DailyIQ
Last updated1 minute ago

FNF·Fidelity National Financial, Inc.

$42.51
-0.56 (-1.30%)
Market Closed (Overnight)$42.50-0.01 (-0.02%)
High
$43.08
Open
$42.62
Market Cap
11.40B
52W High
$58.54
Low
$42.33
P. Close
$42.51
P/E
14.76
52W Low
$42.32
Fwd P/E
7.34
DailyIQ Est.
$62.68
Inst. Ownership
36.5%
Short Interest
3.42%
Days to Cover
6.3
Technical Score (1D)
0
SELL
News Sentiment
53
MIXED
FNF’s relative strength index has dipped to the 30‑level range, signalling that the stock is now technically oversold and could be primed for a rebound in the coming quarter. This technical shift suggests that traders may view the current price as a buying opportunity, potentially driving short‑term upside if the market follows the trend. The implication for the next 1–10 trading days is that any upward movement will likely be driven by momentum rather than a fundamental shift, so price action will be the key indicator. Watch for a breakout above the recent resistance zone; a sustained move above that level would confirm the technical thesis and could trigger additional buying. Also monitor any earnings guidance or corporate announcements that might provide a fundamental boost to support the technical rally. If FNF fails to break resistance, the oversold signal could reverse, leading to a pullback. Keep an eye on broader market volatility, as a tightening risk environment could dampen the momentum. Finally, observe any changes in sector sentiment, as a shift in investor appetite for financial stocks could either reinforce or undermine the current technical setup.
Earnings Summary
Fidelity National Financial, Inc. (FNF) is a leading provider of title insurance, escrow services, and related real‑estate transaction products, while also offering annuity and life insurance solutions through its F&G segment, positioning it within the broader financial services and specialty insurance sectors. The company’s core revenue streams derive from title and commercial mortgage activities, with a diversified portfolio that supports both residential and commercial real‑estate markets. In Q4 2024, FNF reported EPS of $1.34 versus an estimate of $1.21088, and revenue of $3.621 billion, exceeding expectations. The following quarter, Q4 2025, saw EPS of $1.41 against an estimate of $1.5116, slightly below guidance, but revenue rose to $4.051 billion from an estimate of $3.732 billion, indicating a strong top‑line acceleration. Compared to the prior two quarters, the company maintained a consistent revenue growth trajectory while experiencing a modest EPS decline in the most recent quarter, reflecting a pattern of beating revenue estimates but missing EPS guidance in the latest reporting period. Historically, FNF has shown a steady YoY revenue growth trend, with title‑segment margins expanding to 17.8% in recent earnings. The company has frequently beat revenue estimates, though EPS has occasionally lagged behind analyst expectations, suggesting a recurring pattern of margin expansion offset by cost pressures or higher claim costs. This trend underscores the company’s ability to generate robust top‑line growth while navigating earnings volatility. Recent news highlights a 33% jump in adjusted pretax title earnings and a 24% rise in commercial revenue, underscoring margin resilience amid a muted residential market. Analysts remain divided on valuation, with some maintaining overweight ratings and others adjusting targets, reflecting uncertainty around competitive dynamics and potential margin pressure from recruiting and technology spend. Investors should watch the upcoming Q3 guidance for updates on underwriting margin trends, regulatory changes affecting title pricing, and capital allocation plans, as these factors will shape FNF’s near‑term earnings trajectory and valuation outlook.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$1.17$1.26$1.36$1.46$1.56Q4'24Q4'25Q1'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'26$1.44 - -
Q4'25$1.51$1.41-6.7%
Q4'24$1.21$1.34+10.7%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$3.6B$3.7B$3.8B$4.0B$4.1BQ4'24Q4'25Q1'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'26$3.9B - -
Q4'25$3.7B$4.1B+8.5%
Q4'24 - $3.6B -

Market Data

FNF Stock Snapshot

SELL0/100
$42.50$0.01 (0.0%)
Market cap
11.40B
P/E ratio
14.8
Day range
$42.33 – $43.08
News sentiment
53/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$61.40 (+44.5%)
Consensus
Buy · 12 analysts
52-week range+0.4% off low · -27.4% from high
$42.32$58.54
Price $42.50 DailyIQ Est. $62.68

Momentum has rolled over on Fidelity National Financial, Inc., which is what drives the bearish read. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.

Behaviour On Record

What FNF's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
20.3% 37th pct
Below its peak
-33.1%
vs 200-day average
-15.5%
Up days (1y)
47%

Fidelity National Financial, Inc. is currently running 20.3% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against FNF's own 12 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 37th percentile on the quiet side for this stock, against a typical reading of 22.5%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

FNF is trading -33.1% below its running peak. Across 11 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -20.8%, and the deepest was -56.7% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -15.5% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 6th percentile a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year FNF closed higher on 47% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, FNF finished the month higher 3 of 13 times, with a median return of -2.0% and an average of -2.4%. Its strongest month historically has been July at +5.3% on average, its weakest March at -3.2%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: FNF has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 135 of 3,078 sessions (4.4% of the time), with the largest gaps running +25.6% and -10.7%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,079 daily closes between 2014-06-23 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against FNF's own 12-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of FNF's sector?

Fidelity National Financial, Inc. sits in the Financials sector, currently ranked 5th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging).

Sector rank
#5 of 11
Sector state
Lagging
Sector rotation score
50

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for FNF?

CallsPuts

For Fidelity National Financial, Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 26 days out), open interest is put-heavy, a defensive/bearish tilt (put/call ratio of 80.22), with at-the-money implied volatility around 59.0%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±15.7% move by that expiry — a range of about $43.39–$59.61.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16)
80.22
ATM implied volatility
59.0%
Total open interest
10,477
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±15.7% ($43.39–$59.61)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on FNF?

Stephens & Co. most recently reiterated its rating on Fidelity National Financial, Inc. to Overweight on Aug 24, 2026 with a price target of $55. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
Stephens & Co.Overweight
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Aug 24, 2026Stephens & Co.ReiteratedOverweight$55
Aug 10, 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainedOutperform$64 → $61
Aug 7, 2026BarclaysMaintainedEqual-Weight$51 → $54
Jul 7, 2026BarclaysMaintainedEqual-Weight$50 → $51
Jun 25, 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainedOutperform$67 → $64
May 12, 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainedOverweight$61 → $58
May 11, 2026BarclaysMaintainedEqual-Weight$54 → $50
Apr 10, 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainedOutperform$71 → $67
Apr 6, 2026BarclaysMaintainedEqual-Weight$63 → $54
Feb 23, 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainedOutperform$70 → $71
Jan 6, 2026BarclaysMaintainedEqual-Weight$64 → $63
Dec 18, 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainedOutperform$70 → $72