LECO·Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc.

Realized volatility (21d)

31.5% 84th pct

Below its peak

-8.4%

vs 200-day average

+4.1%

Up days (1y)

53%

Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. is currently running 31.5% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against LECO's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 84th percentile — elevated for this stock, against a typical reading of 23.1%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

LECO is trading -8.4% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -20.0%, and the deepest was -38.9% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +4.1% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 51st percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year LECO closed higher on 53% of sessions, and it is currently 3 sessions into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, LECO finished the month higher 10 of 13 times, with a median return of +4.7% and an average of +4.1%. Its strongest month historically has been July at +4.8% on average, its weakest March at -2.3%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: LECO has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 117 of 3,267 sessions (3.6% of the time), with the largest gaps running +10.1% and -8.5%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, LECO moved an average of 1.9% in the session after earnings, closing higher 2 of those 3 times, with a median move of +0.5% and a largest of +4.4%.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-10-07 and 2026-10-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against LECO's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.