FE·FirstEnergy Corp.

Realized volatility (21d)

22.4% 70th pct

Below its peak

-13.5%

vs 200-day average

-4.7%

Up days (1y)

49%

FirstEnergy Corp. is currently running 22.4% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against FE's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 70th percentile — a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 19.3%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

FE is trading -13.5% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -13.4%, and the deepest was -49.1% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -4.7% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 22nd percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year FE closed higher on 49% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, FE finished the month higher 11 of 13 times, with a median return of +2.0% and an average of +3.4%. Its strongest month historically has been October at +3.4% on average, its weakest September at -1.7%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: FE has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 70 of 3,267 sessions (2.1% of the time), with the largest gaps running +9.4% and -8.4%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, FE moved an average of 1.1% in the session after earnings, closing higher 3 of those 3 times, with a median move of +0.5% and a largest of +2.6%.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-10-15 and 2026-10-13, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against FE's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.