COF·Capital One Financial Corporation
COF|Analyst Targets
COF|Company Info
COF|Insider Trading
COF|Fundamentals
COF|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4'26 | $4.96 | - | - |
| Q3'26 | $5.56 | $6.69 | +20.4% |
| Q2'26 | $4.69 | $5.81 | +23.8% |
| Q1'26 | $4.57 | $4.42 | -3.3% |
| Q4'25 | $4.15 | $3.86 | -6.9% |
| Q3'25 | $4.36 | $5.95 | +36.4% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4'26 | $16.8B | - | - |
| Q3'26 | $16.4B | $16.3B | -0.5% |
| Q2'26 | $15.9B | $15.8B | -0.5% |
| Q1'26 | $15.4B | $15.2B | -0.9% |
| Q4'25 | $15.6B | $15.6B | -0.3% |
| Q3'25 | - | $15.4B | - |
COF|Monthly Returns
Market Data
COF Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 123.06B
- P/E ratio
- 11.3
- Day range
- $203.00 – $203.00
- News sentiment
- 50/100 · Neutral
- Analyst target
- $255.19 (+25.7%)
- Consensus
- Buy · 31 analysts
Momentum has rolled over on Capital One Financial Corporation, which is what drives the bearish read. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.
Behaviour On Record
What COF's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 29.8% 62nd pct
- Below its peak
- -19.9%
- vs 200-day average
- +3.6%
- Up days (1y)
- 53%
Capital One Financial Corporation is currently running 29.8% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against COF's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 62nd percentile — a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 26.4%.
COF is trading -19.9% below its running peak. Across 13 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -23.0%, and the deepest was -60.5% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.
Price sits +3.6% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 54th percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year COF closed higher on 53% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.
On November specifically: over 13 years of records, COF finished the month higher 9 of 13 times, with a median return of +0.6% and an average of +4.0%. Its strongest month historically has been April at +4.2% on average, its weakest March at -5.5%.
Overnight risk is measurable too: COF has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 137 of 3,268 sessions (4.2% of the time), with the largest gaps running +6.4% and -10.7%.
Across the last 4 dated reports on file, COF moved an average of 2.3% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 4 times, with a median move of -2.4% and a largest of -4.1%.
All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-11-06 and 2026-11-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against COF's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of COF's sector?
Capital One Financial Corporation sits in the Financials sector, currently ranked 4th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (leading).
- Sector rank
- #4 of 12
- Sector state
- Leading
- Sector rotation score
- 64
Analyst Consensus Estimates
What do analysts expect COF to earn?
Analysts expect Capital One Financial Corporation to earn $21.56 per share in the fiscal year ending Dec 2026 and $27.49 in the fiscal year ending Dec 2028, from 3 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.
Revenue marked ~ is our calculation from the EPS estimate, not analyst consensus.
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on COF?
UBS most recently reiterated its rating on Capital One Financial Corporation to Buy on Nov 2, 2026 with a price target of $274 (from $280). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.
- Latest action
- UBS: Buy
- 90-day upgrades
- 0
- 90-day downgrades
- 0
- Net rating momentum
- 0
Earnings Release, Scored
What did Capital One Financial Corporation's latest earnings release say?
Most important lines
- 1
Total non-interest expense decreased 2 percent to $8.9 billion:
New this quarter - 2
2 percent decrease in operating expenses.
New this quarter - 3
Provision for credit losses decreased $73 million to $2.9 billion:
Peers & ETF holders
COF peers & ETF holders
Credit ServicesMarket cap · today
News & sentiment
What is the news saying about COF?
COF rose 4.5% over the month to Nov 5. News tone held between 28 and 75 from Oct 5 to Nov 2, then jumped to 60 on Nov 3.
- Oct 20 +5.6%same day: Capital One (COF) Beats Q3 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
- Oct 30 -2.6%
- Nov 2 +3.3%same day: UBS Adjusts Price Target on Capital One Financial to $274 From $280, Keeps Buy Rating
Technical analysis
How strong is COF's momentum right now?
On the daily chart COF ranks at the 28th percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a bearish reading.
Institutional ownership
Are big funds buying or selling COF?
115 of the 239 tracked managers added to COF in their latest 13F and 123 trimmed. Together they own 75.6% of the company, worth $91.7B. BlackRock and Vanguard Capital Management alone hold 15.1%.
- 1BlackRock, Inc.8.42%$10.2B positionAdded 0.5% last quarter
- $8.2B positionAdded 0.3% last quarter
- 3State Street Corp4.59%$5.6B positionAdded 0.9% last quarter
- 4JPMorgan Chase & Co2.93%$3.6B positionAdded 2.5% last quarter
- $2.9B positionAdded 0.5% last quarter
- $2.7B positionTrimmed 2.1% last quarter
- $2.6B positionAdded 7.8% last quarter
- 8Harris Associates L P1.90%$2.3B positionAdded 11.0% last quarter
- 9FMR LLC (Fidelity)1.84%$2.2B positionTrimmed 11.4% last quarter
- 10Norges Bank1.65%$2.0B positionAdded 15.7% last quarter
Congressional trading
Is Congress trading COF?
7 members of Congress disclosed 19 COF trades between Oct 15, 2014 and Mar 27, 2026: 10 buys, 8 sells and 1 exchange, about $193.0K in estimated value.
What stands out
Click one to highlight its trades in the chartDiscover more
How has COF done against its peers?
Over the six months to Nov 5, COF returned +7.7%. Of the 15 related stocks and ETFs, 8 did better, led by MA at +31.8%.
- 1MAMastercard Incorporatedup 31.8%+24.1 pts
- 2PYPLPayPal Holdings, Inc.up 27.0%+19.4 pts
- 3NDAQNasdaq, Inc.up 20.2%+12.5 pts
- 4SPGIS&P Global Inc.up 17.2%+9.6 pts
- 5MCOMoody's Corporationup 13.4%+5.7 pts
- 6MSCIMSCI Inc.up 12.9%+5.2 pts
- 7ICEIntercontinental Exchange, Inc.up 11.9%+4.2 pts
- 8XLFFinancial Select Sector SPDR Fundup 11.3%+3.7 pts
- 9COFThis stockup 7.7%
- 16PAYPPayPay Corporationdown 30.9%−38.6 pts