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WWD·Woodward, Inc.

$319.66
-5.01 (-1.54%)
After Hours
High
$329.06
Open
$329.06
Market Cap
19.91B
52W High
$450.92
Low
$314.81
P. Close
$319.66
P/E
36.07
52W Low
$233.31
Fwd P/E
30.22
DailyIQ Est.
$452.07
Inst. Ownership
43.8%
Short Interest
1.77%
Days to Cover
2.0
Technical Score (1D)
14
SELL
News Sentiment
63
BULLISH
Guggenheim has just initiated coverage on Woodward (WWD) with a buy rating and a $404 price target, citing recent operational improvements and a growing share of the industrial‑automation market. The upgrade signals that the firm’s earnings trajectory and product pipeline are expected to lift revenue in the near term, which should support a modest upside over the next 1–10 trading days. Traders should keep an eye on Woodward’s upcoming earnings release for confirmation of the growth narrative and any updates on new automation solutions that could reinforce the upside thesis. Shortly after, Melius Research downgraded WWD to a hold from buy, trimming its price target in light of a forecast that the robust aftermarket growth for commercial aviation may slow to high single‑digit percentages next year. The downgrade reflects uncertainty about the sustainability of Woodward’s revenue streams from the aviation aftermarket, which could temper the bullish outlook from Guggenheim. The market implication is that Woodward’s valuation may become more sensitive to any signs of a slowdown in aircraft maintenance demand. What to watch next: monitor Woodward’s earnings for any divergence between the operational gains highlighted by Guggenheim and the potential slowdown flagged by Melius; pay attention to any commentary on aftermarket demand from airlines and maintenance providers; and track any new product launches that could offset the projected revenue deceleration.
Earnings Summary
Woodward, Inc. is a global provider of sophisticated control solutions for the aerospace and industrial sectors, delivering fuel management, actuation, and flight control systems to OEMs and equipment packagers. The company operates within the industrials sector, specifically the aerospace & defense industry, where it leverages its long‑standing engineering expertise to supply critical components for engines and aircraft. In recent quarters, Woodward demonstrated a resilient earnings trajectory, with Q1 2025 earnings per share (EPS) of $1.69 surpassing the $1.4644 estimate and revenue of $883.6 million, indicating a solid performance in both core and aftermarket segments. The company’s Q3 2026 EPS of $2.52 closely matched the $2.5257 estimate while revenue of $1.1097 billion slightly undercut the $1.11497 billion forecast, reflecting a modest revenue deceleration relative to the prior quarter. Over the past four quarters, Woodward has consistently beat analyst expectations in EPS, achieving four consecutive beats, though revenue growth has slowed from a 12% increase in Q1 2025 to a 4% rise in Q3 2026, suggesting a gradual easing of growth momentum. Historically, the firm has maintained a YoY revenue growth trajectory of roughly 10% over the last three years, with EPS growth outpacing revenue in the most recent period, underscoring a pattern of margin expansion amid moderate top‑line growth. Recent news highlights include Guggenheim’s initiation of coverage with a buy rating and a $404 price target, citing operational improvements and a growing share of the industrial‑automation market, while Melius Research downgraded the stock to hold, warning of a potential slowdown in aftermarket demand for commercial aviation. These divergent views underscore the importance of monitoring Woodward’s management commentary on aftermarket resilience and any new product launches that could offset projected deceleration. Investors should watch for guidance on revenue growth and margin expectations in the upcoming earnings call, as well as any updates on the company’s debt capacity following a $450 million senior unsecured note placement, which could influence leverage and interest expense dynamics in the next quarter.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$1.31$1.65$2.00$2.34$2.68Q1'25Q3'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$2.08 - -
Q3'26$2.53$2.52-0.2%
Q1'25$1.46$1.69+15.4%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$849M$924M$999M$1.1B$1.1BQ1'25Q3'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$1.0B - -
Q3'26$1.1B$1.1B-0.5%
Q1'25 - $884M -

Market Data

WWD Stock Snapshot

SELL14/100
$319.50$0.16 (0.1%)
Market cap
19.91B
P/E ratio
36.1
Day range
$314.81 – $329.06
News sentiment
63/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$440.67 (+37.9%)
Consensus
Buy · 19 analysts
52-week range+36.9% off low · -29.1% from high
$233.31$450.92
Price $319.50 DailyIQ Est. $452.07

WWD's technical picture is under pressure, with momentum working against price. Earnings and guidance carry more weight than macro data at this capitalisation.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into WWD?

RICH

At today's price, Woodward, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 40.7% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 10.09% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 10.1% a year, so the market is asking for 30.6 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis WWD looks priced above what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
40.7%
Historical FCF CAGR
10.1%
Growth gap
+30.6 pts
Verdict
RICH
Discount rate (WACC)
10.09%
Beta
1.05

Behaviour On Record

What WWD's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
31.5% 69th pct
Below its peak
-27.3%
vs 200-day average
-12.3%
Up days (1y)
48%

Woodward, Inc. is currently running 31.5% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against WWD's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 69th percentile a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 25.4%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

WWD is trading -27.3% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -19.5%, and the deepest was -60.7% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -12.3% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 7th percentile a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year WWD closed higher on 48% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 14 years of records, WWD finished the month higher 6 of 14 times, with a median return of -2.5% and an average of -2.1%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +8.6% on average, its weakest March at -3.4%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: WWD has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 153 of 3,268 sessions (4.7% of the time), with the largest gaps running +11.0% and -17.9%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-09-16 and 2026-09-15, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against WWD's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of WWD's sector?

Woodward, Inc. sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 11th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging).

Sector rank
#11 of 11
Sector state
Lagging
Sector rotation score
10

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for WWD?

CallsPuts

For Woodward, Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-09-18, 3 days out), open interest is put-heavy, a defensive/bearish tilt (put/call ratio of 1.61), with at-the-money implied volatility around 49.2%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±5.5% move by that expiry — a range of about $308.23–$344.33.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-18)
1.61
ATM implied volatility
49.2%
Total open interest
489
Expected move by 2026-09-18
±5.5% ($308.23–$344.33)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on WWD?

Guggenheim most recently initiated coverage on Woodward, Inc. to Buy on Sep 15, 2026 with a price target of $404. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
GuggenheimBuy
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 15, 2026GuggenheimInitiatedBuy$404
Aug 4, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$415 → $420
Jul 30, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedOutperform$450 → $430
Jul 27, 2026RBC CapitalReiteratedOutperform$450
Jul 13, 2026TD CowenMaintainedHold$390 → $420
May 26, 2026SusquehannaInitiatedPositive$423
May 5, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$404 → $415
Apr 30, 2026UBSMaintainedBuy$427 → $429
Apr 17, 2026RBC CapitalInitiatedOutperform$450
Apr 1, 2026Wells FargoInitiatedOverweight$440
Feb 9, 2026Deutsche BankMaintainedBuy$430 → $445
Feb 4, 2026Goldman SachsMaintainedBuy$362 → $408

WWD Competitive Positioning

Woodward, Inc. (WWD) is tracked alongside these names in Aerospace & Defense on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.