DailyIQ
Last updated1 minute ago

AMD·Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.

$645.83
-3.59 (-0.55%)
After Hours
High
$653.75
Open
$634.30
Market Cap
1.07T
52W High
$658.52
Low
$633.22
P. Close
$645.83
P/E
166.13
52W Low
$185.12
Fwd P/E
40.71
DailyIQ Est.
$727.97
Inst. Ownership
43.8%
Short Interest
2.42%
Days to Cover
2.1
Technical Score (1D)
91
BULLISH
News Sentiment
69
BULLISH
On Oct 7, AMD announced a 2027 supply ramp to meet growing AI demand, with plans to expand CPU and GPU output through Foxconn and TSMC and secure high‑bandwidth memory from Samsung and SK Hynix, following record data‑center operating income and a market cap that surpassed $1 trillion. That same day, CEO Lisa Su confirmed that demand for compute remains above supply and that the company will substantially increase supply in 2027, noting that capacity has already been expanded this year and that AMD is coordinating with memory suppliers and customers to align new capacity with product launches. Earlier on Oct 7, AMD also partnered with a consortium of South Korean AI chipmakers to build a hybrid AI infrastructure, including pilots, a reference model, and an AI research center by the end of 2026, aiming to diversify its supply chain and strengthen its position in the Asian AI chip market. On Oct 6, AMD’s CEO scheduled a meeting with Samsung’s semiconductor head to discuss ongoing memory supply constraints, though no new commitments were announced, and the global memory crunch continued to drive up costs for data‑center operators. That same day, AMD’s stock rose nearly 3% after Citi upgraded its price target to $800 from $575, reflecting analysts’ confidence in the company’s earnings outlook and product pipeline, while the broader market rally lifted several chipmakers. Additionally, on Oct 6, AMD announced plans to significantly increase manufacturing capacity for its AI processors and CPUs, with negotiations underway with TSMC and other regional partners, a move that was well received by investors and underscored confidence in AMD’s ability to scale production to meet AI market needs.
LOW TARGET
$365 -43.5%
3 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$636 -1.6%
14 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$1250 +93.4%
44 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$365.00 - $1250.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
17/32/10/1/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$727.97 (+12.6%)
Sector
Technology
Industry
Semiconductors
Exchange
NMS
Country
United States
Website
Symbol
AMD
Description
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is a global semiconductor firm specializing in the design and manufacture of high-performance processors and graphics technologies. The company operates across three key segments: Data Center, Client and Gaming, and Embedded. AMD's core offerings include x86 microprocessors, GPUs, and AI accelerators, which are sold as standalone components or integrated into larger systems. These products are marketed under a variety of brands, including Ryzen, Radeon, and EPYC, catering to diverse markets such as cloud computing, gaming, and embedded systems. AMD serves a broad customer base, including original equipment manufacturers, cloud providers, and system integrators, from its headquarters in Santa Clara, California, established in 1969.
Bought (1Y)
0 shares
$0
Sold (1Y)
662,344 shares
$318.6M
Norrod Forrest EugeneEVP & GM DSG
Option Exercise7,261 shares2026-09-15
Norrod Forrest EugeneEVP & GM DSG
Sell299 shares2026-09-15
Norrod Forrest EugeneEVP & GM DSG
Sell726 shares2026-09-15
Norrod Forrest EugeneEVP & GM DSG
Sell2,225 shares2026-09-15
Norrod Forrest EugeneEVP & GM DSG
Sell4,604 shares2026-09-15
85/ 100
Bullish
Overall: Bullish
✓Revenue growing year over year
✓Positive net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Gross Margin
49.5%
Net Margin
12.5%
Revenue CAGR
11.1%
Current Ratio
2.85x
Debt / Equity
0.05x
Return on Equity
6.9%
Earnings Summary
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is a global semiconductor firm specializing in high‑performance processors and graphics technologies, operating across data center, client and gaming, and embedded segments. The company’s x86 microprocessors, GPUs, and AI accelerators serve OEMs, cloud providers, and system integrators, positioning AMD as a key competitor in the AI‑enabled chip market. In the most recent quarters, AMD’s Q4 2024 revenue of $7.66 billion and Q1 2025 revenue of $7.44 billion reflected a modest decline, while Q2 2025 revenue rebounded to $7.69 billion, indicating a slight acceleration after a dip. EPS trends show a steady beat pattern: Q4 2024 EPS of $1.09 narrowly beat estimates, Q1 2025 EPS of $0.96 exceeded expectations, Q2 2025 EPS of $0.48 fell just below forecasts, and Q3 2025 EPS of $1.20 surpassed estimates, demonstrating consistent earnings strength with occasional margin pressure. Historically, AMD has maintained a YoY revenue growth trajectory, with Q4 2025 revenue of $10.27 billion and Q1 2026 revenue of $10.25 billion showing a 26% and 26% increase respectively, while EPS has consistently outperformed analyst expectations, underscoring robust profitability. Recent news highlights AMD’s expanding AI infrastructure role: a $1 trillion market cap milestone, a 107% jump in data‑center revenue to $6.7 billion, and strategic capacity expansion plans with TSMC and other partners, all reinforcing the company’s AI momentum.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.26$0.73$1.20$1.68$2.15Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$1.93 - -
Q2'26$1.63$1.66+1.8%
Q1'26$1.31$1.37+4.9%
Q4'25$1.33$1.53+14.8%
Q3'25$1.17$1.20+2.5%
Q2'25$0.48$0.48-0.5%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$6.9B$8.6B$10.4B$12.2B$14.0BQ2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$13.2B - -
Q2'26$11.4B$11.5B+1.2%
Q1'26$10.0B$10.3B+2.6%
Q4'25$9.8B$10.3B+5.2%
Q3'25 - $9.2B -
Q2'25 - $7.7B -

Market Data

AMD Stock Snapshot

BULLISH91/100
$646.25+$0.42 (0.1%)
Market cap
1.07T
P/E ratio
166.1
Day range
$633.22 – $653.75
News sentiment
69/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$636.21 (-1.6%)
Consensus
Buy · 61 analysts
52-week range+249.1% off low · -1.9% from high
$185.12$658.52
Price $646.25 DailyIQ Est. $727.97

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. screens well technically, with price sitting near its 52-week high. A stock this widely held moves on consensus revisions more than on individual catalysts.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into AMD?

RICH

At today's price, Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 103.8% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 14.90% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 46.4% a year, so the market is asking for 57.4 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis AMD looks priced above what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
103.8%
Historical FCF CAGR
46.4%
Growth gap
+57.4 pts
Verdict
RICH
Discount rate (WACC)
14.90%
Beta
1.93

Behaviour On Record

What AMD's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
53.2% 52nd pct
Below its peak
-0.3%
vs 200-day average
+68.0%
Up days (1y)
54%

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. is currently running 53.2% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against AMD's own 12 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 52nd percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 52.1%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

AMD is at its running peak. Across 11 full years on file its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -37.0%, with the deepest at -63.1% in 2022 — so highs have historically been given back before they were extended.

Price sits +68.0% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 90th percentile — a wider gap than this stock usually carries. Over the past year AMD closed higher on 54% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On October specifically: over 11 years of records, AMD finished the month higher 5 of 11 times, with a median return of -4.9% and an average of +2.8%. Its strongest month historically has been May at +14.1% on average, its weakest February at -1.2%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: AMD has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 164 of 2,955 sessions (5.5% of the time), with the largest gaps running +8.7% and -5.8%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, AMD moved an average of 3.4% in the session after earnings, closing higher 2 of those 3 times, with a median move of +0.3% and a largest of -8.2%.

All figures computed from 2,956 daily closes between 2015-01-02 and 2026-10-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against AMD's own 12-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of AMD's sector?

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. sits in the Semiconductors sector, currently ranked 1st of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (weakening). Within its narrower Semiconductors industry group, AMD ranks 1st of 15 tracked industries, weakening.

Sector rank
#1 of 12
Sector state
Weakening
Sector rotation score
91
Industry rank
#1 of 15

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for AMD?

CallsPuts

For Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-10-07, 0 days out), open interest is roughly balanced between puts and calls (put/call ratio of 1.13), with at-the-money implied volatility around 27.1%.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-07)
1.13
ATM implied volatility
27.1%
Total open interest
63,056

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on AMD?

Citigroup most recently reiterated its rating on Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. to Buy on Oct 6, 2026 with a price target of $800 (from $575). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 1 upgrade against 0 downgrades, a net bullish lean.

Latest action
Citigroup — Buy
90-day upgrades
1
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
+1
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Oct 6, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$575 → $800
Oct 6, 2026MizuhoMaintainedOutperform$580 → $705
Oct 5, 2026StifelMaintainedBuy$635 → $700
Sep 29, 2026StoneXReiteratedBuy$685
Sep 29, 2026RosenblattMaintainedBuy$700
Sep 25, 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$620 → $720
Sep 10, 2026Piper SandlerInitiatedOverweight$600
Aug 25, 2026Raymond JamesUpgradeOutperform → Strong Buy$565 → $641
Aug 21, 2026BMO CapitalInitiatedOutperform$550
Aug 6, 2026Argus ResearchMaintainedBuy$450 → $625
Aug 6, 2026RosenblattMaintainedBuy$665 → $700
Aug 5, 2026DA DavidsonMaintainedBuy$425 → $550

AMD Competitive Positioning

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) is tracked alongside these names in Semiconductors on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.

News Sentiment Analysis

Sentiment gathered from recent headlines

69/100
Strong NegativeNeutralStrong Positive
MODERATELY BULLISH

Recent News Coverage

Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).

10+ articles
What did this article say?
AMD announced the acquisition of World Labs on September 28, aiming to enhance its AI hardware and software portfolio. The deal positions AMD to better align its computing infrastructure with emerging 3D simulation models used in robotics, autonomous systems, and industrial simulation. By integrating World Labs’ physical AI expertise, AMD seeks to challenge Nvidia’s dominance and expand its presence in the next generation of AI workloads.
What did this article say?
AMD CEO Lisa Su visited South Korea to strengthen high‑bandwidth memory (HBM) collaboration with SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics, aiming to enhance AMD’s AI accelerator supply chain. She also met with 13 local AI startups to integrate them into AMD’s ROCm software platform, positioning the company against Nvidia. The visit included a memorandum of understanding with the Korean science ministry to launch an AI Center of Excellence, creating hundreds of research jobs. These moves signal AMD’s intent to broaden its AI hardware and software footprint in a key market.
What did this article say?
Advanced Micro Devices announced plans to invest tens of billions in its global supply chain to support its expanding AI accelerator lineup. CEO Lisa Su highlighted the need for additional memory and manufacturing capacity, focusing on partnerships with Samsung and SK Hynix for HBM4 supplies. While the investment signals ambition, the company has not yet disclosed specific spending allocations, production volumes, or secured capacity, leaving investors uncertain about the timing and scale of the rollout.
What did this article say?
AMD announced a partnership with SK hynix to secure a steady supply of memory chips for its upcoming AI‑centric CPUs and GPUs. The agreement is intended to support AMD’s production ramp through at least 2027, ensuring sufficient memory capacity for high‑performance AI workloads. By aligning with a major global memory supplier, AMD aims to reduce supply chain risk and maintain competitive lead in the AI hardware market. The deal underscores AMD’s commitment to scaling its AI chip portfolio and strengthens its position against rivals such as Nvidia and Intel.
What did this article say?
Analysts across major banks lifted AMD price targets, raising the fair‑value estimate to roughly $629.21 from $616.51. The revisions were driven by expectations of increased demand for AMD’s Helios rack‑scale systems, Instinct GPUs, and Venice CPUs in data‑center and AI server markets. The updates reflect a broader belief that AMD’s AI infrastructure offerings will play a significant role in the sector’s expansion. The upward re‑pricing signals confidence in AMD’s positioning within the AI supply chain, though it does not represent a transformative shift in the company’s fundamentals.
What did this article say?
Hewlett Packard Enterprise announced the launch of four ProLiant Gen13 servers that incorporate AMD's sixth‑generation EPYC processors. The new systems are designed to support AI inference, analytics, virtualization, and other compute‑intensive workloads. HPE plans to ship the servers later this year, with additional models slated for 2027. The announcement highlights AMD’s growing presence in enterprise server markets and signals continued demand for its EPYC line.
What did this article say?
The article reviews AMD’s historic 8,895% share price increase since 2016 and compares its current valuation to competitors such as NVIDIA and Broadcom. It notes that AMD’s Helios platform demand is ahead of forecasts, but the stock’s high trailing earnings multiple requires flawless execution to justify its price. The piece highlights that AMD’s AI ramp is largely priced in, yet still presents potential upside if the Helios platform and other AI initiatives outperform expectations. Overall, the analysis suggests a modest upside potential, with a price target slightly below current trading levels and a hold rating. The article concludes that while AMD’s growth trajectory is impressive, replicating it from a $1 trillion market cap would be challenging.
What did this article say?
Advanced Micro Devices announced a partnership with Samsung Electronics to co‑develop memory and chip manufacturing technology. The collaboration was reported by multiple outlets and confirmed by AMD CEO Lisa Su. Shares of AMD fell nearly 2% in pre‑market trading, reflecting short‑term market volatility. The deal is viewed as a strategic move to strengthen AMD’s supply chain and product portfolio. It represents a positive development for AMD’s long‑term competitiveness in the semiconductor market.
What did this article say?
Hewlett Packard Enterprise unveiled four new ProLiant Gen13 servers that incorporate 6th‑generation AMD EPYC processors. The systems offer higher core density, memory bandwidth, and I/O, targeting compute‑intensive workloads such as agentic AI, inference, and virtualization. Built on Open Compute Project standards, the servers aim to improve rack density and power efficiency. The announcement highlights AMD’s growing presence in the enterprise server market and supports HPE’s AI‑centric strategy. It signals a positive momentum for AMD’s EPYC platform in large‑scale deployments.

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

91
BULLISH
Technical indicators reflect the latest computed signal mix for this timeframe.
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Institutional & Hedge Fund Ownership
25 tracked managers · $347.07B combined position · 19 adding, 5 trimming, 1 unchanged (latest 13F filings)
ManagerTrendShares Held% of Co.Position ValueFiled
BlackRock, Inc.▲ Buy150,301,5109.09%$87.31B2026-08-07
Vanguard Group Inc▲ Buy158,522,8609.58%$33.95B2026-01-29
Invesco Ltd.▲ Buy53,171,2033.21%$30.89B2026-08-14
Susquehanna International Group, LLP▲ Buy51,844,3583.13%$30.12B2026-08-14
JPMorgan Chase & Co▲ Buy42,957,9332.60%$23.18B2026-08-12
Geode Capital Management, LLC▼ Sell39,568,6012.39%$22.93B2026-08-12
Citadel Advisors LLC• Hold33,239,3302.01%$19.31B2026-09-02
FMR LLC (Fidelity)▲ Buy25,558,5521.55%$14.85B2026-08-13
Morgan Stanley▲ Buy24,286,3711.47%$14.11B2026-08-13
Norges Bank▲ Buy23,361,1701.41%$13.57B2026-08-12
Goldman Sachs Group Inc▲ Buy19,545,2741.18%$11.35B2026-08-14
Northern Trust Corp▲ Buy16,689,5931.01%$9.70B2026-08-13
Bank of America Corp▲ Buy12,088,3200.73%$7.02B2026-08-14
Wellington Management Group LLP▲ Buy9,334,3960.56%$5.42B2026-08-14
Citigroup Inc▲ Buy8,235,8370.50%$4.78B2026-08-03
Millennium Management LLC▼ Sell7,499,3840.45%$4.36B2026-08-14
D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc.▼ Sell5,909,0780.36%$3.43B2026-08-14
Wells Fargo & Company▲ Buy5,663,2330.34%$3.29B2026-08-14
Squarepoint Ops LLC▲ Buy3,038,6510.18%$1.77B2026-08-14
AllianceBernstein L.P.▲ Buy5,389,3680.33%$1.10B2026-08-14
Point72 Asset Management, L.P.▼ Sell1,722,9360.10%$1.00B2026-08-14
Two Sigma Investments, LP▲ Buy1,661,1190.10%$964.96M2026-08-14
AQR Capital Management LLC▲ Buy1,681,4370.10%$936.76M2026-08-14
Whale Rock Capital Management LLC▲ Buy1,509,6500.09%$876.97M2026-08-14
Neuberger Berman Group LLC▼ Sell1,498,0540.09%$870.07M2026-08-13
Q2 2026 flow:65.75M sh bought ($36.45B)3.61M sh sold ($2.10B)net +62.14M sh (+$34.35B)
Congressional Trading Activity
25 disclosed trades · ~$414.0K est. traded value · 18 buys, 7 sells
MemberChamberStateTypeAmountTradedFiled
Gilbert CisnerosHouseCA31▼ Sell$1K - $15K2026-08-182026-09-10
Gilbert CisnerosHouseCA31▲ Buy$1K - $15K2026-07-172026-09-04
Dan NewhouseHouseWA04▼ Sell$1K - $15K2026-07-102026-07-17
Gilbert CisnerosHouseCA31▲ Buy$1K - $15K2026-06-052026-07-02
Gilbert CisnerosHouseCA31▲ Buy$1K - $15K2026-05-152026-06-08
Gilbert CisnerosHouseCA31▲ Buy$1K - $15K2026-05-142026-06-08
Josh GottheimerHouseNJ05▲ Buy$1K - $15K2026-05-052026-06-03
Josh GottheimerHouseNJ05▲ Buy$1K - $15K2026-04-272026-05-19
Josh GottheimerHouseNJ05▲ Buy$1K - $15K2026-04-232026-05-19
Gilbert CisnerosHouseCA31▲ Buy$15K - $50K2026-04-142026-05-08
Alan ArmstrongSenateOK▲ Buy$15K - $50K2026-03-272026-07-21
Gilbert CisnerosHouseCA31▼ Sell$1K - $15K2026-03-132026-04-07
Thomas SuozziHouseNY03▼ Sell$1K - $15K2026-02-182026-03-17
Gilbert CisnerosHouseCA31▲ Buy$1K - $15K2026-02-102026-03-09
Cleo FieldsHouseLA06▲ Buy$50K - $100K2026-02-032026-02-24
Julia LetlowHouseLA05▲ Buy$1K - $15K2026-02-022026-03-12
Gilbert CisnerosHouseCA31▼ Sell$15K - $50K2025-12-192026-01-12
Gilbert CisnerosHouseCA31▲ Buy$15K - $50K2025-11-182025-12-15
Lisa McClainHouseMI09▼ Sell$1K - $15K2025-10-312025-11-21
Lisa McClainHouseMI09▼ Sell$1K - $15K2025-10-302025-11-21
Lisa McClainHouseMI09▲ Buy$1K - $15K2025-10-302025-11-21
Dan NewhouseHouseWA04▲ Buy$1K - $15K2025-08-182025-09-17
Cleo FieldsHouseLA06▲ Buy$15K - $50K2025-08-152025-09-03
John BoozmanSenateAR▲ Buy$1K - $15K2025-08-072025-09-12
Cleo FieldsHouseLA06▲ Buy$15K - $50K2025-08-012025-09-03