DailyIQ
Last updated1 minute ago

SPCX·Space Exploration Technologies Corp.

$152.27
-4.27 (-2.73%)
After Hours
High
$158.39
Open
$154.98
Market Cap
2.12T
52W High
$225.64
Low
$151.10
P. Close
$152.27
P/E
-
52W Low
$104.83
Fwd P/E
78.70
DailyIQ Est.
$249.27
Inst. Ownership
5.2%
Short Interest
1.34%
Days to Cover
1.8
NewEarnings release, scored · filed Aug 4, 202675 lines scoredSee the breakdown
Technical Score (1D)
50
NEUTRAL
News Sentiment
52
MIXED
On Oct 13, the FAA announced it would draft an environmental impact statement and hold public hearings on SpaceX’s proposed expansion of Starbase in South Texas, which would eventually allow up to 456 launches and 912 landings annually. The review was expected to delay the company’s two‑stage rollout, initially targeting 100 launches per year before reaching full capacity, and the regulatory uncertainty weighed on investor sentiment, causing SPCX shares to fall about 5% that day. On Oct 13, another article examined SpaceX’s three business lines—space, artificial intelligence, and connectivity—highlighting that the space division is the smallest and slowest growing. The piece noted that the company is currently in the R&D phase, with a shift toward global rollout in the next stage, and analysts projected a 14‑fold increase in value by 2030, suggesting significant upside potential. The focus on AI and connectivity was emphasized as a potential driver of future growth.
LOW TARGET
$118 -22.2%
2 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$221 +45.8%
11 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$450 +196.6%
30 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$118.00 - $450.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
13/21/7/1/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$249.27 (+64.3%)
Bought (1Y)
0 shares
$0
Sold (1Y)
353,560 shares
$53.7M
Shotwell GwynnePresident and COO
Option Exercise128,865 shares2026-09-22
Shotwell GwynnePresident and COO
Option Exercise74,405 shares2026-09-22
Shotwell GwynnePresident and COO
Option Exercise138,900 shares2026-09-22
Shotwell GwynnePresident and COO
Sell24,417 shares2026-09-22
Shotwell GwynnePresident and COO
Sell151,844 shares2026-09-22

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$-1.48$-1.03$-0.57$-0.12$0.34Q1'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$0.13 - -
Q1'26 - $-1.27 -

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$3.5B$6.1B$8.8B$11.5B$14.2BQ1'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$13.0B - -
Q1'26 - $4.7B -

Market Data

SPCX Stock Snapshot

NEUTRAL50/100
$151.72−$0.55 (0.4%)
Market cap
2.12T
Day range
$151.10 – $158.39
News sentiment
52/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$221.26 (+45.8%)
Consensus
Buy · 43 analysts
52-week range+44.7% off low · -32.8% from high
$104.83$225.64
Price $151.72 DailyIQ Est. $249.27

The technical read on SPCX is balanced, which usually means the market is waiting on a catalyst. At this size, moves are driven by index flows and macro positioning as much as by company news.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of SPCX's sector?

Space Exploration Technologies Corp. sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 8th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving). Within its narrower Aerospace & Defense industry group, SPCX ranks 7th of 15 tracked industries, improving.

Sector rank
#8 of 12
Sector state
Improving
Sector rotation score
36
Industry rank
#7 of 15

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for SPCX?

CallsPuts

For Space Exploration Technologies Corp.'s nearest expiry (2026-10-14, 0 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.47), with at-the-money implied volatility around 28.1%.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-14)
0.47
ATM implied volatility
28.1%
Total open interest
87,431

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on SPCX?

Barclays most recently initiated coverage on Space Exploration Technologies Corp. to Overweight on Oct 9, 2026 with a price target of $254. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 1 upgrade against 0 downgrades, a net bullish lean.

Latest action
Barclays — Overweight
90-day upgrades
1
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
+1
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Oct 9, 2026BarclaysInitiatedOverweight$254
Oct 9, 2026TD CowenReiteratedBuy$200
Oct 7, 2026SusquehannaMaintainedNeutral$144 → $173
Sep 30, 2026MacquarieMaintainedOutperform$250
Sep 29, 2026TD CowenInitiatedBuy$200
Sep 28, 2026Deutsche BankReiteratedBuy$235
Sep 28, 2026CLSAInitiatedOutperform$250
Sep 14, 2026MoffettNathansonMaintainedNeutral$131 → $142
Sep 8, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedOverweight$215 → $212
Sep 8, 2026Pivotal ResearchInitiatedBuy$220
Sep 2, 2026OppenheimerMaintainedOutperform$250 → $280
Aug 26, 2026Wolfe ResearchReiteratedOutperform$175

Earnings Release, Scored

What did Space Exploration Technologies Corp.'s latest earnings release say?

Filed Aug 4, 2026 · SEC Form 8-K, Exhibit 99

Tone54.1/ 100
Hedging words0.32per 100 words

Most important lines

  1. 1

    Connectivity Segment Operating and Financial Data $, in millions (except where noted) Three Months Ended Six Months Ended June 30, 2026 March 31, 2026 June 30, 2025 June 30, 2026 June 30, 2025 Starlink Subscribers (#, in millions, as of period end) 12.0 10.3 6.0 12.0 6.0 Starlink ARPU ($ per month) $66 $66 $85 $66 $85 Consumer revenues $2,485 $2,148 $1,721 $4,633 $3,213 Enterprise & government revenues 1,806 1,109 867 2,915 1,849 Connectivity revenues $4,291 $3,257 $2,588 $7,548 $5,062 Less: Cost of revenue $2,060 $1,651 $1,401 $3,711 $2,615 Research and development 294 205 143 499 266 Selling, general, and administrative 281 213 121 494 225 Income from operations $1,656 $1,188 $923 $2,844 $1,956 Segment Adjusted EBITDA reconciliation Income from operations $1,656 $1,188 $923 $2,844 $1,956 Depreciation & amortization 805 783 569 1,588 1,078 Share-based compensation 136 116 91 252 166 Connectivity Adjusted EBITDA $2,597 $2,087 $1,583 $4,684 $3,200 Connectivity Capex $1,367 $1,332 $1,130 $2,699 $1,944 Connectivity Business Highlights • Connectivity revenues were up 32% sequentially and 66% year-over-year to $4.3 billion, driven by strong Starlink subscriber growth, with Consumer revenues up 16% sequentially and 44% year-over-year, and an increase in Enterprise & Government revenues, up 63% sequentially and 108% year-over-year • Total costs and expenses for the Connectivity segment were up $970 million year-over-year, driven primarily by increased spend to support revenue growth, as well as higher R&D expenses for our next-generation V3 satellites, which we expect to deliver meaningful increases in broadband capacity and data density • Drove income from operations for the Connectivity segment up 79% year-over-year to $1.7 billion, and improved Connectivity Adjusted EBITDA by 64% year-over-year to $2.6 billion • Reached 12.0 million Starlink Subscribers as of the end of Q2 2026, doubling year-over-year and up 1.7 million sequentially, while maintaining ARPU at $66, in line with Q1 2026 • Demonstrated traction across our enterprise business: signed a major agreement with American Airlines; activated our service on a number of new airlines including Southwest, Virgin Atlantic, Iberia and Aer Lingus; and launched new Starlink Mobile partnerships with international carriers, including SoftBank, NTT Docomo and Spark NZ • Awarded over $6 billion in multi-year U.S. government contracts for Starshield, our secure satellite network designed specifically for government customers and national security applications, primarily from two major Space Force contracts for LEO-based communications and sensing constellations • Received FCC approval of the EchoStar license transfer for 65 MHz of spectrum in the U.S. and certain global Mobile Satellite Service spectrum licenses 5

  2. 2

    The shares of Class A common stock began trading on the Nasdaq Global Select Market and Nasdaq Texas on June 12, 2026, under the ticker symbol “SPCX.” On June 26, 2026, SpaceX closed a $25 billion inaugural bond issuance of investment-grade senior notes, strengthening the balance sheet and funding long-term growth initiatives.

  3. 3

    SpaceX Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results • Demonstrated the power of extreme vertical integration, delivering revenue growth of 92% year-over-year across Space, Connectivity and AI • Completed two successful Starship V3 flight tests in the past 90 days, advancing towards full and rapid reusability • Closed multiple industry-leading Cloud Services Agreements resulting in $14.1 billion of contracted sales • Announced agreement to acquire Cursor for $60 billion to accelerate the AI enterprise opportunity • Released our most powerful AI model yet with Grok 4.5 in July • Delivered 66% revenue and 79% income from operations growth year-over-year for the Connectivity segment, driven by a doubling of Starlink Subscribers and continued momentum in Enterprise & Government • Awarded over $6 billion in multi-year U.S. government contracts for Starshield SpaceX (Nasdaq: SPCX) announced the following financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, as compared to the prior year quarter: • Revenues of $7.8 billion, up 92% from $4.1 billion • Net loss of $541 million, an improvement of $467 million from net loss of $1.0 billion • Adjusted EBITDA of $3.5 billion, up 191% from $1.2 billion CFO Commentary: 2026 has been a momentous year so far, and the second quarter demonstrated the true power of SpaceX.

ETF holders

ETFs holding SPCX

News Sentiment Analysis

Sentiment gathered from recent headlines

52/100
Strong NegativeNeutralStrong Positive
MIXED

Recent News Coverage

Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).

10+ articles
What did this article say?
Billionaire investor Ron Baron projected SpaceX could reach a $50 trillion valuation within a decade, citing space‑based data centers and Starlink as key drivers. Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas highlighted the company’s Distributed Inference Cloud as an overlooked growth area. Despite the bullish outlook, SPCX shares fell more than 4% on the day, marking the worst session in over two months. The commentary underscored the high expectations for SpaceX’s future revenue streams and the market’s cautious reaction to the optimistic forecast.
What did this article say?
The article examined SpaceX’s three business lines—space, artificial intelligence, and connectivity—highlighting that the space division is the smallest and slowest growing. It noted that the company is currently in the R&D phase, with a shift toward global rollout in the next stage. Analysts projected a 14‑fold increase in value by 2030, suggesting significant upside potential. The piece emphasized that SpaceX’s focus on AI and connectivity could drive future growth.
What did this article say?
Space Exploration Technologies Corp. CEO Elon Musk publicly praised Micron Technology’s future memory pricing strategy as reasonable, contrasting it with other suppliers he called extortionate. Musk’s comments were made on X and referenced a bullish JPMorgan note on memory and storage. The statement highlights a competitive advantage for SPCX, as it positions itself as a more customer‑friendly supplier in the memory market. The endorsement is a single‑desk comment and does not indicate a material change in SPCX’s financial outlook.
What did this article say?
On October 13, the FAA announced it would draft an environmental impact statement and hold public hearings on SpaceX’s proposed expansion of Starbase in South Texas, which would eventually allow up to 456 launches and 912 landings annually. The review was expected to delay the company’s two‑stage rollout, initially targeting 100 launches per year before reaching full capacity. The regulatory uncertainty weighed on investor sentiment, causing SPCX shares to fall about 5% that day. The decision highlighted potential environmental and community concerns that could affect future launch schedules. The move underscored the importance of regulatory approvals for SpaceX’s growth plans.
What did this article say?
Space Exploration Technologies Corp. announced a purchase of a nationwide 800 MHz spectrum portfolio from Grain Management, a move that could enable a future SpaceX‑branded smartphone. Jim Cramer and Gene Munster highlighted the potential for a vertically integrated device leveraging Starlink’s network, suggesting it could compete with established carriers. The acquisition was not disclosed with a price, but the strategic intent was clear. The deal may broaden SpaceX’s product ecosystem and create new revenue streams.
What did this article say?
Elon Musk publicly challenged Mukesh Ambani’s dominance in India, arguing that affordable Starlink internet could threaten Jio’s market position. Musk criticized Ambani’s supporters for labeling Starlink as too expensive while also suggesting it could become a powerful rival. The comments were made on X ahead of Jio’s IPO. The remarks reflect Musk’s broader strategy to expand Starlink’s global footprint but do not indicate a material change in SpaceX’s operations.
What did this article say?
SpaceX announced its formal entry into the telecom sector, adding paired spectrum to its Starlink network. The news triggered a steep selloff in major telecom stocks, with T‑Mobile falling more than 13% on Friday. Retail investors, however, increased buying activity, pushing T‑Mobile shares slightly higher overnight. The move is viewed as a significant competitive threat to established carriers, potentially impacting SpaceX’s market positioning.
What did this article say?
SpaceX announced plans to acquire up to 14 MHz of 800 MHz spectrum from Grain Management to enhance Starlink Mobile’s indoor and weak‑signal coverage. The move, described by CEO Elon Musk as the final critical piece of the spectrum puzzle, could improve signal penetration through walls and expand service reach. The acquisition is expected to strengthen Starlink’s competitive position in the satellite‑based mobile market and support future growth. The announcement was well received by investors, contributing to broader market activity that week.
What did this article say?
SpaceX achieved its first orbital flight with Starship Flight 14, deploying 26 Starlink V3 satellites and marking the company’s inaugural revenue-generating mission. The milestone reinforced SPCX’s unrivaled launch capabilities, a key competitive advantage highlighted by Citi Research. Analysts noted that demonstrating such technical progress is the primary catalyst for establishing dominance across high-value space markets, prompting a Buy rating. The successful flight also unlocked broader space infrastructure expansion opportunities for SPCX.

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

50
NEUTRAL
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Institutional & Hedge Fund Ownership
25 tracked managers · $118.53B combined position · 25 adding, 0 trimming, 0 unchanged (latest 13F filings)
ManagerTrendShares Held% of Co.Position ValueFiled
FMR LLC (Fidelity)▲ New302,555,8312.24%$51.66B2026-08-13
D1 Capital Partners L.P.▲ New126,042,2320.93%$21.54B2026-08-14
Baillie Gifford & Co▲ New51,397,8060.38%$8.78B2026-08-06
BlackRock, Inc.▲ New51,037,1370.38%$8.72B2026-08-07
Coatue Management LLC▲ New18,561,7800.14%$3.17B2026-08-14
Millennium Management LLC▲ New17,604,8630.13%$2.98B2026-08-14
Blackstone Inc.▲ New15,532,8700.11%$2.65B2026-08-14
JPMorgan Chase & Co▲ New15,563,5760.12%$2.56B2026-08-12
Morgan Stanley▲ New13,532,7730.10%$2.31B2026-08-13
Geode Capital Management, LLC▲ New13,529,0260.10%$2.31B2026-08-12
Capital Research Global Investors▲ New10,438,2230.08%$1.78B2026-08-12
Temasek Holdings (Private) Ltd▲ New9,831,9450.07%$1.68B2026-08-07
Norges Bank▲ New7,277,2850.05%$1.24B2026-08-12
Wellington Management Group LLP▲ New6,154,8540.05%$1.05B2026-08-14
D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc.▲ New5,340,0000.04%$912.39M2026-08-14
Citadel Advisors LLC▲ New5,129,8840.04%$876.49M2026-09-02
Invesco Ltd.▲ New3,859,4670.03%$659.43M2026-08-14
Capital World Investors▲ New3,694,5110.03%$631.24M2026-08-12
Bank of America Corp▲ New3,643,2660.03%$622.49M2026-08-14
Balyasny Asset Management L.P.▲ New3,397,6420.03%$580.52M2026-08-14
Northern Trust Corp▲ New2,782,7820.02%$475.47M2026-08-13
Neuberger Berman Group LLC▲ New2,127,2280.02%$363.15M2026-08-13
Apollo Management Holdings, L.P.▲ New2,023,3070.01%$345.70M2026-08-14
ExodusPoint Capital Management, LP▲ New1,938,9350.01%$331.29M2026-08-14
Two Sigma Investments, LP▲ New1,775,1210.01%$303.30M2026-08-14
Q2 2026 flow:694.77M sh bought ($118.53B)0 sh sold ($0)net +694.77M sh (+$118.53B)
Congressional Trading Activity
8 disclosed trades · ~$180.0K est. traded value · 7 buys, 1 sells
MemberChamberStateTypeAmountTradedFiled
Maria Elvira SalazarHouseFL27▼ Sell$1K - $15K2026-09-242026-10-07
Maria Elvira SalazarHouseFL27▲ Buy$1K - $15K2026-08-122026-09-09
Gilbert CisnerosHouseCA31▲ Buy$1K - $15K2026-06-182026-07-02
John McGuireHouseVA05▲ Buy$1K - $15K2026-06-152026-07-08
Daniel MeuserHousePA09▲ Buy$15K - $50K2026-06-152026-07-02
William R. TimmonsHouseSC04▲ Buy$50K - $100K2026-06-152026-07-19
John JamesHouseMI10▲ Buy$15K - $50K2026-06-122026-07-12
Jared MoskowitzHouseFL23▲ Buy$1K - $15K2026-06-122026-07-26