GGG·Graco Inc.

Realized volatility (21d)

17.0% 32nd pct

Below its peak

-17.5%

vs 200-day average

-2.3%

Up days (1y)

51%

Graco Inc. is currently running 17.0% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against GGG's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 32nd percentile — on the quiet side for this stock, against a typical reading of 20.1%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

GGG is trading -17.5% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -18.4%, and the deepest was -30.6% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits -2.3% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 28th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year GGG closed higher on 51% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, GGG finished the month higher 10 of 13 times, with a median return of +1.4% and an average of +2.4%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +3.6% on average, its weakest April at -1.5%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: GGG has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 110 of 3,267 sessions (3.4% of the time), with the largest gaps running +12.4% and -12.9%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-10-15 and 2026-10-13, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against GGG's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.