GGG·Graco Inc.

Realized volatility (21d)

15.8% 25th pct

Below its peak

-18.5%

vs 200-day average

-3.7%

Up days (1y)

50%

Graco Inc. is currently running 15.8% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against GGG's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 25th percentile — unusually subdued by its own history, against a typical reading of 20.1%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

GGG is trading -18.5% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -18.4%, and the deepest was -30.6% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -3.7% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 21st percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year GGG closed higher on 50% of sessions, and it is currently 3 sessions into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, GGG finished the month higher 10 of 13 times, with a median return of +2.0% and an average of +2.6%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +3.6% on average, its weakest April at -1.5%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: GGG has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 110 of 3,267 sessions (3.4% of the time), with the largest gaps running +12.4% and -12.9%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-10-07 and 2026-10-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against GGG's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.