FROG·JFrog Ltd.

Realized volatility (21d)

52.8% 51st pct

Below its peak

-6.9%

vs 200-day average

+42.8%

Up days (1y)

52%

JFrog Ltd. is currently running 52.8% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against FROG's own 6 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 51st percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 51.9%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

FROG is trading -6.9% below its running peak. Across 5 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -46.9%, and the deepest was -59.3% in 2021. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +42.8% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 93rd percentile — a wider gap than this stock usually carries. Over the past year FROG closed higher on 52% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 6 years of records, FROG finished the month higher 3 of 6 times, with a median return of -0.3% and an average of -1.0%. Its strongest month historically has been May at +11.5% on average, its weakest February at -5.0%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: FROG has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 227 of 1,519 sessions (14.9% of the time), with the largest gaps running +8.0% and -8.6%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 1,520 daily closes between 2020-09-16 and 2026-10-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against FROG's own 6-year history, not a peer group or index.