DailyIQ
Last updated2 minutes ago

GOOG·Alphabet Inc.

$344.22
+0.64 (+0.19%)
Market Closed (Overnight)$346.08+1.86 (+0.54%)
High
$355.13
Open
$351.22
Market Cap
4.27T
52W High
$404.47
Low
$343.87
P. Close
$344.22
P/E
17.51
52W Low
$234.13
Fwd P/E
23.20
DailyIQ Est.
$437.79
Inst. Ownership
-
Short Interest
0.37%
Days to Cover
2.9
Technical Score (1D)
82
BUY
News Sentiment
61
BULLISH
Alphabet’s most recent earnings outlook shows a 27.2 % year‑over‑year revenue rise to $111.26 billion and an EPS forecast of $2.93, a strong upside that is already reflected in the 1.3 % market‑outperforming move. The rally is driven by the company’s core Search business, which still accounts for 53 % of Q2 revenue, and by a broader valuation advantage that analysts see as a buying window for the fourth quarter. However, Mark Cuban’s criticism that Google may be funding its AI build‑out through ad revenue generated by anti‑AI content introduces uncertainty about the sustainability of its AI investment strategy, especially as competitive pressure from Meta’s more robust funding model intensifies. This concern could temper enthusiasm for the near‑term AI‑related growth if Google’s capital allocation becomes constrained. In the same breath, the company’s recent $22 billion debt financing for Crux AI to deploy TPUs externally signals a push to monetize its AI hardware beyond internal use, potentially opening a new revenue stream that could offset any funding shortfall. Meanwhile, the regulatory landscape remains a backdrop, with a U.S. judge’s ruling requiring Google to interoperate its ad‑tech stack with rivals, a move that may increase compliance costs but also level the playing field for independent ad‑tech firms. The combination of a robust earnings forecast, a potential shift in AI funding dynamics, and evolving regulatory obligations suggests that traders should watch the upcoming earnings release for guidance updates, any disclosure on AI funding sources, and the court’s implementation timeline for the ad‑tech remedies. If earnings confirm the projected growth and Google reassures investors about its AI capital strategy, the stock could maintain its upward trajectory; if not, the recent regulatory and funding concerns may weigh on sentiment.
Earnings Summary
Alphabet Inc., a global technology leader, operates through Google Services, Google Cloud, and Other Bets, generating revenue primarily from advertising, search, and cloud offerings. In Q4 2024, EPS of $2.15 slightly exceeded estimates, while revenue reached $96.5 billion; Q1 2025 saw a strong EPS of $2.81 against an estimate of $2.01 and revenue of $90.2 billion, indicating robust earnings growth, though Q2 2025 EPS of $2.31 trailed the $2.20 estimate and revenue of $96.4 billion matched expectations. Over the past year, Alphabet has maintained a YoY revenue growth rate above 10 %, with EPS consistently beating estimates in the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting solid profitability; however, the company has faced regulatory headwinds that could impact ad‑tech margins. Recent developments include a federal judge’s dismissal of a DOJ bid to force divestiture of key ad‑tech assets, a TPU AI chip product launch, and participation in an AI Energy Management Alliance, all of which provide a regulatory tailwind, potential new hardware revenue, and cost‑saving opportunities for data‑center operations. Investors should watch for updates on the implementation of the ad‑tech ruling, the progression of TPU sales into 2027, and any regulatory actions from the NYC AI risk hearing, as these factors will influence Alphabet’s ad‑tech revenue stability and AI‑hardware monetization.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$1.88$2.16$2.44$2.72$3.00Q4'24Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q1'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'26$2.63 - -
Q3'25$2.26$2.87+26.9%
Q2'25$2.20$2.31+5.1%
Q1'25$2.01$2.81+39.8%
Q4'24$2.13$2.15+1.2%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$87.7B$93.2B$98.6B$104.1B$109.6BQ4'24Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q1'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'26$107.0B - -
Q3'25 - $102.3B -
Q2'25 - $96.4B -
Q1'25 - $90.2B -
Q4'24 - $96.5B -

Market Data

GOOG Stock Snapshot

BUY82/100
$346.08+$1.86 (0.5%)
Market cap
4.27T
P/E ratio
17.5
Day range
$343.87 – $355.13
News sentiment
61/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$422.34 (+22.0%)
Consensus
Buy · 72 analysts
52-week range+47.8% off low · -14.4% from high
$234.13$404.47
Price $346.08 DailyIQ Est. $437.79

Alphabet Inc. screens well technically, with price sitting in the middle of its 52-week range. At this size, moves are driven by index flows and macro positioning as much as by company news.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into GOOG?

RICH

At today's price, Alphabet Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 42.3% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 10.53% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 18.9% a year, so the market is asking for 23.4 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis GOOG looks priced above what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
42.3%
Historical FCF CAGR
18.9%
Growth gap
+23.4 pts
Verdict
RICH
Discount rate (WACC)
10.53%
Beta
1.14

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of GOOG's sector?

Alphabet Inc. sits in the Communication Services sector, currently ranked 3rd of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging).

Sector rank
#3 of 11
Sector state
Lagging
Sector rotation score
70

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for GOOG?

CallsPuts

For Alphabet Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-09-25, 5 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.61), with at-the-money implied volatility around 31.9%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±3.8% move by that expiry — a range of about $338.67–$365.29.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-25)
0.61
ATM implied volatility
31.9%
Total open interest
48,700
Expected move by 2026-09-25
±3.8% ($338.67–$365.29)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on GOOG?

JP Morgan most recently reiterated its rating on Alphabet Inc. to Overweight on Jul 23, 2026 with a price target of $420 (from $460). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
JP MorganOverweight
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Jul 23, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$460 → $420
Jul 23, 2026TD CowenReiteratedBuy$475
Jul 23, 2026OppenheimerMaintainedOutperform$445 → $400
Jun 9, 2026TD CowenMaintainedBuy$450 → $475
May 15, 2026OppenheimerMaintainedOutperform$425 → $445
Apr 30, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$395 → $460
Apr 30, 2026TD CowenMaintainedBuy$375 → $450
Apr 30, 2026ScotiabankMaintainedSector Outperform$400 → $450
Apr 16, 2026TD CowenMaintainedBuy$365 → $375
Feb 12, 2026UBSMaintainedNeutral$345 → $348
Feb 5, 2026ScotiabankMaintainedSector Outperform$375 → $400
Feb 5, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$385 → $395

GOOG Competitive Positioning

Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) is tracked alongside these names in Internet Content & Information on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.