META·Meta Platforms, Inc.

Realized volatility (21d)

49.8% 88th pct

Below its peak

-3.4%

vs 200-day average

+21.3%

Up days (1y)

55%

Meta Platforms, Inc. is currently running 49.8% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against META's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 88th percentile — elevated for this stock, against a typical reading of 29.5%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

META is trading -3.4% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -20.3%, and the deepest was -73.8% in 2022. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +21.3% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 84th percentile — a wider gap than this stock usually carries. Over the past year META closed higher on 55% of sessions, and it is currently 3 sessions into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 14 years of records, META finished the month higher 6 of 14 times, with a median return of -1.4% and an average of -1.8%. Its strongest month historically has been January at +7.9% on average, its weakest February at -4.1%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: META has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 45 of 3,270 sessions (1.4% of the time), with the largest gaps running +6.6% and -7.1%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, META moved an average of 1.3% in the session after earnings, closing higher 2 of those 3 times, with a median move of +0.1% and a largest of +2.4%.

All figures computed from 3,271 daily closes between 2013-10-15 and 2026-10-14, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against META's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.