DailyIQ
Last updated2 minutes ago

FOX·Fox Corporation

$57.76
-0.70 (-1.20%)
Market Closed (Overnight)$57.74-0.02 (-0.03%)
High
$58.19
Open
$57.99
Market Cap
25.88B
52W High
$68.18
Low
$57.05
P. Close
$57.76
P/E
15.36
52W Low
$44.08
Fwd P/E
10.05
DailyIQ Est.
-
Inst. Ownership
-
Short Interest
2.32%
Days to Cover
10.5
Technical Score (1D)
45
NEUTRAL
News Sentiment
34
BEARISH
Fox’s latest development is the Department of Justice’s second request for information on its proposed $22 billion acquisition of Roku, which extends the pre‑merger waiting period and pushes the expected closing into the first half of 2027. The added scrutiny raises the possibility of regulatory conditions that could dilute the streaming and advertising synergies Fox seeks, adding uncertainty to its integration timeline and cost structure. This delay may keep the deal’s value proposition in limbo for the next 1–10 trading days, so traders should watch the DOJ’s next filings for any imposed conditions or timelines. Earlier this week, Fox reported Q4 2026 results that beat expectations, driven largely by World Cup advertising gains and growth on its Tubi streaming platform, which now boasts 110 million users. The company reiterated a bullish outlook for fiscal 2027, emphasizing continued investment in streaming and content production while highlighting operational efficiencies that improved profitability. The earnings beat and guidance reaffirmation suggest that, absent regulatory setbacks, Fox’s advertising and subscription revenue streams remain robust. The combination of a strong earnings profile and a potentially delayed merger creates a mixed outlook: on one hand, the company’s digital and live‑event segments are expanding, but on the other, the uncertainty around the Roku deal could temper investor enthusiasm. Watch for the DOJ’s next move and any updates from Fox’s management on how the merger’s timeline might shift, as these will be the key catalysts for the next few trading days.
FOX|Analyst Targets
Earnings Summary
Fox Corporation operates as a diversified media enterprise focused on news, sports, and entertainment programming across broadcast, cable, and digital platforms, with key revenue drivers in cable network programming, television, and streaming services such as Tubi. The company’s competitive advantage lies in its established brand recognition and broad distribution network within the U.S. entertainment sector. Recent quarterly performance data for the last three reported periods (Q3 2026, Q4 2026, Q1 2027) are limited to analyst estimates; actual earnings per share and revenue figures are not provided, so a detailed comparison of growth trends or beat/miss patterns cannot be made. Historically, Fox has demonstrated resilience in its ad‑supported model, with prior earnings releases indicating revenue growth during high‑profile events like the FIFA World Cup and improved operating margins, yet the absence of current actuals precludes a fresh assessment of year‑over‑year momentum. Recent news highlights a governance shift following a $3.3 billion buyout that consolidated control under Lachlan Murdoch, potentially accelerating capital deployment and influencing future strategic decisions. The board’s semi‑annual dividend increase to $0.29 per share signals a focus on shareholder returns amid earnings softness, which may attract income‑focused investors but could limit reinvestment flexibility. Forward‑looking watch points for investors include monitoring the upcoming earnings guidance for fiscal 2027, particularly the sustainability of the World Cup advertising lift and the trajectory of Tubi subscriber growth, as these factors will determine whether the dividend strategy remains viable.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.84$0.91$0.99$1.06$1.14Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$0.99 - -

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$3.9B$3.9B$3.9B$3.9B$3.9BQ3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$3.9B - -

Market Data

FOX Stock Snapshot

HOLD45/100
$57.74$0.02 (0.0%)
Market cap
25.88B
P/E ratio
15.4
Day range
$57.05 – $58.19
News sentiment
34/100 · Bearish
52-week range+31.0% off low · -15.3% from high
$44.08$68.18
Price $57.74

The setup on Fox Corporation is patient: consolidation, not accumulation or distribution. In Communication Services, names this size usually take direction from sector flows before company-level news.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into FOX?

FAIR

At today's price, Fox Corporation needs to grow free cash flow about 2.2% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 7.54% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 2.2% a year, so the market is asking for 0.0 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis FOX looks priced roughly in line with its own growth record.

Implied FCF growth
2.2%
Historical FCF CAGR
2.2%
Growth gap
+0.0 pts
Verdict
FAIR
Discount rate (WACC)
7.54%
Beta
0.66

Behaviour On Record

What FOX's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
33.9% 74th pct
Below its peak
-14.8%
vs 200-day average
+1.3%
Up days (1y)
53%

Fox Corporation is currently running 33.9% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against FOX's own 7 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 74th percentile a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 26.4%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

FOX is trading -14.8% below its running peak. Across 7 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -22.2%, and the deepest was -49.2% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +1.3% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 45th percentile close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year FOX closed higher on 53% of sessions, and it is currently 4 sessions into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 8 years of records, FOX finished the month higher 5 of 8 times, with a median return of +1.1% and an average of -0.1%. Its strongest month historically has been January at +5.0% on average, its weakest February at -4.2%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: FOX has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 109 of 1,890 sessions (5.8% of the time), with the largest gaps running +9.9% and -27.2%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 1,891 daily closes between 2019-03-13 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against FOX's own 8-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of FOX's sector?

Fox Corporation sits in the Communication Services sector, currently ranked 3rd of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging).

Sector rank
#3 of 11
Sector state
Lagging
Sector rotation score
70

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for FOX?

CallsPuts

For Fox Corporation's nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 26 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.28), with at-the-money implied volatility around 46.1%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±13.8% move by that expiry — a range of about $50.98–$67.32.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16)
0.28
ATM implied volatility
46.1%
Total open interest
742
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±13.8% ($50.98–$67.32)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on FOX?

JP Morgan most recently upgraded Fox Corporation to Overweight on Aug 14, 2026 with a price target of $82 (from $70). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 1 upgrade against 1 downgrade, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
JP MorganOverweight
90-day upgrades
1
90-day downgrades
1
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Aug 14, 2026JP MorganUpgradeNeutral → Overweight$70 → $82
Aug 7, 2026Seaport GlobalDowngradeBuy → Neutral-
Feb 25, 2026B of A SecuritiesDowngradeBuy → Underperform$80 → $45
Mar 22, 2023RosenblattReiteratedNeutral$35
Aug 11, 2022Credit SuisseMaintainedOutperform$48 → $46
Jun 2, 2022Wolfe ResearchDowngradeOutperform → Peer Perform$52 → $39
Dec 14, 2021MacquarieMaintainedNeutral$40 → $37
Nov 5, 2021Goldman SachsMaintainedSell$29 → $33
Jul 22, 2020Credit SuisseMaintainedOutperform$37 → $34
Apr 2, 2020GuggenheimUpgradeNeutral → Buy-
Feb 6, 2020JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$40 → $42
Mar 16, 2018Loop CapitalInitiatedBuy$43

FOX Competitive Positioning

Fox Corporation (FOX) is tracked alongside these names in Entertainment on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.