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COF·Capital One Financial Corporation

$203.84
-0.84 (-0.41%)
Pre-Market
High
$203.00
Open
$0.00
Market Cap
123.06B
52W High
$260.00
Low
$203.00
P. Close
$203.84
P/E
11.32
52W Low
$174.24
Fwd P/E
8.54
DailyIQ Est.
$261.47
Inst. Own.
75.6%
Short Interest
1.23%
Days to Cover
2.0
Div. Yield
1.58%
Next Ex-Div
~Nov 19
NewEarnings release, scored · filed Oct 20, 2026tone +4.2 vs prior release · 37 lines scoredSee the breakdown
Technical Score (1D)
28
BEARISH
News Sentiment
50
MIXED
On Nov 4, Capital One Financial Corporation announced that it would pay a quarterly dividend of $0.80 per share, payable on Dec 1 2026 to shareholders of record on Nov 16 2026. The dividend is part of the company’s long‑standing practice of quarterly payouts since its independence in 1995. Shares are eligible for reinvestment under Capital One’s Dividend Reinvestment and Stock Purchase Plan. The announcement reflected routine dividend policy and did not change the company’s earnings guidance or financial outlook.
LOW TARGET
$225 +10.4%
2 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$255 +25.2%
14 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$290 +42.3%
15 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$225.00 - $290.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
7/16/6/1/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$261.47 (+28.3%)
Sector
Financial Services
Industry
Credit Services
Exchange
NYQ
Country
United States
Symbol
COF
Description
Capital One Financial Corporation is a financial services holding company offering a diverse range of products and services across the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom. Its core business revolves around three primary segments: Credit Card, Consumer Banking, and Commercial Banking. The company provides a comprehensive suite of financial solutions, including deposit accounts like checking and savings, alongside various loan products such as credit cards, auto loans, and commercial real estate financing. Capital One's value proposition lies in its multi-channel distribution network, serving consumers, small businesses, and commercial clients through digital platforms, physical branches, and other channels, primarily located in several key US states. Founded in 1988, the company is headquartered in McLean, Virginia, and provides advisory and capital markets services.
Bought (1Y)
0 shares
$0
Sold (1Y)
147,848 shares
$30.2M
FAIRBANK RICHARD DChairman and CEO
Option Exercise40,743 shares2026-10-27
FAIRBANK RICHARD DChairman and CEO
Sell6,873 shares2026-10-27
FAIRBANK RICHARD DChairman and CEO
Sell37,025 shares2026-10-27
FAIRBANK RICHARD DChairman and CEO
Sell46,845 shares2026-10-27
FAIRBANK RICHARD DChairman and CEO
Option Exercise40,743 shares2026-10-27
84/ 100
Bullish
Overall: Bullish
✓Revenue growing year over year
✓Positive net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Net Margin
30.4%
Revenue CAGR
-3.2%
Debt / Equity
0.45x
Return on Equity
2.2%

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$3.44$4.36$5.28$6.19$7.11Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26Q4'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'26$4.96 - -
Q3'26$5.56$6.69+20.4%
Q2'26$4.69$5.81+23.8%
Q1'26$4.57$4.42-3.3%
Q4'25$4.15$3.86-6.9%
Q3'25$4.36$5.95+36.4%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$15.0B$15.5B$16.0B$16.5B$17.0BQ3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26Q4'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'26$16.8B - -
Q3'26$16.4B$16.3B-0.5%
Q2'26$15.9B$15.8B-0.5%
Q1'26$15.4B$15.2B-0.9%
Q4'25$15.6B$15.6B-0.3%
Q3'25 - $15.4B -

Market Data

COF Stock Snapshot

BEARISH28/100
$203.00−$0.84 (0.4%)
Market cap
123.06B
P/E ratio
11.3
Day range
$203.00 – $203.00
News sentiment
50/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$255.19 (+25.7%)
Consensus
Buy · 31 analysts
52-week range+16.5% off low · -21.9% from high
$174.24$260.00
Price $203.00 DailyIQ Est. $261.47

Momentum has rolled over on Capital One Financial Corporation, which is what drives the bearish read. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.

Behaviour On Record

What COF's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
29.8% 62nd pct
Below its peak
-19.9%
vs 200-day average
+3.6%
Up days (1y)
53%

Capital One Financial Corporation is currently running 29.8% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against COF's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 62nd percentile — a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 26.4%.

COF is trading -19.9% below its running peak. Across 13 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -23.0%, and the deepest was -60.5% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +3.6% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 54th percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year COF closed higher on 53% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.

On November specifically: over 13 years of records, COF finished the month higher 9 of 13 times, with a median return of +0.6% and an average of +4.0%. Its strongest month historically has been April at +4.2% on average, its weakest March at -5.5%.

Overnight risk is measurable too: COF has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 137 of 3,268 sessions (4.2% of the time), with the largest gaps running +6.4% and -10.7%.

Across the last 4 dated reports on file, COF moved an average of 2.3% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 4 times, with a median move of -2.4% and a largest of -4.1%.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-11-06 and 2026-11-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against COF's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of COF's sector?

Capital One Financial Corporation sits in the Financials sector, currently ranked 4th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (leading).

Sector rank
#4 of 12
Sector state
Leading
Sector rotation score
64

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for COF?

CallsPuts

For Capital One Financial Corporation's nearest expiry (2027-03-19, 133 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.00), with at-the-money implied volatility around 0.8%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±0.5% move by that expiry — a range of about $199.95–$201.85.

Put/call ratio (2027-03-19)
0.00
ATM implied volatility
0.8%
Total open interest
22
Expected move by 2027-03-19
±0.5% ($199.95–$201.85)

Analyst Consensus Estimates

What do analysts expect COF to earn?

Analysts expect Capital One Financial Corporation to earn $21.56 per share in the fiscal year ending Dec 2026 and $27.49 in the fiscal year ending Dec 2028, from 3 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.

Quarter endingEPS estimateEPS rangeEPS analystsRevenue estimateRevenue analysts
Dec 2026$4.86$4.58 to $5.2016$16.56B14
Mar 2027$5.73$5.16 to $6.0812$16.24B6
Jun 2027$5.97$5.60 to $6.324~$16.80B-
Sep 2027$6.43$6.17 to $6.954~$18.09B-
Fiscal year endingEPS estimateEPS rangeEPS analystsRevenue estimateRevenue analysts
Dec 2026$21.56$20.37 to $22.0919$64.08B14
Dec 2027$23.97$23.19 to $25.5219$67.53B16
Dec 2028$27.49$26.73 to $28.313~$77.34B-

Revenue marked ~ is our calculation from the EPS estimate, not analyst consensus.

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on COF?

UBS most recently reiterated its rating on Capital One Financial Corporation to Buy on Nov 2, 2026 with a price target of $274 (from $280). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
UBS: Buy
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Nov 2, 2026UBSMaintainedBuy$280 → $274
Oct 21, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$280 → $285
Oct 21, 2026BMO CapitalMaintainedMarket Perform$219 → $225
Oct 21, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$227 → $241
Oct 21, 2026Piper SandlerMaintainedOverweight$260 → $269
Oct 21, 2026TD CowenMaintainedBuy$242 → $250
Oct 21, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$237 → $238
Oct 12, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$246 → $227
Oct 12, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedOverweight$273 → $267
Oct 9, 2026BMO CapitalInitiatedMarket Perform$219
Oct 6, 2026TD CowenMaintainedBuy$253 → $242
Oct 5, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$240 → $237

Earnings Release, Scored

What did Capital One Financial Corporation's latest earnings release say?

Filed Oct 20, 2026 · SEC Form 8-K, Exhibit 99

Tone77.3/ 100+4.2 vs prior release
Hedging words0.00per 100 words0.00 vs prior release
Tone, last 3 releasesScale 50–83

Most important lines

  1. 1

    Total non-interest expense decreased 2 percent to $8.9 billion:

    New this quarter
  2. 2

    2 percent decrease in operating expenses.

    New this quarter
  3. 3

    Provision for credit losses decreased $73 million to $2.9 billion:

Peers & ETF holders

COF peers & ETF holders

News & sentiment

What is the news saying about COF?

COF rose 4.5% over the month to Nov 5. News tone held between 28 and 75 from Oct 5 to Nov 2, then jumped to 60 on Nov 3.

Daily close and news tone, Oct 5 to Nov 5
$200$210Oct 5: tone 40Oct 6: tone 39Oct 7: tone 53Oct 8: tone 55Oct 9: tone 49Oct 12: tone 38Oct 13: tone 46Oct 14: tone 49Oct 15: tone 49Oct 16: tone 41Oct 19: tone 63Oct 20: tone 68Oct 21: tone 65Oct 22: tone 61Oct 23: tone 75Oct 26: tone 50Oct 27: tone 54Oct 28: tone 50Oct 29: tone 50Oct 30: tone 28Nov 2: tone 32Nov 3: tone 60Nov 4: tone 61Nov 5: tone 50Oct 5News toneNov 5123
  1. Oct 20 +5.6%same day: Capital One (COF) Beats Q3 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
  2. Oct 30 -2.6%
  3. Nov 2 +3.3%same day: UBS Adjusts Price Target on Capital One Financial to $274 From $280, Keeps Buy Rating

Technical analysis

How strong is COF's momentum right now?

On the daily chart COF ranks at the 28th percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a bearish reading.

Momentum rank by timeframe0 = weakest, 100 = strongest
See what drives the rankThe inputs behind each timeframe's momentum rank, plus RSI, stochastics, Bollinger Bands and moving averages. Free with an account.

Institutional ownership

Are big funds buying or selling COF?

115 of the 239 tracked managers added to COF in their latest 13F and 123 trimmed. Together they own 75.6% of the company, worth $91.7B. BlackRock and Vanguard Capital Management alone hold 15.1%.

115adding123trimming1unchanged
Largest holders by stake, latest 13FBar = share of COF
  1. $10.2B positionAdded 0.5% last quarter
  2. $8.2B positionAdded 0.3% last quarter
  3. $5.6B positionAdded 0.9% last quarter
  4. $3.6B positionAdded 2.5% last quarter
  5. $2.9B positionAdded 0.5% last quarter
  6. $2.7B positionTrimmed 2.1% last quarter
  7. $2.6B positionAdded 7.8% last quarter
  8. $2.3B positionAdded 11.0% last quarter
  9. $2.2B positionTrimmed 11.4% last quarter
  10. $2.0B positionAdded 15.7% last quarter
Full holdings history

Congressional trading

Is Congress trading COF?

7 members of Congress disclosed 19 COF trades between Oct 15, 2014 and Mar 27, 2026: 10 buys, 8 sells and 1 exchange, about $193.0K in estimated value.

BuysSells201620182020202220242026
BuySell$1K–$15K$15K–$50K$50K–$100K$100K–$250K

What stands out

Click one to highlight its trades in the chart

Discover more

How has COF done against its peers?

Over the six months to Nov 5, COF returned +7.7%. Of the 15 related stocks and ETFs, 8 did better, led by MA at +31.8%.

Change since May 5, through Nov 5
−50%0%+50%+100%May 5JunJulAugSepOctNov 5MA +31.8%COF +7.7%PAYP −30.9%