DailyIQ
Last updatedjust now

OKTA·Okta, Inc.

$189.50
+3.05 (+1.64%)
High
$191.99
Open
$183.10
Market Cap
32.99B
52W High
$189.72
Low
$182.98
P. Close
$189.50
P/E
111.47
52W Low
$62.35
Fwd P/E
42.58
DailyIQ Est.
$190.14
Inst. Ownership
82.5%
Short Interest
4.42%
Days to Cover
1.7
Technical Score (1D)
95
BUY
News Sentiment
62
BULLISH
Wells Fargo’s latest upgrade—raising Okta’s price target to $200 from $180—has already pushed the stock 11 % higher to a 52‑week high, underscoring a renewed conviction in Okta’s position within the expanding zero‑trust market. The move follows a broader rally in cybersecurity names that has been fueled by industry chatter about slowing AI development, which investors see as a catalyst for increased demand for identity and access management solutions. The rally is therefore not driven by a company‑specific catalyst but by a sector‑wide narrative that places Okta at the center of a growing zero‑trust and AI‑security intersection. Over the next 1–10 trading days, traders should watch for Okta’s upcoming investor summit webcast on September 23, where leadership may provide further context on revenue growth, margin trends, or new product launches that could justify the higher target. The event itself is routine, but any substantive guidance or strategic update could reinforce or temper the current upside. Additionally, keep an eye on earnings releases for any signs of accelerated revenue or margin improvement, as these will be the primary drivers of Okta’s valuation moving forward. Finally, monitor the broader cybersecurity sector for any shifts in AI‑risk sentiment, as a change in that narrative could quickly alter the demand dynamics that are currently supporting Okta’s valuation.
Earnings Summary
Okta, Inc. is a leading identity management provider offering cloud-based solutions such as Single Sign-On, Adaptive Multi-Factor Authentication, API access management, device access, and identity governance, serving customers worldwide. Operating in the technology sector’s software‑infrastructure niche, Okta focuses on simplifying digital identity and securing access across cloud and on‑premise environments. In Q4 2024, the company reported EPS of $0.78 versus an estimate of $0.736, and revenue of $682 million, a modest increase from the prior quarter. Q4 2026 EPS rose to $0.90 against an estimate of $0.864, while revenue of $761 million fell slightly below the $763.8 million estimate, indicating a deceleration in top‑line growth. The most recent Q2 2027 EPS of $1.05 beat the $0.964 estimate, and revenue of $805 million was marginally below the $808.9 million forecast, suggesting a mixed earnings trajectory. Historically, Okta has delivered year‑over‑year revenue growth in the high‑teens, with EPS consistently beating estimates in the last four quarters, though revenue has occasionally lagged guidance. Recent news highlights the launch of the Agent SSO product, an AI‑agent governance offering that now accounts for roughly 30 % of bookings and has secured multi‑million‑dollar AI deals, positioning Okta to accelerate adoption among its large customer base. Investors should watch for the company’s upcoming earnings guidance and any updates on the uptake of the Agent SSO product, as the pace of new bookings will determine whether the AI‑driven growth narrative holds. Key will be monitoring renewal rates of existing identity‑management subscriptions and any signs of increased competition that could temper momentum generated by the Agent SSO launch.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.69$0.79$0.89$1.00$1.10Q4'24Q4'26Q2'27Q3'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'27$0.93 - -
Q2'27$0.96$1.05+8.9%
Q4'26$0.86$0.90+4.2%
Q4'24$0.74$0.78+6.0%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$660M$708M$757M$806M$854MQ4'24Q4'26Q2'27Q3'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'27$832M - -
Q2'27$809M$805M-0.5%
Q4'26$764M$761M-0.4%
Q4'24 - $682M -

Market Data

OKTA Stock Snapshot

BUY95/100
$189.50+$3.05 (1.6%)
Market cap
32.99B
P/E ratio
111.5
Day range
$182.98 – $191.99
News sentiment
62/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$182.37 (-3.8%)
Consensus
Buy · 54 analysts
52-week range+203.9% off low · -0.1% from high
$62.35$189.72
Price $189.50 DailyIQ Est. $190.14

Trend, momentum and range position line up bullish on OKTA at the moment. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.

Behaviour On Record

What OKTA's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
95.7% 97th pct
Below its peak
-35.7%
vs 200-day average
+79.9%
Up days (1y)
53%

Okta, Inc. is currently running 95.7% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against OKTA's own 9 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 97th percentile an extreme by its own standards, against a typical reading of 45.6%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

OKTA is trading -35.7% below its running peak. Across 8 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -33.3%, and the deepest was -79.9% in 2022. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits +79.9% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 100th percentile a wider gap than this stock usually carries. Over the past year OKTA closed higher on 53% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a rising streak.

On September specifically: over 10 years of records, OKTA finished the month higher 4 of 10 times, with a median return of -3.6% and an average of -1.6%. Its strongest month historically has been May at +9.1% on average, its weakest October at -3.4%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: OKTA has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 160 of 2,371 sessions (6.7% of the time), with the largest gaps running +7.2% and -10.6%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 2,372 daily closes between 2017-04-07 and 2026-09-15, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against OKTA's own 9-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of OKTA's sector?

Okta, Inc. sits in the Technology sector, currently ranked 6th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging). Within its narrower Software industry group, OKTA ranks 2nd of 15 tracked industries, leading.

Sector rank
#6 of 11
Sector state
Lagging
Sector rotation score
50
Industry rank
#2 of 15

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for OKTA?

CallsPuts

For Okta, Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-09-18, 3 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.57), with at-the-money implied volatility around 56.5%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±5.4% move by that expiry — a range of about $179.34–$199.94.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-18)
0.57
ATM implied volatility
56.5%
Total open interest
22,542
Expected move by 2026-09-18
±5.4% ($179.34–$199.94)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on OKTA?

Wells Fargo most recently reiterated its rating on Okta, Inc. to Overweight on Sep 14, 2026 with a price target of $200 (from $180). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 4 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net bullish lean.

Latest action
Wells FargoOverweight
90-day upgrades
4
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
+4
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 14, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedOverweight$180 → $200
Aug 28, 2026SusquehannaMaintainedNeutral$110 → $185
Aug 28, 2026Goldman SachsMaintainedBuy$126 → $203
Aug 27, 2026MacquarieMaintainedOutperform$120 → $185
Aug 27, 2026CitigroupMaintainedNeutral$105 → $165
Aug 27, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$165 → $190
Aug 27, 2026MizuhoMaintainedNeutral$145 → $165
Aug 27, 2026Raymond JamesMaintainedOutperform$115 → $185
Aug 27, 2026B of A SecuritiesUpgradeUnderperform → Neutral$75 → $170
Aug 27, 2026BMO CapitalMaintainedOutperform$168 → $187
Aug 27, 2026JefferiesMaintainedBuy$170 → $200
Aug 27, 2026BairdMaintainedOutperform$175 → $185

OKTA Competitive Positioning

Okta, Inc. (OKTA) is tracked alongside these names in Software - Infrastructure on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.