MEDP·Medpace Holdings, Inc.
MEDP|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $4.44 | - | - |
| Q2'26 | $4.05 | $4.25 | +4.9% |
| Q4'25 | $4.23 | $4.67 | +10.5% |
| Q4'24 | $3.12 | $3.68 | +18.1% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $729M | - | - |
| Q2'26 | $701M | $707M | +0.8% |
| Q4'25 | $691M | $708M | +2.5% |
| Q4'24 | - | $537M | - |
MEDP|Monthly Returns
Market Data
MEDP Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 17.09B
- P/E ratio
- 34.8
- Day range
- $608.54 – $619.41
- News sentiment
- 72/100 · Bullish
- Analyst target
- $581.83 (-5.0%)
- Consensus
- Hold · 21 analysts
Price is in the upper part of its 52-week range, and the momentum read backs that positioning up. Sector peers are worth watching - large caps in Healthcare tend to move together on rotation.
Behaviour On Record
What MEDP's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 19.2% 1st pct
- Below its peak
- -5.5%
- vs 200-day average
- +17.6%
- Up days (1y)
- 51%
Medpace Holdings, Inc. is currently running 19.2% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against MEDP's own 10 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 1st percentile — unusually subdued by its own history, against a typical reading of 35.8%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.
MEDP is trading -5.5% below its running peak. Across 9 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -28.6%, and the deepest was -40.8% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.
Price sits +17.6% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 56th percentile — a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year MEDP closed higher on 51% of sessions, and it is currently 3 sessions into a falling streak.
On September specifically: over 11 years of records, MEDP finished the month higher 6 of 11 times, with a median return of +0.9% and an average of -0.6%. Its strongest month historically has been July at +13.7% on average, its weakest February at -4.8%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.
Overnight risk is measurable too: MEDP has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 131 of 2,539 sessions (5.2% of the time), with the largest gaps running +24.0% and -15.8%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.
All figures computed from 2,540 daily closes between 2016-08-11 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against MEDP's own 10-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of MEDP's sector?
Medpace Holdings, Inc. sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 11th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).
- Sector rank
- #11 of 11
- Sector state
- Improving
- Sector rotation score
- 30
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on MEDP?
Mizuho most recently reiterated its rating on Medpace Holdings, Inc. to Outperform on Jul 24, 2026 with a price target of $665 (from $586). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 2 downgrades, a net bearish lean.
- Latest action
- Mizuho — Outperform
- 90-day upgrades
- 0
- 90-day downgrades
- 2
- Net rating momentum
- -2
MEDP Competitive Positioning
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