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FWONA·Liberty Media Corporation - Series A Liberty Formula One

$83.02
-2.19 (-2.57%)
After Hours
High
$85.20
Open
$84.51
Market Cap
22.98B
52W High
$98.79
Low
$82.30
P. Close
$83.02
P/E
107.87
52W Low
$72.50
Fwd P/E
35.24
DailyIQ Est.
$113.92
Inst. Ownership
3.4%
Short Interest
0.44%
Days to Cover
5.3
Technical Score (1D)
45
NEUTRAL
News Sentiment
51
MIXED
FWONA scores 45 on the 1D technical view with a NEUTRAL signal and mixed momentum. Price action is in a neutral range - the market is coiling, and neither side has been willing to push to a definitive break. Sentiment at 51 is diverging from the flat technical backdrop, removing sentiment as a directional catalyst for now. Consolidations like this are often a sign that the market is waiting for new information before committing capital in either direction. The range between $82.93 and $89.85 is well-defined. When this kind of compression resolves - particularly if it resolves with a gap or range-expansion bar - the follow-through tends to be more sustained than a typical breakout because of the energy that builds during the quiet phase. Liberty Media Corporation - Series A Liberty Formula One's current range isn't offering much of an edge in either direction, which is itself useful information - it means the 1D setup is better suited to defining risk (a close outside $82.93 or $89.85) than to predicting the outcome. Trying to front-run that resolution usually costs more in false starts than it saves in early entry.
LOW TARGET
$100 +20.4%
2 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$111 +33.6%
6 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$124 +49.3%
12 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$100.00 - $124.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
6/11/1/1/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$113.92 (+37.2%)
Sector
Communication Services
Industry
Entertainment
Exchange
NMS
Country
United States
Symbol
FWONA
Description
Liberty Media Corporation's Formula One Group is a prominent player in the global motorsports industry, primarily focused on the FIA Formula One World Championship. This company owns the commercial rights to this prestigious, nine-month-long racing competition, where teams and drivers vie for championship titles. Beyond the core racing events, the company generates revenue through diverse avenues, including ticket and hospitality packages for sports and entertainment events, as well as licensing and television production. Furthermore, they provide logistical and travel services, and operate the Formula 2, Formula 3, and F1 Academy series, further solidifying their position in the motorsports landscape. Established in 1950, the Formula One Group operates as a subsidiary of Liberty Media Corporation.
86/ 100
Strong bullish
Overall: Bullish
✓Revenue growing year over year
✓Positive net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Net Margin
12.4%
Revenue CAGR
5.4%
Current Ratio
1.46x
Debt / Equity
0.66x
Return on Equity
7.2%
Earnings Summary
Liberty Media Corporation’s Formula One Group, operating within the entertainment sector, owns commercial rights to the FIA Formula One World Championship and generates revenue through ticketing, hospitality, licensing, and broadcasting across multiple racing series. In Q4 2024, the group posted revenue of $1.167 billion but reported a negative EPS of $-0.45932, falling short of the $0.36208 estimate and signaling a sharp earnings decline; Q1 2025 revenue data is pending, but guidance indicates a $1.2706 billion target, while Q4 2025 revenue is projected at $1.5491 billion. The company’s recent Q2 sales of $934 million missed consensus by 0.87% and declined 30% from the prior quarter, yet management maintained full‑year guidance, suggesting confidence in long‑term media and sponsorship growth. Historically, the Formula One Group has driven a 12% CAGR since 2018, supported by digital fan engagement and premium broadcasting rights, but margin pressure and capital needs for series expansion pose risks. Recent analyst coverage upgraded the stock to a Buy with a $124 target, reflecting optimism around digital initiatives and MotoGP expansion, while a DCF analysis places the firm near its current price, indicating valuation sensitivity to cash‑flow volatility.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$-0.60$-0.29$0.03$0.34$0.66Q4'24Q1'25
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'25$0.51 - -
Q4'24$0.36$-0.46-226.9%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$1.2B$1.2B$1.2B$1.3B$1.3BQ4'24Q1'25
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'25$1.3B - -
Q4'24 - $1.2B -

Market Data

FWONA Stock Snapshot

NEUTRAL45/100
$82.30−$0.72 (0.9%)
Market cap
22.98B
P/E ratio
107.9
Day range
$82.30 – $85.20
News sentiment
51/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$111.00 (+34.9%)
Consensus
Buy · 20 analysts
52-week range+13.5% off low · -16.7% from high
$72.50$98.79
Price $82.30 DailyIQ Est. $113.92

FWONA is in a holding pattern - neither trend nor momentum has taken control. Earnings and guidance carry more weight than macro data at this capitalisation.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into FWONA?

FAIR

At today's price, Liberty Media Corporation - Series A Liberty Formula One needs to grow free cash flow about 16.3% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 7.75% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 14.4% a year, so the market is asking for 1.9 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis FWONA looks priced roughly in line with its own growth record.

Implied FCF growth
16.3%
Historical FCF CAGR
14.4%
Growth gap
+1.9 pts
Verdict
FAIR
Discount rate (WACC)
7.75%
Beta
0.67

Behaviour On Record

What FWONA's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
23.9% 40th pct
Below its peak
-14.4%
vs 200-day average
+0.7%
Up days (1y)
47%

Liberty Media Corporation - Series A Liberty Formula One is currently running 23.9% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against FWONA's own 10 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 40th percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 25.8%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

FWONA is trading -14.4% below its running peak. Across 9 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -21.6%, and the deepest was -60.8% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +0.7% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 35th percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year FWONA closed higher on 47% of sessions, and it is currently 4 sessions into a falling streak.

On October specifically: over 9 years of records, FWONA finished the month higher 4 of 9 times, with a median return of -2.9% and an average of -1.1%. Its strongest month historically has been April at +4.6% on average, its weakest March at -2.6%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: FWONA has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 104 of 2,441 sessions (4.3% of the time), with the largest gaps running +24.7% and -24.4%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 2,442 daily closes between 2017-01-25 and 2026-10-13, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against FWONA's own 10-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of FWONA's sector?

Liberty Media Corporation - Series A Liberty Formula One sits in the Software sector, currently ranked 5th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (weakening). Within its narrower Software industry group, FWONA ranks 3rd of 15 tracked industries, weakening.

Sector rank
#5 of 12
Sector state
Weakening
Sector rotation score
73
Industry rank
#3 of 15

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for FWONA?

CallsPuts

For Liberty Media Corporation - Series A Liberty Formula One's nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 2 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.15), with at-the-money implied volatility around 238.2%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±13.2% move by that expiry — a range of about $74.10–$96.60.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16)
0.15
ATM implied volatility
238.2%
Total open interest
45
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±13.2% ($74.10–$96.60)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on FWONA?

Guggenheim most recently reiterated its rating on Liberty Media Corporation - Series A Liberty Formula One to Buy on Aug 17, 2026 with a price target of $124 (from $116). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
Guggenheim — Buy
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Aug 17, 2026GuggenheimMaintainedBuy$116 → $124
Jul 2, 2026CitizensReiteratedMarket Outperform$100 → $120
May 11, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$95 → $100
Mar 30, 2026CitizensInitiatedMarket Outperform$100
Mar 25, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$100 → $95
Jul 22, 2025GuggenheimMaintainedBuy$95 → $110
Jun 12, 2025BenchmarkReiteratedBuy$102
Feb 24, 2025Wells FargoInitiatedUnderweight$83
Nov 14, 2024BenchmarkReiteratedBuy$81
Aug 9, 2024BenchmarkMaintainedBuy$77 → $81
May 22, 2024BenchmarkReiteratedBuy$77
Apr 2, 2024Deutsche BankMaintainedHold$73

Peers

FWONA peers

News Sentiment Analysis

Sentiment gathered from recent headlines

51/100
Strong NegativeNeutralStrong Positive
MIXED

Recent News Coverage

Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).

7 articles
What did this article say?
Liberty Media Corporation scheduled a conference call on November 5, 2026, to discuss its third‑quarter financial results and outlook. The company would release a press statement before market opening, detailing performance metrics and forward‑looking guidance. Management planned a brief Q&A session for investor inquiries, with a webcast available on the investor relations site. The announcement provided a standard update on earnings and future expectations without indicating any material change to guidance or performance.
What did this article say?
The article examined Formula One Group’s current share price of US$91.60, questioning whether the valuation aligns with projected cash flows. It highlighted the company’s 77.4% five‑year share price gain and its reliance on recurring media, sponsorship, and race promotion contracts.
What did this article say?
Liberty Media’s FWONA is leveraging its ownership of Formula 1 and MotoGP to accelerate growth, targeting a 12% CAGR in F1 and expanding MotoGP’s global footprint. The company’s strategy focuses on enhancing fan engagement through digital platforms and premium broadcasting rights, aiming to lift overall revenue streams. Analysts project a fair value of $85 per share based on discounted cash flow, recommending a hold position as the company balances growth opportunities with current valuation levels.
What did this article say?
Guggenheim analyst Curry Baker has upgraded Liberty Media (FWONA) to a Buy rating and lifted the price target from $116 to $124. The upgrade reflects confidence in the company’s strategic initiatives and potential upside from its media and entertainment assets. The higher target suggests a bullish outlook on future earnings and cash flow generation.
What did this article say?
Liberty Formula One Group (FWONA) reported Q2 sales of $934 million, falling short of the consensus estimate of $942 million by 0.87%. The decline represents a 30.35% drop from the previous quarter, indicating a slowdown in revenue growth. Despite the miss, the company maintained its guidance for the full year, suggesting confidence in long‑term performance.
What did this article say?
Formula One Group’s DCF estimate now sits near the current share price, while traditional multiples flag the stock as expensive. The company has delivered a 113.5% return over five years, driven by media, sponsorship and race promotion contracts. However, margin pressure or higher capital needs for the series could erode future cash flows. Investors must decide whether the current price reflects enough upside or is already overpaying for past performance.
End of results

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

45
NEUTRAL
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Institutional & Hedge Fund Ownership
25 tracked managers · $795.04M combined position · 17 adding, 8 trimming, 0 unchanged (latest 13F filings)
ManagerTrendShares Held% of Co.Position ValueFiled
Vanguard Group Inc▲ Buy2,112,2630.78%$188.79M2026-01-29
Norges Bank▲ Buy1,308,5680.49%$114.55M2026-08-12
BlackRock, Inc.▲ Buy1,187,2210.44%$103.93M2026-08-07
Janus Henderson Group plc▲ Buy1,006,1440.37%$78.56M2026-05-18
Ruane, Cunniff & Goldfarb L.P.▼ Sell695,7200.26%$60.90M2026-08-14
Geode Capital Management, LLC▲ Buy465,6120.17%$40.78M2026-08-12
Bank of America Corp▼ Sell462,2880.17%$40.47M2026-08-14
FMR LLC (Fidelity)▲ Buy386,7140.14%$33.85M2026-08-13
Corvex Management LP▲ New318,3500.12%$27.87M2026-08-14
Renaissance Technologies LLC▼ Sell259,4220.10%$22.71M2026-08-13
Morgan Stanley▲ Buy243,8560.09%$21.35M2026-08-13
Goldman Sachs Group Inc▲ Buy210,1070.08%$18.39M2026-08-14
Northern Trust Corp▲ Buy111,1770.04%$9.73M2026-08-13
Wells Fargo & Company▼ Sell110,5030.04%$9.67M2026-08-14
D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc.▼ Sell88,7010.03%$7.76M2026-08-14
Citadel Advisors LLC▲ Buy31,2540.01%$2.74M2026-09-02
Invesco Ltd.▲ Buy29,1650.01%$2.55M2026-08-14
Marshall Wace, LLP▲ Buy26,4070.01%$2.31M2026-08-13
JPMorgan Chase & Co▲ Buy20,0810.01%$1.73M2026-08-12
Susquehanna International Group, LLP▲ Buy15,7310.01%$1.38M2026-08-14
Citigroup Inc▼ Sell14,8370.01%$1.30M2026-08-03
Millennium Management LLC▲ Buy13,3300.00%$1.17M2026-08-14
AQR Capital Management LLC▲ Buy11,7320.00%$999.9K2026-08-14
Balyasny Asset Management L.P.▼ Sell10,0080.00%$876.1K2026-08-14
Neuberger Berman Group LLC▼ Sell7,6560.00%$670.2K2026-08-13
Q2 2026 flow:853.1K sh bought ($74.67M)259.6K sh sold ($22.72M)net +593.5K sh (+$51.95M)
Congressional Trading Activity
2 disclosed trades · ~$83.0K est. traded value · 1 buys, 1 sells
MemberChamberStateTypeAmountTradedFiled
John HickenlooperSenateCO▲ Buy$1K - $15K2022-05-132022-06-13
John HickenlooperSenateCO▼ Sell$50K - $100K2022-05-132022-06-13