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CQP·Cheniere Energy Partners, LP

$65.80
+0.20 (+0.30%)
High
$66.82
Open
$65.83
Market Cap
32.79B
52W High
$71.25
Low
$65.64
P. Close
$65.80
P/E
10.44
52W Low
$49.53
Fwd P/E
14.15
DailyIQ Est.
$56.65
Inst. Ownership
21.3%
Short Interest
0.13%
Days to Cover
7.5
Technical Score (1D)
36
SELL
News Sentiment
56
BULLISH
Cheniere Energy Partners, LP (CQP) is still stuck in a low-conviction zone on the 1D chart, printing 36 with weakening momentum and a SELL read that does not offer much edge. Sentiment at 56 is diverging from the sideways action, which keeps breakout traders waiting for proof. Until price resolves beyond $63.23 or $68.49, this remains a trade location more than a trend. The longer CQP sits between $63.23 and $68.49 without resolving, the more energy tends to build for whichever direction eventually wins out. That's not a reason to anticipate the break - it's a reason to have orders ready on both sides so the reaction, whenever it comes, doesn't get missed entirely.
Earnings Summary
Cheniere Energy Partners, LP (CQP) is a key player in the global natural gas market, specializing in the liquefaction and export of natural gas through its Sabine Pass LNG Terminal in Louisiana, supported by an integrated supply pipeline that ensures a reliable feedstock flow to large energy companies, utilities, and trading firms worldwide. Operating within the Oil & Gas Midstream sector, the company benefits from its parent Cheniere Energy’s infrastructure and expertise, positioning it for continued growth amid rising global demand for LNG. In the most recent quarter, Q4 2024, CQP reported EPS of $1.0909 versus an estimate of $1.06518, a modest beat, while revenue reached $2.46 billion, slightly below the $2.8128 billion estimate for Q4 2025, indicating a deceleration in top‑line growth. The company’s earnings trend shows a consistent pattern of EPS beats in the last two quarters, with Q4 2024 beating estimates and Q2 2026 EPS of $1.10 beating the $0.9833 estimate, yet revenue in Q2 2026 fell to $2.583 billion from an estimate of $2.680 billion, suggesting margin strength but sales pressure. Historically, CQP has maintained year‑over‑year revenue growth, with Q4 2024 revenue up 5.6% YoY, while EPS growth has been volatile, reflecting sensitivity to LNG spot prices; the company has frequently outperformed earnings estimates even when revenue misses occur, underscoring robust pricing power. Recent news highlights JPMorgan and RBC’s divergent ratings but shared price‑target lift to $65, driven by a Q2 earnings beat from higher LNG margins; the commentary stresses the importance of gas‑price dynamics and export volume guidance, implying that future earnings will hinge on spot‑price movements and regulatory approvals. Investors should watch the upcoming Q2 2026 earnings release for updated guidance on gas‑price trends, operational efficiency, and capital allocation, as well as any regulatory developments affecting LNG export approvals, which could materially impact cash flows and valuation.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.96$1.01$1.05$1.09$1.13Q4'24Q2'26Q4'25
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'25$1.11 - -
Q2'26$0.98$1.10+11.9%
Q4'24$1.07$1.09+2.4%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$2.4B$2.5B$2.6B$2.8B$2.9BQ4'24Q2'26Q4'25
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'25$2.8B - -
Q2'26$2.7B$2.6B-3.6%
Q4'24 - $2.5B -

Market Data

CQP Stock Snapshot

HOLD36/100
$65.80+$0.20 (0.3%)
Market cap
32.79B
P/E ratio
10.4
Day range
$65.64 – $66.82
News sentiment
56/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$60.00 (-8.8%)
Consensus
Sell · 22 analysts
52-week range+32.8% off low · -7.6% from high
$49.53$71.25
Price $65.80 DailyIQ Est. $56.65

The technical read on CQP is balanced, which usually means the market is waiting on a catalyst. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into CQP?

CHEAP

At today's price, Cheniere Energy Partners, LP needs to grow free cash flow about -1.9% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 7.19% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 33.5% a year, so the market is asking for 35.4 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis CQP looks priced below what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
-1.9%
Historical FCF CAGR
33.5%
Growth gap
-35.4 pts
Verdict
CHEAP
Discount rate (WACC)
7.19%
Beta
0.67

Behaviour On Record

What CQP's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
25.9% 41st pct
Below its peak
-7.7%
vs 200-day average
+6.7%
Up days (1y)
53%

Cheniere Energy Partners, LP is currently running 25.9% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against CQP's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 41st percentile close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 27.8%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

CQP is trading -7.7% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -22.3%, and the deepest was -56.3% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +6.7% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 64th percentile a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year CQP closed higher on 53% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.

On September specifically: over 14 years of records, CQP finished the month higher 7 of 14 times, with a median return of +0.4% and an average of +0.2%. Its strongest month historically has been January at +3.7% on average, its weakest December at -2.0%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: CQP has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 205 of 3,268 sessions (6.3% of the time), with the largest gaps running +12.7% and -7.8%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-09-16 and 2026-09-15, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against CQP's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of CQP's sector?

Cheniere Energy Partners, LP sits in the Utilities sector, currently ranked 10th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging).

Sector rank
#10 of 11
Sector state
Lagging
Sector rotation score
0

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for CQP?

CallsPuts

For Cheniere Energy Partners, LP's nearest expiry (2026-09-18, 3 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.11), with at-the-money implied volatility around 71.7%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±4.9% move by that expiry — a range of about $62.79–$69.27.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-18)
0.11
ATM implied volatility
71.7%
Total open interest
2,742
Expected move by 2026-09-18
±4.9% ($62.79–$69.27)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on CQP?

JP Morgan most recently reiterated its rating on Cheniere Energy Partners, LP to Underweight on Sep 4, 2026 with a price target of $65 (from $64). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
JP MorganUnderweight
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 4, 2026JP MorganMaintainedUnderweight$64 → $65
Aug 24, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedSector Perform$62 → $65
Aug 7, 2026BarclaysMaintainedUnderweight$63 → $66
Jul 24, 2026JP MorganMaintainedUnderweight$63 → $64
Jul 15, 2026BarclaysMaintainedUnderweight$60 → $63
Apr 2, 2026CitigroupMaintainedSell$49 → $55
Mar 27, 2026JP MorganMaintainedUnderweight$57 → $63
Mar 23, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedEqual-Weight$55 → $72
Mar 20, 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainedUnderperform$51 → $57
Mar 13, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedUnderweight$56 → $54
Mar 6, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedSector Perform$58 → $62
Feb 27, 2026BarclaysMaintainedUnderweight$55 → $60

CQP Competitive Positioning

Cheniere Energy Partners, LP (CQP) is tracked alongside these names in Oil & Gas Midstream on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.