DailyIQ
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Sector:Communication ServicesAll sectors
Last updated 3 minutes ago

NBIS·Nebius Group N.V.

$.
-. (-.%)
After Hours
High
$224.50
Open
$218.60
Market Cap
47.25B
52W High
$299.86
Low
$186.03
P. Close
$187.76
P/E
57.82
52W Low
$50.00
Fwd P/E
-116.38
DailyIQ Est.
$281.83
Technical Score (1D)
50
NEUTRAL
News Sentiment
75
BULLISH
Microsoft’s multiyear $17 billion revenue agreement with Nebius, announced just over six hours ago, immediately signals a substantial boost to the company’s cash flow and validates its cloud‑infrastructure model. The deal, which will see Microsoft tap Nebius’s data‑center capacity across Europe and the U.S., is likely to accelerate Nebius’s expansion plans and improve its earnings outlook over the next 10 trading days. At the same time, Nvidia’s disclosure of a 9.3 % stake and a $2 billion investment, also reported six hours ago, underscores the firm’s confidence in Nebius’s AI platform and could open the door to early access to next‑generation GPUs. Together, the Microsoft and Nvidia commitments reinforce Nebius’s positioning as a key AI‑infrastructure partner, potentially driving higher demand for its high‑performance computing services. However, the company’s exposure to sanctions stemming from the Ukraine‑Russia conflict remains a regulatory risk that could affect its operations in certain markets. Over the next 10 days, traders should watch for Nebius’s quarterly revenue guidance to see how the Microsoft deal translates into actual top‑line growth. Monitoring Nvidia’s quarterly updates will also be important to gauge whether the partnership yields tangible GPU deployments and whether the 5 GW of planned AI systems by 2030 materializes. Additionally, any regulatory announcements regarding sanctions or data‑center approvals could quickly alter the risk profile of Nebius’s expansion plans. The convergence of large‑cap tech partnerships and the company’s own data‑center footprint suggests a near‑term upside if execution proceeds smoothly. Investors should remain alert to any signs of operational delays or geopolitical developments that could temper the enthusiasm generated by these recent deals.
Earnings Summary
Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS) is a Dutch technology firm that supplies end‑to‑end AI infrastructure solutions, including GPU clusters, cloud platforms, and developer tools, and has diversified its portfolio with data‑labeling, edtech, and autonomous driving ventures, thereby positioning itself within the high‑growth AI ecosystem. Over the past four quarters, NBIS has consistently outperformed earnings estimates, with Q4 2024 EPS of –$0.3712 beating –$0.39, Q1 2025 EPS of –$0.3885 beating –$0.445, Q2 2025 EPS of $2.4482 far exceeding –$0.41, Q3 2025 EPS of –$0.475 missing –$0.395, and Q4 2025 EPS of –$0.69 beating –$1.1648; revenue has shown a steady upward trajectory from $37.9 million in Q4 2024 to $227.7 million in Q4 2025, reflecting expanding contract volumes. Historically, the company’s revenue growth has been robust while EPS has fluctuated, yet the majority of quarters have resulted in earnings beats, indicating resilience amid margin pressures. Recent news highlights Nvidia’s disclosure of a 9.3 % equity stake in NBIS, a strategic partnership that could accelerate product development and supply‑chain efficiencies, alongside a $775 million debt facility that supports global expansion; these developments are likely to influence future earnings and capital structure. Investors should watch for the upcoming Q2 2026 earnings release, which will provide guidance on the impact of the Nvidia partnership, the Microsoft and Meta agreements, and the debt maturity schedule, as well as any updates on joint initiatives or covenant compliance that could affect the company’s short‑term valuation and growth trajectory.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$-1.71$-0.53$0.64$1.82$2.99Q4'24Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$-0.61 - -
Q4'25$-1.16$-0.69+40.8%
Q3'25$-0.40$-0.47-20.3%
Q2'25$-0.41$2.45+697.1%
Q1'25$-0.45$-0.39+12.7%
Q4'24$-0.39$-0.37+4.8%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$-44M$133M$310M$487M$665MQ4'24Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$583M - -
Q4'25$251M$228M-9.3%
Q3'25 - $146M -
Q2'25 - $105M -
Q1'25 - $55M -
Q4'24 - $38M -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
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Market Data

NBIS Stock Snapshot

NBIS is currently trading at $189.60, giving Nebius Group N.V. a market cap of 47.25B and a P/E ratio of 57.8. Today's range spans $186.03–$224.50, with shares opening at $218.60 and moving up $1.84 (1.0%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 50/100 (HOLD) with a news sentiment reading of 75/100.

Over the past year NBIS has traded between $50.00 and $299.86 - the current price is +279.2% off the 52-week low and -36.8% from the high. 25 analysts cover the stock with a Buy consensus and a mean 12-month target of $258.13 (range $120.00–$410.00), implying upside of +36.1%.

A HOLD read (50/100) for NBIS at $189.60 (in the middle of its 52-week range) with bullish sentiment (75/100) tells the story of a large-cap Communication Services stock between identifiable trends. The current P/E ratio stands at 57.8. The 47.25B market cap keeps institutional interest alive; the 52-week range of $50.00–$299.86 keeps the trade interesting. HOLD signals here aren't an endpoint - they're a setup phase waiting for the right trigger.

Portfolio construction in Communication Services often uses large-cap names like NBIS as tactical swing positions during neutral phases: cheap enough to overweight, liquid enough to exit quickly, and large enough to provide meaningful sector beta. The current 50/100 (HOLD) at $189.60 (in the middle of its 52-week range) and bullish sentiment (75/100) frame the position as a catalyst play within the $50.00–$299.86 annual range rather than a directional bet.