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EOG·EOG Resources, Inc.

$144.21
-1.26 (-0.87%)
Market Closed (Overnight)$142.55-1.66 (-1.15%)
High
$146.29
Open
$145.08
Market Cap
76.30B
52W High
$154.16
Low
$142.55
P. Close
$144.21
P/E
11.10
52W Low
$101.59
Fwd P/E
9.78
DailyIQ Est.
$164.19
Inst. Ownership
3.2%
Short Interest
2.76%
Days to Cover
5.7
Technical Score (1D)
41
SELL
News Sentiment
62
BULLISH
Raymond James upgraded EOG to a Strong Buy and lifted its price target to $186, citing confidence in the company’s production growth and improving margins. The upgrade follows similar lifts by Stephens to $175 and neutral ratings from Citigroup and Goldman that also signal a modest upside expectation based on expected earnings and commodity price support. These analyst moves suggest that, in the short term, traders should anticipate a potential rally if the company continues to meet its production and profitability targets. Meanwhile, the Canada Pension Plan Investment Board’s purchase of 679,913 shares and other institutional inflows indicate broader confidence that could sustain upward momentum. Insider sales by CEO Ezra Y. Yacob and EVP Michael P. Donaldson, totaling over $6.5 million, appear routine and unlikely to alter fundamentals, but they warrant monitoring for any future changes in ownership concentration. EOG’s Q2 2026 earnings beat estimates with a 24.4 % production increase, and the company reported record free cash flow that enabled higher buybacks and dividend hikes, reinforcing its cash‑generation strength. The 5‑year average return of roughly 16 % versus the market underscores the company’s historical performance, but the current valuation may already reflect much of that upside. In the next 1–10 trading days, watch for the upcoming earnings release and any updates on drilling activity, as these will confirm whether the production growth and margin improvement remain on track. Also keep an eye on any further institutional buying or insider activity that could signal shifts in sentiment, and on the conference webcast for management’s commentary on future outlook.
Earnings Summary
EOG Resources, headquartered in Houston, is a leading U.S. oil and gas exploration and production company that focuses on drilling and developing reserves in established basins, primarily in the United States and Trinidad and Tobago. The firm operates within the broader energy sector, specifically the oil & gas E&P industry, and has a long history dating back to 1985. In recent quarters, EOG has demonstrated a consistent ability to exceed earnings expectations while maintaining robust revenue growth. In Q4 2024, the company posted an EPS of $2.74 versus an estimate of $2.5658, and revenue of $5.585B. Q1 2025 saw EPS of $2.87 against an estimate of $2.7719, with revenue of $5.669B. The following quarter, Q2 2025, delivered EPS of $2.32 versus an estimate of $2.20468, and revenue of $5.478B, indicating a slight dip in EPS growth but a modest revenue decline. Q3 2025 reversed this trend with EPS of $2.71 against an estimate of $2.44642 and revenue of $5.847B, showing a rebound in both earnings and top line. In Q1 2026, EPS rose to $3.41 from an estimate of $3.21042, and revenue surged to $6.921B from an estimate of $6.063B, marking a significant acceleration. Q2 2026 continued the upward trajectory with EPS of $5.07 versus an estimate of $5.0582 and revenue of $8.62B versus an estimate of $7.871B, reflecting a strong earnings beat and revenue growth of 9.6% YoY. Historically, EOG has maintained a YoY revenue growth rate that has outpaced EPS growth in several quarters, yet the company consistently beats analyst estimates in most recent periods, underscoring disciplined cost management and production expansion. Recent news highlights include a price target lift by Raymond James to $186, citing solid operational performance and projected earnings growth, and a similar upgrade by Stephens to $175, both reinforcing investor confidence. The company’s Q2 2026 results were bolstered by a 24.4% YoY rise in production, driven by higher oil prices and increased volumes, and record free cash flow that has supported buybacks and dividend hikes. Investors should watch for the upcoming earnings release to gauge reserve replacement ratios, drilling activity, and any guidance on capital allocation, as these factors will be key to understanding whether the company can sustain its current momentum amid fluctuating commodity prices.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$1.77$2.71$3.64$4.57$5.50Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$4.07 - -
Q2'26$5.06$5.07+0.2%
Q1'26$3.21$3.41+6.2%
Q3'25$2.45$2.71+10.8%
Q2'25$2.20$2.32+5.2%
Q1'25$2.77$2.87+3.5%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$5.0B$6.0B$7.0B$8.1B$9.1BQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$7.1B - -
Q2'26$7.9B$8.6B+9.5%
Q1'26$6.1B$6.9B+14.1%
Q3'25 - $5.8B -
Q2'25 - $5.5B -
Q1'25 - $5.7B -

Market Data

EOG Stock Snapshot

HOLD41/100
$142.55$1.66 (1.2%)
Market cap
76.30B
P/E ratio
11.1
Day range
$142.55 – $146.29
News sentiment
62/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$161.86 (+13.5%)
Consensus
Hold · 38 analysts
52-week range+40.3% off low · -7.5% from high
$101.59$154.16
Price $142.55 DailyIQ Est. $164.19

This is a pause rather than a turn for EOG - the signals are mixed by construction. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into EOG?

CHEAP

At today's price, EOG Resources, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about -20.0% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 7.32% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 17.2% a year, so the market is asking for 37.2 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis EOG looks priced below what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
-20.0% (capped)
Historical FCF CAGR
17.2%
Growth gap
-37.2 pts
Verdict
CHEAP
Discount rate (WACC)
7.32%
Beta
0.58

Behaviour On Record

What EOG's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
29.8% 47th pct
Below its peak
-6.0%
vs 200-day average
+10.6%
Up days (1y)
51%

EOG Resources, Inc. is currently running 29.8% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against EOG's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 47th percentile close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 30.7%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

EOG is trading -6.0% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -27.5%, and the deepest was -67.4% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +10.6% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 74th percentile a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year EOG closed higher on 51% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, EOG finished the month higher 5 of 13 times, with a median return of -3.3% and an average of -0.4%. Its strongest month historically has been April at +3.5% on average, its weakest December at -1.3%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: EOG has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 219 of 3,268 sessions (6.7% of the time), with the largest gaps running +14.6% and -14.7%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-09-19 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against EOG's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of EOG's sector?

EOG Resources, Inc. sits in the Energy sector, currently ranked 2nd of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (weakening).

Sector rank
#2 of 11
Sector state
Weakening
Sector rotation score
80

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for EOG?

CallsPuts

For EOG Resources, Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-09-25, 6 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.76), with at-the-money implied volatility around 32.1%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±4.2% move by that expiry — a range of about $138.55–$150.77.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-25)
0.76
ATM implied volatility
32.1%
Total open interest
1,829
Expected move by 2026-09-25
±4.2% ($138.55–$150.77)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on EOG?

Raymond James most recently reiterated its rating on EOG Resources, Inc. to Strong Buy on Sep 17, 2026 with a price target of $186 (from $183). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
Raymond JamesStrong Buy
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 17, 2026Raymond JamesMaintainedStrong Buy$183 → $186
Sep 14, 2026UBSMaintainedBuy$158 → $183
Sep 3, 2026Seaport GlobalInitiatedNeutral-
Aug 27, 2026CitigroupMaintainedNeutral$141 → $150
Aug 24, 2026Goldman SachsMaintainedNeutral$127 → $151
Aug 19, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedEqual-Weight$156 → $157
Aug 17, 2026BarclaysMaintainedEqual-Weight$153 → $147
Aug 13, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedOverweight$196 → $193
Aug 6, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainedHold$134 → $153
Jul 21, 2026SusquehannaMaintainedPositive$166 → $170
Jul 9, 2026CitigroupMaintainedNeutral$147 → $141
Jul 2, 2026UBSMaintainedBuy$168 → $158

EOG Competitive Positioning

EOG Resources, Inc. (EOG) is tracked alongside these names in Oil & Gas E&P on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.