8: tone 55Oct 9: tone 54Oct 11Oct 12: tone 30Oct 13: tone 54Oct 14: tone 49Oct 15: tone 28Oct 16: tone 34Oct 18Oct 19: tone 54Oct 20: tone 25Oct 21: tone 64Oct 22: tone 41Oct 23: tone 53Oct 26: tone 43Oct 27: tone 64Oct 28: tone 50Oct 29: tone 69Oct 30: tone 60Nov 2: tone 27Nov 3: tone 51Nov 4: tone 41Nov 5: tone 28Nov 6: tone 47Oct 6News toneNov 6123
  1. Oct 14 -14.4%same day: Nebius Group (NBIS) Stock Seems Overvalued As Its 168% Run Cools
  2. Oct 16 -11.2%same day: Funding Fears Could Be A Game Changer For Nebius Group (NBIS)
  3. Nov 5 -14.9%same day: Nebius Stock: The Bull Case, the Bear Case, and My Call Before Nov. 12

Technical analysis

How strong is NBIS's momentum right now?

On the daily chart NBIS ranks at the 92nd percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a bullish reading.

Momentum rank by timeframe0 = weakest, 100 = strongest
See what drives the rankThe inputs behind each timeframe's momentum rank, plus RSI, stochastics, Bollinger Bands and moving averages. Free with an account.

Institutional ownership

Are big funds buying or selling NBIS?

106 of the 154 tracked managers added to NBIS in their latest 13F and 42 trimmed. Together they own 23.4% of the company, worth $15.7B. Orbis Allan Gray and Fred Alger Management alone hold 4.9%.

106adding42trimming6unchanged
Largest holders by stake, latest 13FBar = share of NBIS
  1. $1.8B positionTrimmed 21.9% last quarter
  2. $1.6B positionTrimmed 40.3% last quarter
  3. $1.4B positionAdded 68.1% last quarter
  4. $1.2B positionNew position last quarter
  5. $1.1B positionAdded 16.2% last quarter
  6. $1.1B positionAdded 134.3% last quarter
  7. 7Amundi0.80%
    $552.9M positionAdded 49.0% last quarter
  8. $546.4M positionNew position last quarter
  9. $340.1M positionAdded 412.4% last quarter
  10. $332.3M positionAdded 1.2M shares last quarter
Full holdings history

Congressional trading

Is Congress trading NBIS?

1 member of Congress disclosed 1 NBIS trade on Mar 30, 2026: 1 buy, about $8.0K in estimated value.

BuysSellsMar
BuySell$1K–$15K$15K–$50K$50K–$100K$100K–$250K

Discover more

How has NBIS done against its peers?

Over the six months to Nov 6, NBIS returned −33.0%. Of the 13 related stocks and ETFs, 11 did better, led by SNOW at +97.8%.

Change since May 6, through Nov 6
−100%0%+100%+200%May 6JunJulAugSepOctNov 6SNOW +97.8%NBIS −33.0%SNDK −39.7%