MFC·Manulife Financial Corporation

Realized volatility (21d)

18.6% 30th pct

Below its peak

-6.0%

vs 200-day average

+7.8%

Up days (1y)

56%

Manulife Financial Corporation is currently running 18.6% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against MFC's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 30th percentile — on the quiet side for this stock, against a typical reading of 22.7%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

MFC is trading -6.0% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -18.0%, and the deepest was -56.7% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +7.8% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 66th percentile — a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year MFC closed higher on 56% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, MFC finished the month higher 7 of 13 times, with a median return of +0.5% and an average of +0.3%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +7.6% on average, its weakest March at -1.3%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: MFC has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 176 of 3,266 sessions (5.4% of the time), with the largest gaps running +10.2% and -10.5%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,267 daily closes between 2013-10-14 and 2026-10-09, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against MFC's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.