DailyIQ
Last updated1 minute ago

JOBY·Joby Aviation Inc.

$4.95
-0.19 (-3.70%)
Pre-Market
High
$5.01
Open
$5.00
Market Cap
5.11B
52W High
$18.77
Low
$4.95
P. Close
$4.95
P/E
-
52W Low
$4.95
Fwd P/E
-7.67
DailyIQ Est.
$8.58
Inst. Ownership
0.5%
Short Interest
12.36%
Days to Cover
5.6
Technical Score (1D)
2
BEARISH
News Sentiment
29
BEARISH
On Oct 13, Joby Aviation’s shares fell to a new 52‑week low, reflecting investor concern that the company had not yet secured FAA certification for its e‑VTOL air‑taxi, a prerequisite for commercial operations. The same day, Barclays announced coverage of the company, downgrading it to Underweight and cutting its target price from $6 to $4 on doubts that Joby’s factory could scale production to meet market demand. Barclays noted that the e‑VTOL market is unlikely to be dominated by a single player, a view that was echoed by the market’s reaction, with shares dropping 9% on the announcement and falling further the next day. Earlier this year, Joby was selected as a partner for the White House’s eVTOL Integration Pilot Program, but the absence of a definitive launch date has dampened investor enthusiasm. The steep decline in shares and the downgrade highlight heightened skepticism about Joby’s ability to deliver on its growth promises in a competitive e‑VTOL market.
LOW TARGET
$4 -19.2%
4 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$10 +108.9%
10 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$18 +263.6%
3 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$4.00 - $18.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
1/3/7/4/2
DAILYIQ EST.
$8.58 (+73.3%)
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Airports & Air Services
Exchange
NYQ
Country
United States
Symbol
JOBY
Description
Joby Aviation is developing an innovative air mobility solution centered around electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft. The company's core business involves designing, manufacturing, and operating these aircraft to provide air transportation services, initially targeting the United States and Dubai. Joby aims to establish an aerial ridesharing network, offering consumers a convenient and efficient way to travel. Complementing its aircraft operations, Joby is creating a user-friendly, app-based platform for booking rides. Founded in 2009 and based in Santa Cruz, California, Joby Aviation is positioned to disrupt the transportation sector with its vertically integrated approach.
Bought (1Y)
0 shares
$0
Sold (1Y)
3,402,576 shares
$29.4M
Saluja Dipender-
Award/Grant2,971 shares2026-10-05
Ogawa Tetsuo-
Award/Grant2,773 shares2026-10-05
Bowles GregoryChief Policy Officer
Sell5,302 shares2026-10-05
Thompson Michael N. Jr.-
Award/Grant2,971 shares2026-10-05
Sciarra Paul Cahill-
Award/Grant2,773 shares2026-10-05
52/ 100
Neutral / mixed
Overall: Neutral
✓Revenue growing year over year
✕Negative net margin
✕Negative operating cash flow
Net Margin
-1740.5%
Current Ratio
24.09x
Return on Equity
-66.0%
Earnings Summary
Joby Aviation is an electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft developer focused on building an urban air mobility network through aircraft manufacturing and an app-based booking platform. In the last two quarters, the company reported a slight improvement in revenue, rising from $15.0 k in Q2 2025 to $22.57 M in Q3 2025, and then to $30.84 M in Q4 2025, while EPS remained negative, moving from -$0.1984 in Q2 2025 to -$0.2037 in Q3 2025 and -$0.20 in Q4 2025, slightly better than estimates. The trend shows incremental revenue growth but persistent losses, with EPS consistently beating negative estimates by a narrow margin. Historically, Joby has struggled to achieve profitability, with revenue increasing year over year but EPS remaining negative, reflecting high operating costs and capital expenditures. The company’s earnings pattern indicates a gradual top‑line expansion but ongoing cash burn, as evidenced by the negative EPS across all recent quarters. Recent developments include the launch of operational flights in Dallas‑Fort Worth and testing in Dubai, as well as a $200 M defense contract portfolio, signaling progress toward commercial deployment and diversification of revenue streams.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$-0.26$-0.24$-0.22$-0.20$-0.18Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$-0.25 - -
Q2'26$-0.24$-0.25-4.9%
Q1'26$-0.21$-0.21-0.4%
Q4'25$-0.22$-0.20+9.1%
Q3'25$-0.19$-0.20-7.6%
Q2'25$-0.20$-0.20-1.4%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$-6M$7M$19M$32M$44MQ2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$38M - -
Q2'26$31M$39M+24.7%
Q1'26$20M$24M+20.1%
Q4'25$17M$31M+78.2%
Q3'25 - $23M -
Q2'25 - $15,000 -

Market Data

JOBY Stock Snapshot

BEARISH2/100
$4.95−$0.01 (0.2%)
Market cap
5.11B
Day range
$4.95 – $5.01
News sentiment
29/100 · Bearish
Analyst target
$10.34 (+108.9%)
Consensus
Hold · 17 analysts
52-week range+0.0% off low · -73.6% from high
$4.95$18.77
Price $4.95 DailyIQ Est. $8.58

JOBY's technical picture is under pressure, with momentum working against price. At this size, a single catalyst moves the stock further than it would a larger peer.

Behaviour On Record

What JOBY's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
31.6% 7th pct
Below its peak
-73.5%
vs 200-day average
-42.3%
Up days (1y)
42%

Joby Aviation Inc. is currently running 31.6% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against JOBY's own 6 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 7th percentile — unusually subdued by its own history, against a typical reading of 63.5%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

JOBY is trading -73.5% below its running peak. Across 5 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -52.3%, and the deepest was -59.9% in 2021. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -42.3% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 2nd percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year JOBY closed higher on 42% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On October specifically: over 5 years of records, JOBY finished the month higher 2 of 5 times, with a median return of -0.4% and an average of -2.2%. Its strongest month historically has been May at +14.5% on average, its weakest January at -8.0%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: JOBY has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 264 of 1,485 sessions (17.8% of the time), with the largest gaps running +9.1% and -7.3%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, JOBY moved an average of 9.2% in the session after earnings, closing higher 3 of those 3 times, with a median move of +5.2% and a largest of +19.4%.

All figures computed from 1,486 daily closes between 2020-11-09 and 2026-10-09, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against JOBY's own 6-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of JOBY's sector?

Joby Aviation Inc. sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 8th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging). Within its narrower Aerospace & Defense industry group, JOBY ranks 9th of 15 tracked industries, improving.

Sector rank
#8 of 12
Sector state
Lagging
Sector rotation score
0
Industry rank
#9 of 15

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on JOBY?

Barclays most recently downgraded Joby Aviation Inc. to Underweight on Oct 9, 2026 with a price target of $4 (from $6). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 1 downgrade, a net bearish lean.

Latest action
Barclays — Underweight
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
1
Net rating momentum
-1
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Oct 9, 2026BarclaysDowngradeEqual-Weight → Underweight$6 → $4
Sep 21, 2026HC Wainwright & Co.ReiteratedBuy$18
Aug 6, 2026NeedhamMaintainedBuy$18 → $15
May 7, 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainedHold$16 → $12
May 6, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedEqual-Weight$15 → $13
May 6, 2026NeedhamReiteratedBuy$18
Apr 28, 2026NeedhamReiteratedBuy$18
Feb 26, 2026JP MorganMaintainedUnderweight$8 → $7
Feb 26, 2026NeedhamMaintainedBuy$22 → $18
Feb 26, 2026HC Wainwright & Co.UpgradeNeutral → Buy$18
Dec 1, 2025Goldman SachsInitiatedSell$10
Nov 6, 2025NeedhamReiteratedBuy$22

ETF holders

ETFs holding JOBY

News Sentiment Analysis

Sentiment gathered from recent headlines

29/100
Strong NegativeNeutralStrong Positive
BEARISH

Recent News Coverage

Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).

10+ articles
What did this article say?
Joby Aviation’s shares fell to a new 52‑week low, dropping more than 60% in 2026 as investors reacted to the company’s lack of FAA certification for its air‑taxi. The firm has been close to approval but has yet to secure the necessary regulatory clearance, stalling its path to commercial operations. Earlier this year, Joby was selected as a partner for the White House’s eVTOL Integration Pilot Program, yet the absence of a definitive launch date has dampened investor enthusiasm. The steep decline reflects heightened skepticism about the company’s ability to deliver on its growth promises in a competitive eVTOL market.
What did this article say?
Barclays announced coverage of Joby Aviation on October 9 and downgraded the stock to Underweight, reducing its target price from $6 to $4. The bank cited doubts that Joby’s factory could scale production to meet market demand, arguing the eVTOL market will not be dominated by a single player. Shares fell 9% on the announcement and closed at $5.44, with a subsequent 5.5% drop on October 12 to $5.14, marking a 61% decline for the year. Joby’s Q2 earnings call did not allay the capacity concerns, reinforcing the negative outlook.
What did this article say?
Joby Aviation has surpassed revenue forecasts, launched flights in Texas, and secured a manufacturing partnership with Toyota, yet its shares remain at a 52‑week low. The company’s valuation hinges on obtaining FAA type certification, which would transition its air taxi program from a test phase to a revenue‑generating fleet. Without certification, most sales are limited to the Blade platform, and investors anticipate a potential slide toward book value. The uncertainty surrounding regulatory approval has tempered market optimism despite recent operational milestones.
What did this article say?
Barclays downgraded Joby Aviation from Equal Weight to Underweight and cut its price target, prompting a more than 5% decline in the company’s shares on October 12. The downgrade was part of a broader market sell‑off that also affected telecom peers T‑Mobile and Comcast, driven by concerns over SpaceX’s entry into the sector. The move reflected investors’ reassessment of Joby’s competitive position and valuation amid intensified industry pressure.
What did this article say?
Barclays lowered Joby Aviation to an Underweight rating, citing doubts over the company’s manufacturing capacity and escalating cash burn. The downgrade coincided with a nearly 9% drop in the stock on October 9, pushing it toward two‑year lows. The rating change added to a broader sell‑off, with the share price falling 14.9% over the past month and 62.1% year‑to‑date. Investors have reacted to the heightened execution risk, leading to a sharp decline in momentum and a steep decline in short‑term returns.
What did this article say?
Barclays reduced Joby Aviation’s rating from Equal‑Weight to Underweight, citing doubts about the company’s ability to translate its early certification lead into market dominance. The downgrade was accompanied by a price target cut to $4, implying a potential upside of roughly 27% from current levels. The decision reflects concerns that regulatory progress alone may not secure sufficient payload capacity or commercial viability for Joby’s eVTOL aircraft.
What did this article say?
Barclays released a bearish research note on JOBY Aviation, citing concerns that the company’s share price could decline further. Analyst Anthony Valentini highlighted factors such as competitive pressure, regulatory uncertainties, and the company’s high capital expenditures as key risks. The note suggested that the current valuation may be overoptimistic given these headwinds. This downgrade signals a shift in analyst sentiment toward a more cautious outlook for JOBY’s near‑term performance.
What did this article say?
Joby Aviation shares dropped nearly 8% on October 9, reaching a new 52‑week low of $5.30 as investors weighed commercial execution risks. The decline followed a 65% year‑to‑date loss and a 70% drop from the $18.77 peak. Despite revenue growth to $38.6 million in Q2 2026 and a $500 million acquisition of Resonant Sciences, market sentiment remained cautious about the company’s ability to commercialize its electric vertical take‑off and landing aircraft. Analysts maintained mixed ratings, with H.C. Wainwright keeping a Buy at $18 and Cantor Fitzgerald staying neutral. The slide underscores lingering doubts about Joby’s commercial prospects and execution timeline.

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

2
BEARISH
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Institutional & Hedge Fund Ownership
3 tracked managers · $5.37M combined position · 2 adding, 1 trimming, 0 unchanged (latest 13F filings)
ManagerTrendShares Held% of Co.Position ValueFiled
Sculptor Capital LP▼ Sell5,000,0000.49%$4.55M2026-08-14
Brevan Howard Capital Management LP▲ New88,4320.01%$788.8K2026-08-14
Ancora Advisors LLC▲ Buy3,0000.00%$26.8K2026-08-14
Q2 2026 flow:89.4K sh bought ($797.7K)5.15M sh sold ($4.69M)net -5.06M sh (−$3.89M)