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LECO·Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc.

$257.18
+0.28 (+0.11%)
Market Closed (Overnight)$257.20+0.02 (+0.01%)
High
$257.94
Open
$257.27
Market Cap
14.02B
52W High
$310.00
Low
$254.69
P. Close
$257.18
P/E
25.33
52W Low
$216.22
Fwd P/E
20.53
DailyIQ Est.
$311.68
Inst. Ownership
2.7%
Short Interest
2.67%
Days to Cover
3.0
Technical Score (1D)
45
NEUTRAL
News Sentiment
51
MIXED
Lincoln Electric’s CFO reaffirmed the company’s current‑year revenue guidance during a Morgan Stanley conference, citing robust industrial demand for welding equipment. The statement confirmed that the firm’s top‑line outlook remains unchanged, with no new contracts or guidance revisions disclosed. CFO Gabriel Bruno also highlighted ongoing cost‑control initiatives and supply‑chain resilience efforts, addressing analyst concerns about rising raw‑material prices. The lack of new guidance suggests management believes the current operating environment will sustain the projected revenue trajectory over the next 1–10 trading days. Investors should monitor the company’s ability to keep cost pressures in check, as higher input costs could erode margins if not offset by pricing power. Supply‑chain stability will also be a key watch item; any disruptions could delay equipment deliveries and impact revenue recognition. Additionally, the firm’s exposure to industrial demand means that macro‑economic signals such as manufacturing PMI or construction spending could influence short‑term sales momentum. Finally, keep an eye on subsequent earnings releases for any updates on cost‑management effectiveness and potential adjustments to the guidance.
Earnings Summary
Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. is a global leader in welding, cutting, and brazing equipment, serving construction, automotive, and oil & gas sectors through its Americas, International, and Harris Products Group segments. The company’s diversified product portfolio and direct distribution model position it as a key industrial tools provider. In Q4 2024, LECO reported EPS of $2.57 versus an estimate of $1.99, with revenue of $1.022 billion, a 1.5% increase from the prior quarter. The following quarter, Q4 2025, saw EPS of $2.65 against an estimate of $2.53 and revenue of $1.079 billion, slightly below the $1.085 billion estimate, indicating a modest revenue slowdown while earnings remained above expectations. Q1 2026 EPS of $2.50 beat the $2.50 estimate, and revenue of $1.121 billion exceeded the $1.096 billion estimate, showing a rebound in top line growth. Q2 2026 continued the upward trend with EPS of $2.93 versus an estimate of $2.77 and revenue of $1.220 billion versus an estimate of $1.191 billion, marking the first quarter in the series where both EPS and revenue surpassed forecasts. Historically, LECO has maintained a steady YoY revenue growth trajectory, with the last four quarters showing incremental increases and EPS consistently beating estimates in three of the four periods, underscoring a resilient earnings profile despite occasional revenue dips. Recent news highlights CFO Gabriel Bruno’s reaffirmation of current‑year revenue guidance amid robust industrial demand, coupled with ongoing cost‑control and supply‑chain resilience initiatives; however, a recent cautionary note about potential demand weakness and input cost inflation signals possible near‑term headwinds. Investors should watch for the next earnings release to assess whether cost‑management efforts and automation investments can offset any slowdown in industrial demand, and monitor macro‑economic indicators such as PPI and manufacturing PMI that could influence the company’s revenue momentum.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$1.85$2.16$2.46$2.77$3.07Q4'24Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$2.82 - -
Q2'26$2.77$2.93+5.8%
Q1'26$2.50$2.50+0.2%
Q4'25$2.53$2.65+4.6%
Q4'24$1.99$2.57+28.9%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$992M$1.1B$1.1B$1.2B$1.2BQ4'24Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$1.2B - -
Q2'26$1.2B$1.2B+2.4%
Q1'26$1.1B$1.1B+2.4%
Q4'25$1.1B$1.1B-0.6%
Q4'24 - $1.0B -

Market Data

LECO Stock Snapshot

HOLD45/100
$257.20+$0.02 (0.0%)
Market cap
14.02B
P/E ratio
25.3
Day range
$254.69 – $257.94
News sentiment
51/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$304.91 (+18.5%)
Consensus
Buy · 21 analysts
52-week range+19.0% off low · -17.0% from high
$216.22$310.00
Price $257.20 DailyIQ Est. $311.68

This is a pause rather than a turn for LECO - the signals are mixed by construction. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into LECO?

RICH

At today's price, Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 17.6% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 9.25% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 7.0% a year, so the market is asking for 10.7 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis LECO looks priced above what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
17.6%
Historical FCF CAGR
7.0%
Growth gap
+10.7 pts
Verdict
RICH
Discount rate (WACC)
9.25%
Beta
0.95

Behaviour On Record

What LECO's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
36.3% 94th pct
Below its peak
-14.3%
vs 200-day average
-2.2%
Up days (1y)
52%

Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. is currently running 36.3% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against LECO's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 94th percentile an extreme by its own standards, against a typical reading of 23.1%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

LECO is trading -14.3% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -20.0%, and the deepest was -38.9% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits -2.2% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 28th percentile a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year LECO closed higher on 52% of sessions, and it is currently 4 sessions into a rising streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, LECO finished the month higher 3 of 13 times, with a median return of -3.1% and an average of -2.3%. Its strongest month historically has been July at +4.8% on average, its weakest March at -2.3%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: LECO has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 117 of 3,267 sessions (3.6% of the time), with the largest gaps running +10.1% and -8.5%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, LECO moved an average of 1.9% in the session after earnings, closing higher 2 of those 3 times, with a median move of +0.5% and a largest of +4.4%.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-09-20 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against LECO's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of LECO's sector?

Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 11th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).

Sector rank
#11 of 11
Sector state
Improving
Sector rotation score
30

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for LECO?

CallsPuts

For Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 26 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.19), with at-the-money implied volatility around 50.8%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±12.3% move by that expiry — a range of about $265.20–$339.87.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16)
0.19
ATM implied volatility
50.8%
Total open interest
621
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±12.3% ($265.20–$339.87)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on LECO?

UBS most recently initiated coverage on Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. to Buy on Aug 11, 2026 with a price target of $340. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 1 upgrade against 0 downgrades, a net bullish lean.

Latest action
UBSBuy
90-day upgrades
1
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
+1
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Aug 11, 2026UBSInitiatedBuy$340
Aug 10, 2026Morgan StanleyUpgradeUnderweight → Equal-Weight$257 → $283
Jul 17, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedUnderweight$250 → $253
Jun 16, 2026DA DavidsonInitiatedBuy$320
May 5, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$280 → $300
Apr 8, 2026StifelMaintainedHold$300 → $264
Apr 1, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$310 → $280
Mar 31, 2026JefferiesDowngradeBuy → Hold$350 → $280
Mar 30, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedUnderweight$240 → $247
Feb 13, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$280 → $310
Feb 13, 2026StifelMaintainedHold$253 → $300
Feb 13, 2026KeybancMaintainedOverweight$280 → $340

LECO Competitive Positioning

Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. (LECO) is tracked alongside these names in Tools & Accessories on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.