DailyIQ
Last updated 4 minutes ago

ORLY·O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

$.
+. (+.%)
After Hours
High
$86.45
Open
$84.99
Market Cap
70.11B
52W High
$108.72
Low
$83.80
P. Close
$85.12
P/E
26.92
52W Low
$82.71
Fwd P/E
23.86
DailyIQ Est.
$113.32
Technical Score (1D)
27
SELL
News Sentiment
70
BULLISH
Q1 revenue matched analyst consensus, indicating a steady earnings trajectory relative to peers, so traders should monitor how O’Reilly’s margin performance compares to the sector. E‑commerce competition remains a risk while electric‑vehicle penetration could boost future parts demand, implying that growth prospects hinge on capturing online sales and EV‑related parts, so watch the company’s digital sales strategy and EV‑parts inventory. Shares fell to a 52‑week low after rumors of a $10 billion acquisition of Genuine Parts’ automotive business, raising concerns about financing strategy and potential restructuring, so watch for confirmation of the deal and its balance‑sheet impact. Rumors that O’Reilly is exploring a $10 billion+ purchase of Genuine Parts’ NAPA division could shift the product mix and affect earnings, so watch for official confirmation and pricing details. UBS notes that acquiring Genuine Parts’ automotive unit could enlarge product assortment, lower procurement costs, and support margin expansion, but regulatory clearance and integration timelines remain key uncertainties, so watch regulatory approvals and integration progress. Market participants await formal confirmation of the rumored >$10 billion bid, as uncertainty on terms and timing could affect the transaction’s feasibility and O’Reilly’s capital structure, so watch bid progress and regulatory approvals. Goldman Sachs has named O’Reilly an undervalued stock, citing its strong balance sheet and attractive valuation relative to peers, which could influence short‑term trading activity, so watch for any changes in earnings guidance and market sentiment. O’Reilly has scheduled its Q2 2026 earnings release for July 29 and a conference call on July 30, so analysts should prepare to assess guidance, margin performance, and any updates on acquisition talks. Analysts project high single‑digit growth in net income for the upcoming quarter, implying that if revenue and gross‑margin expansion meet expectations, O’Reilly could see a valuation upside, so watch the earnings release for detailed revenue, margin, and dealer‑network metrics. O’Reilly’s 10‑year CAGR of 16.75% versus the market’s 3.48% underscores its long‑term resilience, providing a backdrop against which to evaluate the short‑term impact of acquisition speculation and capital allocation decisions, so watch how the company balances growth and shareholder returns.
Earnings Summary
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc., founded in 1957, is a leading retailer and distributor of automotive aftermarket parts, tools, and accessories across the United States, Puerto Rico, Mexico, and Canada, serving both professional service providers and do‑it‑yourself customers. Operating in the consumer cyclical auto‑parts industry, the company offers a broad mix of new and remanufactured components, value‑added services such as battery testing and a loaner tool program, and proprietary brands that support its extensive dealer network. In the most recent two quarters, O'Reilly’s Q1 2026 revenue rose to $4.56 B from $4.41 B in Q4 2025, while EPS increased from $0.71 to $0.72, indicating modest earnings improvement; however, Q4 2025 revenue fell to $4.41 B from $4.71 B in Q3 2025 and EPS dropped from $0.85 to $0.71, reflecting a slowdown in top‑line growth and margin compression. Across the last six quarters, the company has delivered earnings that beat analyst estimates only twice—Q3 2025 and Q1 2026—while the remaining quarters fell short, with Q4 2024, Q1 2025, Q2 2025, Q4 2025, and Q2 2026 (pending) missing expectations. Historically, O'Reilly’s revenue has shown a mixed YoY trajectory, with growth in the first three quarters of 2025 but a decline in Q4 2025, followed by a rebound in Q1 2026; EPS has similarly fluctuated, with a peak in Q3 2025 and a decline in subsequent quarters. Recent news reports that O'Reilly is exploring a $10 B bid for Genuine Parts Corp’s auto unit, a move that could broaden its distribution network and enhance its competitive moat, while the company’s $31.75 B share‑repurchase program signals management confidence but also consumes cash that could fund acquisitions; analysts also note rising vehicle‑repair demand supporting the sector. Investors should watch for the company’s next earnings release to confirm the status of the Genuine Parts bid, assess inventory levels and gross‑margin performance, and gauge the pace of its buyback program, as these factors will determine whether the company can sustain growth and deliver shareholder value.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.59$0.67$0.74$0.82$0.90Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$0.86 - -
Q1'26$0.71$0.72+1.7%
Q4'25$0.74$0.71-4.0%
Q3'25$0.83$0.85+2.4%
Q2'25$0.78$0.78-0.3%
Q1'25$0.66$0.62-5.6%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$4.0B$4.3B$4.5B$4.8B$5.1BQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$5.0B - -
Q1'26$4.5B$4.6B+0.3%
Q4'25$4.5B$4.4B-1.4%
Q3'25 - $4.7B -
Q2'25 - $4.5B -
Q1'25 - $4.1B -

Market Data

ORLY Stock Snapshot

ORLY is currently trading at $84.84, giving O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. a market cap of 70.11B and a P/E ratio of 26.9. Today's range spans $83.80–$86.45, with shares opening at $84.99 and moving down $0.28 (0.3%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 27/100 (SELL) with a news sentiment reading of 70/100.

Over the past year ORLY has traded between $82.71 and $108.72 - the current price is +2.6% off the 52-week low and -22.0% from the high. 38 analysts cover the stock with a Buy consensus and a mean 12-month target of $110.25 (range $89.00–$120.00), implying upside of +30.0%.

The technical and sentiment data for O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (ORLY) both point lower - 27/100, SELL, sentiment bullish at 70/100, price $84.84 (near 52-week lows). The current P/E ratio stands at 26.9. As a large-cap with 70.11B in Consumer Cyclical, this is a name that short sellers actively cover: liquid enough to short with minimal borrowing friction, large enough to matter to a portfolio. Annual range: $82.71–$108.72.

When a large-cap Consumer Cyclical name with 70.11B in capitalization prints a SELL signal (27/100) alongside bullish news sentiment (70/100), the risk isn't just price depreciation — it's the loss of institutional sponsorship that makes recovery harder. At $84.84 (near 52-week lows in the $82.71–$108.72 range), the structural support levels are where that sponsorship question gets answered.