DailyIQ
Last updated2 minutes ago

MFC·Manulife Financial Corporation

$41.69
-1.24 (-2.89%)
Overnight$41.67-0.02 (-0.05%)
High
$42.55
Open
$42.49
Market Cap
101.70B
52W High
$45.49
Low
$41.61
P. Close
$41.69
P/E
15.12
52W Low
$31.41
Fwd P/E
11.93
DailyIQ Est.
$34.20
Inst. Ownership
-
Short Interest
0.32%
Days to Cover
3.9
Technical Score (1D)
32
BEARISH
News Sentiment
58
BULLISH
On Oct 5, Manulife announced a two‑year presenting partnership with The Hinton Lectures™ to support the 2026 and 2027 lecture series on AI safety. The partnership, led by Nobel Laureate Geoffrey Hinton, was intended to advance public understanding and scientific discourse on responsible AI development. It was reported that the collaboration aligns with Manulife’s Responsible AI Principles and signals the company’s commitment to fostering informed dialogue on AI risks and benefits. The announcement was noted to enhance Manulife’s brand positioning in the AI space. The sources indicated that the deal does not represent a material financial impact or immediate revenue generation.
LOW TARGET
$34 -17.9%
7 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$34 -17.9%
6 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$34 -17.9%
7 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$34.20 - $34.20
SB / B / H / S / SS
2/12/4/1/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$34.20 (-17.9%)

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$1.01$1.06$1.11$1.16$1.21Q3'25Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$1.19 - -
Q3'25$1.04$1.16+11.8%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$17.3B$17.3B$17.3B$17.3B$17.3BQ3'25
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26 - - -
Q3'25 - $17.3B -

Market Data

MFC Stock Snapshot

BEARISH32/100
$41.67−$0.02 (0.0%)
Market cap
101.70B
P/E ratio
15.1
Day range
$41.61 – $42.55
News sentiment
58/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$34.20 (-17.9%)
Consensus
Buy · 20 analysts
52-week range+32.7% off low · -8.4% from high
$31.41$45.49
Price $41.67 DailyIQ Est. $34.20

Momentum has rolled over on Manulife Financial Corporation, which is what drives the bearish read. The stock is liquid enough that positioning changes get absorbed without distorting the trend.

Behaviour On Record

What MFC's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
16.6% 20th pct
Below its peak
-4.9%
vs 200-day average
+9.4%
Up days (1y)
57%

Manulife Financial Corporation is currently running 16.6% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against MFC's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 20th percentile — unusually subdued by its own history, against a typical reading of 22.7%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

MFC is trading -4.9% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -18.0%, and the deepest was -56.7% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +9.4% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 72nd percentile — a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year MFC closed higher on 57% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, MFC finished the month higher 7 of 13 times, with a median return of +0.5% and an average of +0.5%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +7.6% on average, its weakest March at -1.3%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: MFC has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 176 of 3,267 sessions (5.4% of the time), with the largest gaps running +10.2% and -10.5%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-10-07 and 2026-10-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against MFC's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of MFC's sector?

Manulife Financial Corporation sits in the Financials sector, currently ranked 11th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving). Within its narrower Insurance industry group, MFC ranks 6th of 15 tracked industries, improving.

Sector rank
#11 of 12
Sector state
Improving
Sector rotation score
27
Industry rank
#6 of 15

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for MFC?

CallsPuts

For Manulife Financial Corporation's nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 8 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.60), with at-the-money implied volatility around 25.0%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±4.3% move by that expiry — a range of about $41.59–$45.33.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16)
0.60
ATM implied volatility
25.0%
Total open interest
632
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±4.3% ($41.59–$45.33)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on MFC?

RBC Capital most recently reiterated its rating on Manulife Financial Corporation to Outperform on Aug 7, 2026 with a price target of $67 (from $55). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
RBC Capital — Outperform
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Aug 7, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedOutperform$55 → $67
Nov 14, 2025RBC CapitalMaintainedOutperform$49 → $52
Aug 8, 2025RBC CapitalMaintainedOutperform$51 → $49
Feb 21, 2025RBC CapitalMaintainedOutperform$49 → $51
Jun 28, 2024TD SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$38 → $40
Feb 15, 2024BMO CapitalUpgradeMarket Perform → Outperform$31 → $35
Aug 11, 2023BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$31 → $33
Feb 17, 2023RBC CapitalMaintainedSector Perform$26 → $28
Jul 27, 2022ScotiabankUpgradeSector Perform → Sector Outperform-
Aug 10, 2021Credit SuisseDowngradeOutperform → Neutral-
Jan 13, 2020BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$27 → $32
Jul 11, 2018Morgan StanleyMaintainedEqual-Weight$27 → $26

News Sentiment Analysis

Sentiment gathered from recent headlines

58/100
Strong NegativeNeutralStrong Positive
MODERATELY BULLISH

Recent News Coverage

Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).

10+ articles
What did this article say?
On October 5, 2026, MFC announced a two‑year presenting partnership with The Hinton Lectures™ to support the 2026 and 2027 AI safety lecture series, emphasizing the company’s commitment to responsible AI development.
What did this article say?
Manulife Financial (NYSE:MFC) released the transcript of its second‑quarter 2026 earnings call on October 5. The call covered the company’s financial performance for the period, including revenue, earnings, and key operational highlights. No new guidance or material corporate actions were disclosed in the transcript. The release serves as a routine disclosure of earnings results without additional forward‑looking commentary.
What did this article say?
Manulife Financial closed a reinsurance deal with Munich Re, transferring CA$3.2 billion of long‑term care reserves. The transaction reduces Manulife’s LTC morbidity sensitivity by 24%, tightening risk exposure. The deal was executed overnight on October 2 and was reflected in a modest share price decline of CA$0.02. The transaction supports the company’s capital adequacy and risk‑management strategy.
What did this article say?
Manulife Financial Corporation closed a reinsurance transaction with Munich American Reassurance Company, transferring biometric risk on a block of long‑term care policies backed by $3.2 billion of reserves. The deal, announced earlier in August, moves risk from Manulife’s balance sheet to Munich Re Life US, a subsidiary of Munich Re Group. The transaction is expected to improve Manulife’s risk profile and capital efficiency without materially affecting earnings or capital ratios. The transaction was completed on October 2, 2026, following regulatory approvals and contractual agreements. No immediate impact on dividend policy or share price was disclosed.
What did this article say?
Manulife Financial announced a partnership with AI health firm Sword to launch an AI‑enabled physiotherapy program for its Group Benefits members. The initiative targets employees with musculoskeletal conditions, offering licensed physiotherapy support to those on disability and, by 2027, expanding to all covered members. The collaboration aims to improve recovery and return‑to‑work outcomes, addressing a leading cause of workplace absence in Canada. The program represents a modest positive development for Manulife’s health‑care offerings, though it is not expected to materially shift earnings or valuation.
What did this article say?
Manulife Canada announced a partnership with AI health company Sword to provide AI‑enabled physiotherapy to Group Benefits members. The program targets employees with musculoskeletal conditions, aiming to accelerate recovery and reduce workplace absence. By adding this technology‑driven solution, MFC expands its disability support ecosystem and enhances member care. The initiative is expected to improve member outcomes and potentially reduce long‑term claims costs.
What did this article say?
North American Financial 15 Split Corp. (MFC) announced that its preferred share dividend rate for the fiscal year beginning December 1, 2026 will remain at $0.06250 per share, yielding 7.50% annually based on a $10.00 redemption value. The rate is unchanged from the current level and is subject to a minimum annual rate of 7.00% through December 1, 2029. The company reiterated its investment focus on a high‑quality portfolio of Canadian and U.S. financial services issuers.
What did this article say?
Manulife Investments announced the September 2026 cash distributions for its ETFs and mutual funds. Unitholders of record as of September 29, 2026 will receive distributions on October 15, 2026. The distribution amounts per unit are detailed in the prospectus. This routine corporate event provides investors with expected cash returns and reflects the ongoing performance of the funds.
What did this article say?
Manulife Financial (MFC) announced a leadership refresh, appointing Sarah Chapman as Global Chief Marketing & Customer Experience Officer, and expanded its segregated fund lineup with eight new options for Canadian clients. The moves signal a strategic push to enhance brand, customer experience, and investment choice within the Canadian market. Investors view the leadership change as a positive step toward strengthening the company’s wealth and asset management footprint, while the fund expansion offers broader product offerings for advisors and clients.

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

32
BEARISH
Technical indicators reflect the latest computed signal mix for this timeframe.
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