RBA·RB Global Inc.

Realized volatility (21d)

24.5% 56th pct

Below its peak

-26.0%

vs 200-day average

-12.9%

Up days (1y)

52%

RB Global Inc. is currently running 24.5% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against RBA's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 56th percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 23.2%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

RBA is trading -26.0% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -20.6%, and the deepest was -39.2% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -12.9% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 5th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year RBA closed higher on 52% of sessions, and it is currently 4 sessions into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, RBA finished the month higher 8 of 13 times, with a median return of +3.5% and an average of +1.2%. Its strongest month historically has been August at +4.5% on average, its weakest September at -2.3%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: RBA has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 96 of 3,266 sessions (2.9% of the time), with the largest gaps running +10.1% and -11.9%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,267 daily closes between 2013-10-15 and 2026-10-13, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against RBA's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.