DailyIQ
Last updated3 minutes ago

DVN·Devon Energy Corporation

$48.61
-0.11 (-0.23%)
Market Closed (Overnight)$48.60-0.01 (-0.02%)
High
$49.00
Open
$48.57
Market Cap
56.51B
52W High
$53.25
Low
$47.99
P. Close
$48.61
P/E
17.23
52W Low
$31.47
Fwd P/E
9.09
DailyIQ Est.
$63.00
Inst. Ownership
5.3%
Short Interest
2.36%
Days to Cover
2.6
Technical Score (1D)
55
BUY
News Sentiment
56
BULLISH
Devon Energy’s latest announcement that the Solitude Pipeline will take gas from its Permian assets is the most immediate catalyst for the stock. The pipeline’s gas takeaway is projected to lift the Waha gas basis, which directly improves the company’s operating margins by allowing it to sell gas at higher spreads. Higher margins should translate into stronger earnings in the next quarter, potentially tightening the valuation spread that has been a drag on the shares. The development also enhances Devon’s competitive stance in the Permian, giving it a more reliable supply chain against rivals that rely on older, less efficient infrastructure. Investors should watch the timeline for the pipeline’s operational start, as any delay could postpone the margin lift and dampen the earnings upside. Regulatory approvals remain a key watch item; any hold‑up in permitting could extend the deployment window and affect the projected cash flow. The market will also be attentive to how the increased gas throughput impacts Devon’s balance sheet, particularly debt levels and liquidity ratios. Finally, analysts will monitor whether the higher basis translates into a sustained lift in the company’s gas pricing power, which could influence future capital allocation decisions.
Earnings Summary
Devon Energy Corporation is a U.S. independent oil and gas exploration and production company focused on key basins such as the Delaware Basin, Eagle Ford, and Williston. The firm operates within the broader energy sector, leveraging its premium asset base to generate high‑margin drilling and robust free‑cash‑flow. In the most recent quarter, Q4 2025, Devon reported earnings per share of $0.82 versus an estimate of $0.82, matching expectations, while revenue rose to $4.12 billion against a forecast of $3.89 billion, marking a 5.8% increase. The preceding quarter, Q3 2025, saw EPS of $1.04 beating the $0.94 estimate and revenue of $4.33 billion, a 1.2% rise from Q2 2025’s $4.28 billion. Over the last four quarters, Devon has consistently met or exceeded analyst EPS estimates, with only a slight miss in Q1 2026 where EPS of $1.04 fell short of the $1.09 estimate, yet revenue still outperformed expectations at $3.81 billion versus $3.95 billion forecast. Historically, the company has maintained a steady YoY revenue growth trajectory, with Q2 2026 revenue of $7.42 billion surpassing the $6.31 billion estimate, reflecting a 17.5% jump from Q2 2025. This pattern of revenue growth amid modest EPS volatility underscores Devon’s ability to translate commodity price gains into top‑line expansion. Recent news highlights a $0.32 per‑share cash dividend and a merger with Coterra Energy, both signaling management confidence in cash‑flow generation and a strategic move to unlock cost synergies. Investors should watch the upcoming Q2 earnings release for confirmation of the projected free‑cash‑flow uplift from the merger, any updates on integration milestones, and the impact of sustained oil‑price levels on revenue and margin expansion. These factors will be key to assessing Devon’s continued resilience in a volatile energy market.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.71$0.95$1.19$1.44$1.68Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$1.23 - -
Q2'26$1.41$1.57+11.6%
Q1'26$1.09$1.04-4.9%
Q4'25$0.82$0.82+0.0%
Q3'25$0.94$1.04+10.6%
Q2'25$0.86$0.84-2.8%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$3.3B$4.4B$5.6B$6.8B$8.0BQ2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$7.1B - -
Q2'26$6.3B$7.4B+17.5%
Q1'26$3.9B$3.8B-3.5%
Q4'25$3.9B$4.1B+6.0%
Q3'25 - $4.3B -
Q2'25 - $4.3B -

Market Data

DVN Stock Snapshot

HOLD55/100
$48.60$0.01 (0.0%)
Market cap
56.51B
P/E ratio
17.2
Day range
$47.99 – $49.00
News sentiment
56/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$60.43 (+24.3%)
Consensus
Buy · 34 analysts
52-week range+54.4% off low · -8.7% from high
$31.47$53.25
Price $48.60 DailyIQ Est. $63.00

Neither side has the upper hand on DVN right now, and the indicator set reflects that. Sector peers are worth watching - large caps in Energy tend to move together on rotation.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into DVN?

CHEAP

At today's price, Devon Energy Corporation needs to grow free cash flow about -6.6% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 8.30% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 5.9% a year, so the market is asking for 12.5 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis DVN looks priced below what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
-6.6%
Historical FCF CAGR
5.9%
Growth gap
-12.5 pts
Verdict
CHEAP
Discount rate (WACC)
8.30%
Beta
0.78

Behaviour On Record

What DVN's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
30.0% 32nd pct
Below its peak
-38.9%
vs 200-day average
+10.3%
Up days (1y)
51%

Devon Energy Corporation is currently running 30.0% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against DVN's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 32nd percentile on the quiet side for this stock, against a typical reading of 37.6%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

DVN is trading -38.9% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -41.6%, and the deepest was -79.1% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +10.3% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 71st percentile a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year DVN closed higher on 51% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, DVN finished the month higher 4 of 13 times, with a median return of -5.7% and an average of -1.6%. Its strongest month historically has been April at +9.4% on average, its weakest December at -2.5%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: DVN has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 259 of 3,268 sessions (7.9% of the time), with the largest gaps running +15.0% and -23.7%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, DVN moved an average of 4.6% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -4.3% and a largest of -7.1%.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-09-19 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against DVN's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of DVN's sector?

Devon Energy Corporation sits in the Energy sector, currently ranked 2nd of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (weakening).

Sector rank
#2 of 11
Sector state
Weakening
Sector rotation score
80

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for DVN?

CallsPuts

For Devon Energy Corporation's nearest expiry (2026-09-25, 6 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.67), with at-the-money implied volatility around 35.2%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±4.7% move by that expiry — a range of about $46.06–$50.60.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-25)
0.67
ATM implied volatility
35.2%
Total open interest
7,976
Expected move by 2026-09-25
±4.7% ($46.06–$50.60)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on DVN?

Raymond James most recently reiterated its rating on Devon Energy Corporation to Strong Buy on Sep 14, 2026 with a price target of $67 (from $64). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
Raymond JamesStrong Buy
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 14, 2026Raymond JamesMaintainedStrong Buy$64 → $67
Sep 14, 2026UBSMaintainedBuy$55 → $63
Sep 3, 2026Seaport GlobalInitiatedBuy$65
Aug 31, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$65 → $67
Aug 17, 2026Argus ResearchReiteratedBuy$46
Aug 17, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$62 → $58
Aug 13, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedOverweight$68 → $65
Aug 6, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$61 → $65
Jul 21, 2026SusquehannaMaintainedPositive$57 → $63
Jul 16, 2026Raymond JamesMaintainedStrong Buy$66 → $64
Jul 15, 2026UBSMaintainedBuy$58 → $54
Jul 9, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$66 → $61

DVN Competitive Positioning

Devon Energy Corporation (DVN) is tracked alongside these names in Oil & Gas E&P on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.