DailyIQ
Last updated1 minute ago

GOOG·Alphabet Inc.

$341.24
-4.47 (-1.29%)
High
$344.36
Open
$343.34
Market Cap
4.14T
52W High
$404.47
Low
$339.18
P. Close
$341.24
P/E
16.95
52W Low
$234.13
Fwd P/E
23.24
DailyIQ Est.
$437.79
Inst. Ownership
-
Short Interest
0.37%
Days to Cover
2.9
Technical Score (1D)
64
BUY
News Sentiment
54
MIXED
YouTube TV’s decision to drop Court TV, Tastemade and The Young Turks on September 30, 2026 signals a tightening of its channel mix that could erode appeal among cord‑cutters and prompt Google to revisit pricing or add alternative content to retain subscribers. The same day, Google’s partnership with FOMO Pay to launch autonomous, agent‑initiated payments across Asian SMBs illustrates a strategic pivot toward customer‑centric AI deployment, expanding Google’s footprint in the fast‑growing fintech‑payments sector and potentially generating new revenue streams. Together, these moves suggest Google is simultaneously trimming discretionary offerings while accelerating AI‑driven services to capture higher‑margin markets. Earlier this week, DeepMind chief Demis Hassabis joined Anthropic, Musk and Altman in calling for a global slowdown of frontier AI model development, a stance that could lead to tighter internal controls and delayed product rollouts. The call may dampen short‑term enthusiasm for AI‑driven services and increase compliance costs, but it could also reduce regulatory scrutiny and give Google time to consolidate its AI capabilities. In the same timeframe, Alphabet’s $220 billion bond issuance to fund AI‑driven data‑center expansion has compressed tech credit spreads, raising borrowing costs that could pressure free‑cash‑flow generation and cloud‑ad revenue growth. Earlier this month, Waymo’s launch of its robotaxi service in Las Vegas added a 15th U.S. market, bolstering its competitive position against Tesla and Motional and potentially driving future revenue growth. Meanwhile, Google’s CEO warned that token usage has surged sevenfold, highlighting memory bandwidth and power constraints that could delay new infrastructure and limit AI expansion. These supply‑side concerns underscore the need for continued investment in data‑center capacity to sustain AI‑service growth. In the next 1–10 trading days, watch for any pricing or lineup adjustments from YouTube TV that could affect subscriber churn, announcements from FOMO Pay on payment volumes that validate the partnership, and any regulatory or policy developments stemming from the AI slowdown debate. Also monitor Alphabet’s debt‑service metrics and Waymo’s ride‑share performance for signs of operational impact on cloud and autonomous mobility revenues.
Earnings Summary
Alphabet Inc. is a global technology leader operating through its Google Services and Google Cloud segments, delivering advertising, search, YouTube, Android, and enterprise cloud solutions across multiple regions. The company’s core value proposition lies in its diverse portfolio, which includes AI solutions and other bets in healthcare and internet services, positioning it firmly within the Communication Services sector and Internet Content & Information industry. In the most recent quarters, Alphabet reported EPS of $2.15 in Q4 2024, beating the $2.125 estimate, and $2.81 in Q1 2025, well above the $2.009 estimate, while revenue rose to $96.47 billion from $90.23 billion. Q2 2025 EPS of $2.31 surpassed the $2.198 estimate, and revenue returned to $96.43 billion, indicating a slight deceleration in revenue growth but sustained EPS momentum. Q3 2025 EPS climbed to $2.87 versus the $2.262 estimate, with revenue reaching $102.35 billion, the highest in the series. The company has consistently beat estimates in all four quarters, with EPS growth outpacing revenue growth. Historically, Alphabet has shown a steady YoY revenue increase, with a 6.5% rise in Q3 2025 compared to Q3 2024, and EPS growth of 27% year‑over‑year. The company has maintained a pattern of beating analyst expectations, especially in EPS, while revenue growth has remained robust but occasionally decelerated, as seen in Q2 2025. This consistency underscores Alphabet’s ability to generate earnings above forecasts even when revenue expansion slows. Recent news highlights Alphabet’s launch of Gemini and its integration into Google Search, which is expected to lift user engagement and revenue. The company’s $15.1 billion Finnish AI infrastructure build and geothermal power agreements signal continued investment in AI and sustainability, potentially supporting future earnings guidance. Investors should watch for the next quarterly guidance on TPU sales volumes and YouTube revenue growth, as these metrics will indicate whether AI hardware competition and core advertising streams are converging or diverging. Key will be how the new AI infrastructure and Gemini adoption translate into operating income and whether regulatory developments in Europe impact advertising revenue or cloud pricing.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$1.88$2.16$2.44$2.72$3.00Q4'24Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q1'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'26$2.63 - -
Q3'25$2.26$2.87+26.9%
Q2'25$2.20$2.31+5.1%
Q1'25$2.01$2.81+39.8%
Q4'24$2.13$2.15+1.2%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$87.7B$93.2B$98.6B$104.1B$109.6BQ4'24Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q1'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'26$107.0B - -
Q3'25 - $102.3B -
Q2'25 - $96.4B -
Q1'25 - $90.2B -
Q4'24 - $96.5B -

Market Data

GOOG Stock Snapshot

HOLD64/100
$341.24$4.47 (1.3%)
Market cap
4.14T
P/E ratio
16.9
Day range
$339.18 – $344.36
News sentiment
54/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$422.34 (+23.8%)
Consensus
Buy · 72 analysts
52-week range+45.7% off low · -15.6% from high
$234.13$404.47
Price $341.24 DailyIQ Est. $437.79

The technical read on GOOG is balanced, which usually means the market is waiting on a catalyst. At this size, moves are driven by index flows and macro positioning as much as by company news.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into GOOG?

RICH

At today's price, Alphabet Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 42.2% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 10.53% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 18.9% a year, so the market is asking for 23.3 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis GOOG looks priced above what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
42.2%
Historical FCF CAGR
18.9%
Growth gap
+23.3 pts
Verdict
RICH
Discount rate (WACC)
10.53%
Beta
1.14

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of GOOG's sector?

Alphabet Inc. sits in the Communication Services sector, currently ranked 2nd of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (leading).

Sector rank
#2 of 11
Sector state
Leading
Sector rotation score
90

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for GOOG?

CallsPuts

For Alphabet Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-09-18, 3 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.68), with at-the-money implied volatility around 29.8%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±2.7% move by that expiry — a range of about $331.58–$349.80.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-18)
0.68
ATM implied volatility
29.8%
Total open interest
279,279
Expected move by 2026-09-18
±2.7% ($331.58–$349.80)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on GOOG?

JP Morgan most recently reiterated its rating on Alphabet Inc. to Overweight on Jul 23, 2026 with a price target of $420 (from $460). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
JP MorganOverweight
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Jul 23, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$460 → $420
Jul 23, 2026TD CowenReiteratedBuy$475
Jul 23, 2026OppenheimerMaintainedOutperform$445 → $400
Jun 9, 2026TD CowenMaintainedBuy$450 → $475
May 15, 2026OppenheimerMaintainedOutperform$425 → $445
Apr 30, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$395 → $460
Apr 30, 2026TD CowenMaintainedBuy$375 → $450
Apr 30, 2026ScotiabankMaintainedSector Outperform$400 → $450
Apr 16, 2026TD CowenMaintainedBuy$365 → $375
Feb 12, 2026UBSMaintainedNeutral$345 → $348
Feb 5, 2026ScotiabankMaintainedSector Outperform$375 → $400
Feb 5, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$385 → $395

GOOG Competitive Positioning

Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) is tracked alongside these names in Internet Content & Information on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.