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DailyIQ
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OKTA·Okta, Inc.

$169.02
-2.14 (-1.25%)
High
$179.95
Open
$176.40
Market Cap
30.01B
52W High
$235.00
Low
$164.49
P. Close
$169.02
P/E
101.39
52W Low
$62.35
Fwd P/E
39.89
DailyIQ Est.
$226.80
Inst. Own.
78.4%
Short Interest
4.03%
Days to Cover
2.4
NewEarnings release, scored · filed Aug 26, 2026New outlook issued · tone +0.0 vs prior release · 38 lines scoredSee the breakdown
Technical Score (1D)
97
BULLISH
News Sentiment
59
BULLISH
On Nov 6, a SeekingAlpha analysis downgraded Okta, Inc. to a sell rating, arguing that the company’s valuation had outpaced its underlying fundamentals. The report noted that market expectations for growth were not supported by recent financial performance, a reassessment that could influence investor sentiment. On Nov 6, the Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Technology ETF (RSPT) added a new position in Okta, purchasing 466,448 shares worth $89.1 million on Nov 4, the largest single purchase in the fund’s recent activity and representing 1.54 % of its portfolio weight. On Nov 6, Invesco’s S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP) added 1,176,038 shares of Okta on Nov 4, a $224.7 million purchase that became the ETF’s largest single dollar‑value acquisition and underscored confidence in Okta’s identity‑cloud platform. On Nov 6, ETFs net bought $99.5 million of Okta on Nov 4, with 36 funds buying versus 15 selling, reversing a prior outflow and indicating renewed institutional interest after a brief decline. The largest ETF buyers were RSP ($224.7 million), RSPT ($89.1 million) and RPG ($12.9 million). On Nov 5, Okta shares fell 11 % amid a broader AI sell‑off and political scrutiny, with the stock trading at 84× forward earnings and a 90 % rally this year raising concerns about valuation sustainability.
LOW TARGET
$127 -24.9%
1 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$215 +27.0%
32 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$250 +47.9%
20 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$127.00 - $250.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
12/29/10/1/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$226.80 (+34.2%)
Sector
Technology
Industry
Software - Infrastructure
Exchange
NMS
Country
United States
Website
Symbol
OKTA
Description
Okta, Inc. is a leading identity management provider, offering a comprehensive suite of cloud-based solutions designed to secure and streamline user access across various applications and devices. Its core value proposition lies in simplifying identity management through features like Single Sign-On and Adaptive Multi-Factor Authentication, allowing users to securely access resources both in the cloud and on-premise. The company's offerings extend to API access management, device access, and identity governance, providing a holistic approach to securing digital identities. Okta's products are sold directly to customers and through channel partners, and the company's solutions are designed to help organizations manage user lifecycles, secure infrastructure, and protect against malicious traffic. Incorporated in 2009 and headquartered in San Francisco, Okta operates as a global identity partner, helping businesses manage and secure their digital identities.
Bought (1Y)
0 shares
$0
Sold (1Y)
387,078 shares
$48.8M
Ninan ShibuChief Accounting Officer
Sell2,002 shares2026-10-08
Ninan ShibuChief Accounting Officer
Sell2,100 shares2026-10-07
Ninan ShibuChief Accounting Officer
Sell7,875 shares2026-10-07
Ninan ShibuChief Accounting Officer
Sell2,700 shares2026-10-07
McKinnon ToddChief Executive Officer
Sell1,847 shares2026-09-22
79/ 100
Bullish
Overall: Bullish
✓Revenue growing year over year
✓Positive net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Gross Margin
77.4%
Net Margin
8.1%
Revenue CAGR
42.3%
Current Ratio
1.43x
Return on Equity
3.4%

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.69$0.79$0.89$1.00$1.10Q4'24Q4'26Q2'27Q3'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'27$0.95 - -
Q2'27$0.96$1.05+8.9%
Q4'26$0.86$0.90+4.2%
Q4'24$0.74$0.78+6.0%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$659M$709M$758M$807M$857MQ4'24Q4'26Q2'27Q3'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'27$834M - -
Q2'27$809M$805M-0.5%
Q4'26$764M$761M-0.4%
Q4'24 - $682M -

Market Data

OKTA Stock Snapshot

BULLISH97/100
$169.02−$2.14 (1.3%)
Market cap
30.01B
P/E ratio
101.4
Day range
$164.49 – $179.95
News sentiment
59/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$214.72 (+27.0%)
Consensus
Buy · 53 analysts
52-week range+171.1% off low · -28.1% from high
$62.35$235.00
Price $169.02 DailyIQ Est. $226.80

Trend, momentum and range position line up bullish on OKTA at the moment. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.

Behaviour On Record

What OKTA's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
89.5% 94th pct
Below its peak
-37.1%
vs 200-day average
+45.6%
Up days (1y)
54%

Okta, Inc. is currently running 89.5% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against OKTA's own 9 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 94th percentile — an extreme by its own standards, against a typical reading of 45.9%.

OKTA is trading -37.1% below its running peak. Across 9 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -33.1%, and the deepest was -79.9% in 2022. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began, and where past declines also continued.

Price sits +45.6% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 88th percentile — a wider gap than this stock usually carries. Over the past year OKTA closed higher on 54% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On November specifically: over 9 years of records, OKTA finished the month higher 6 of 9 times, with a median return of +5.7% and an average of +3.9%. Its strongest month historically has been May at +9.1% on average, its weakest March at -3.1%.

Overnight risk is measurable too: OKTA has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 162 of 2,408 sessions (6.7% of the time), with the largest gaps running +7.2% and -10.6%.

All figures computed from 2,409 daily closes between 2017-04-07 and 2026-11-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against OKTA's own 10-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of OKTA's sector?

Okta, Inc. sits in the Software sector, currently ranked 11th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging). Within its narrower Software industry group, OKTA ranks 12th of 15 tracked industries, lagging.

Sector rank
#11 of 12
Sector state
Lagging
Sector rotation score
18
Industry rank
#12 of 15

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for OKTA?

CallsPuts

For Okta, Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-11-06, 0 days out), open interest is put-heavy, a defensive/bearish tilt (put/call ratio of 4.19), with at-the-money implied volatility around 72.1%.

Put/call ratio (2026-11-06)
4.19
ATM implied volatility
72.1%
Total open interest
10,529

Analyst Consensus Estimates

What do analysts expect OKTA to earn?

Analysts expect Okta, Inc. to earn $3.93 per share in the fiscal year ending Jan 2027 and $2.95 in the fiscal year ending Jan 2029, from 3 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.

Quarter endingEPS estimateEPS rangeEPS analystsRevenue estimateRevenue analysts
Oct 2026$0.93$0.92 to $0.9941$816M40
Jan 2027$1.03$1.00 to $1.1041$838M39
Apr 2027$0.50$0.41 to $0.5810~$730M-
Jul 2027$0.60$0.56 to $0.6910~$876M-
Oct 2027$0.57$0.49 to $0.6810~$832M-
Fiscal year endingEPS estimateEPS rangeEPS analystsRevenue estimateRevenue analysts
Jan 2027$3.93$3.90 to $4.0544$3.22B42
Jan 2028$4.38$4.10 to $5.9043$3.55B42
Jan 2029$2.95$2.79 to $3.203~$4.31B-

Revenue marked ~ is our calculation from the EPS estimate, not analyst consensus.

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on OKTA?

Citigroup most recently reiterated its rating on Okta, Inc. to Neutral on Oct 15, 2026 with a price target of $215 (from $205). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 3 upgrades against 1 downgrade, a net bullish lean.

Latest action
Citigroup: Neutral
90-day upgrades
3
90-day downgrades
1
Net rating momentum
+2
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Oct 15, 2026CitigroupMaintainedNeutral$205 → $215
Oct 9, 2026BMO CapitalMaintainedOutperform$230 → $245
Oct 8, 2026AmerxInitiatedHold-
Sep 29, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedOverweight$200 → $245
Sep 28, 2026ScotiabankMaintainedSector Outperform$190 → $245
Sep 28, 2026CitizensMaintainedMarket Outperform$180 → $225
Sep 25, 2026MacquarieMaintainedOutperform$185 → $240
Sep 25, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$200 → $235
Sep 25, 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainedOverweight$190 → $240
Sep 25, 2026BMO CapitalMaintainedOutperform$187 → $230
Sep 25, 2026BairdMaintainedOutperform$200 → $235
Sep 24, 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainedNeutral$200 → $220

Earnings Release, Scored

What did Okta, Inc.'s latest earnings release say?

Filed Aug 26, 2026 · SEC Form 8-K, Exhibit 99

New outlook issued
Tone68.1/ 100+0.0 vs prior release
Hedging words0.70per 100 words+0.03 vs prior release
Tone, last 2 releasesScale 50–74

Most important lines

  1. 1

    Q2 revenue grew 11% and subscription revenue grew 12% year-over-year

  2. 2

    Reflected in the revenue guidance is an approximately one percentage point impact to total revenue growth resulting from our decision to accelerate the shift of professional services business to our partners.

    Guidance lowered
  3. 3

    Reflected in the free cash flow guidance is an approximately one percentage point impact related to lower interest income due to the combined impact from the stock repurchase program and our settlement of the 2026 Notes in cash.

    Guidance loweredNegative tone

Peers & ETF holders

OKTA peers & ETF holders

News & sentiment

What is the news saying about OKTA?

OKTA fell 22.8% over the month to Nov 6. News tone held between 38 and 75 from Oct 6 to Oct 19, then jumped to 76 on Oct 20.

Daily close and news tone, Oct 6 to Nov 6
$200Oct 6: tone 75Oct 7: tone 46Oct 8: tone 64Oct 9: tone 59Oct 12: tone 52Oct 13Oct 14: tone 53Oct 15: tone 56Oct 16: tone 49Oct 19: tone 38Oct 20: tone 77Oct 21: tone 50Oct 22: tone 77Oct 23: tone 46Oct 26: tone 75Oct 27: tone 59Oct 28: tone 45Oct 29: tone 61Oct 30: tone 64Nov 2: tone 40Nov 3: tone 47Nov 4: tone 65Nov 5: tone 51Nov 6: tone 63Oct 6News toneNov 6123
  1. Oct 16 -11.1%same day: Wall Street Bulls Look Optimistic About Okta (OKTA): Should You Buy?
  2. Nov 2 -13.2%same day: Okta to Announce Third Quarter Fiscal Year 2027 Financial Results on December 1, 2026
  3. Nov 5 -10.4%same day: ETFs Are Net Sellers of Okta (OKTA) on Nov. 3

Technical analysis

How strong is OKTA's momentum right now?

On the daily chart OKTA ranks at the 97th percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a bullish reading.

Momentum rank by timeframe0 = weakest, 100 = strongest
See what drives the rankThe inputs behind each timeframe's momentum rank, plus RSI, stochastics, Bollinger Bands and moving averages. Free with an account.

Institutional ownership

Are big funds buying or selling OKTA?

88 of the 190 tracked managers added to OKTA in their latest 13F and 100 trimmed. Together they own 78.4% of the company, worth $19.4B. BlackRock and Fidelity alone hold 20.2%.

88adding100trimming2unchanged
Largest holders by stake, latest 13FBar = share of OKTA
  1. $2.6B positionTrimmed 1.8% last quarter
  2. $2.2B positionAdded 43.5% last quarter
  3. $1.2B positionTrimmed 3.1% last quarter
  4. $1.0B positionAdded 0.1% last quarter
  5. $856.2M positionAdded 2.7% last quarter
  6. $613.7M positionAdded 7.2% last quarter
  7. $469.4M positionAdded 85.8% last quarter
  8. $445.2M positionTrimmed 3.4% last quarter
  9. $420.9M positionTrimmed 18.1% last quarter
  10. $399.1M positionTrimmed 4.4% last quarter
Full holdings history

Congressional trading

Is Congress trading OKTA?

5 members of Congress disclosed 11 OKTA trades between Jan 21, 2025 and Sep 24, 2026: 6 buys and 5 sells, about $155.0K in estimated value.

BuysSellsJan ’25AprJulOctJan ’26AprJul
BuySell$1K–$15K$15K–$50K$50K–$100K$100K–$250K

What stands out

Click one to highlight its trades in the chart

Discover more

How has OKTA done against its peers?

Over the six months to Nov 6, OKTA returned +118.1%. Of the 15 related stocks and ETFs, none did better.

Change since May 6, through Nov 6
−100%0%+100%+200%May 6JunJulAugSepOctNov 6OKTA +118.1%ORCL −40.1%