DailyIQ
Last updated1 minute ago

SHEL·Shell PLC

$94.54
-1.28 (-1.34%)
After Hours
High
$96.13
Open
$94.50
Market Cap
204.67B
52W High
$99.16
Low
$94.13
P. Close
$94.54
P/E
10.56
52W Low
$68.62
Fwd P/E
9.27
DailyIQ Est.
$102.28
Inst. Ownership
8.7%
Short Interest
1.07%
Days to Cover
4.1
Technical Score (1D)
82
BUY
News Sentiment
42
BEARISH
Shell plc completed additional share repurchases on 17 September 2026, extending its buy‑back program that began on 30 July 2026; the transactions were executed under the pre‑set on‑market and off‑market parameters managed by Goldman Sachs International and comply with UK Listing Rules and EU Market Abuse Regulation. The company did not issue new guidance or alter its strategic direction, so the move is routine and is expected to have only a modest effect on capital structure. Earlier this week, Shell warned that the loss of 36 million metric tons of LNG and 1.6 billion barrels of crude since the Middle East conflict has eroded market buffers, potentially tightening supply through 2027. The company noted that weaker Chinese demand, inventory drawdowns, and flexible shipping have so far mitigated the shock, but these protections are eroding. Rising prices are already pushing Asian buyers toward coal, nuclear, and domestic gas, signalling a swift retreat in LNG demand. This warning highlights a material headwind for Shell’s LNG trading and could impact its revenue outlook over the next 1–10 trading days. The buy‑back confirms that Shell remains confident in its valuation and cash flow, while the LNG warning signals that supply constraints may persist, potentially supporting higher energy prices. Traders should watch for any further guidance on Shell’s trading strategy and for market reactions to the evolving LNG demand dynamics in Asia.
Earnings Summary
Shell PLC is a global energy and petrochemical company operating across the full value chain from upstream exploration and production to downstream refining and marketing, while also investing in renewables such as wind, solar, hydrogen and carbon capture. The company’s diversified portfolio places it firmly in the Oil & Gas Integrated sector, where commodity price swings and regulatory shifts are key drivers. In Q4 2024 Shell reported EPS of $1.20 versus an estimate of $1.49, a miss, while revenue rose to $66.28 billion, reflecting a modest top‑line gain. The following quarter, Q1 2025, saw EPS jump to $1.84 beating the $1.61 estimate and revenue climb to $69.23 billion, indicating a rebound in earnings momentum. Q2 2025 EPS of $1.44 again beat the $1.27 estimate, but revenue dipped to $65.41 billion, showing a slight deceleration in top‑line growth. Q3 2025 EPS of $1.86 beat the $1.74 estimate and revenue rose to $68.15 billion, restoring a positive trend. Over the past four quarters Shell has consistently outperformed earnings estimates in three of the last four periods, while revenue growth has been mixed, with a 4.4% increase from Q4 2024 to Q1 2025, a 5.8% decline in Q2 2025, and a 4.2% rebound in Q3 2025. Historically, Shell has maintained a YoY revenue growth trajectory of roughly 3–5% in recent years, with EPS growth outpacing revenue in most quarters, underscoring a pattern of improving profitability despite occasional revenue volatility. Recent news highlights the UK government’s postponement of the Jackdaw field approval, which could tighten short‑term cash flow and delay gas supply ramp‑up, adding a modest headwind to upstream operations; meanwhile the company’s PJM market expansion and share‑buyback program signal management confidence in cash‑flow generation and a strategic shift toward higher‑margin U.S. generation. Investors should watch for the UK regulatory timeline for the Jackdaw field, the progress of the Conifer stake integration, and any changes in Brent crude pricing, as these factors will likely influence next quarter’s earnings and cash‑flow dynamics.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$1.05$1.38$1.71$2.04$2.37Q4'24Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q1'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'26$2.21 - -
Q3'25$1.74$1.86+7.1%
Q2'25$1.27$1.44+13.7%
Q1'25$1.61$1.84+14.4%
Q4'24$1.49$1.20-19.6%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$63.2B$68.0B$72.9B$77.7B$82.6BQ4'24Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q1'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'26$80.4B - -
Q3'25 - $68.2B -
Q2'25 - $65.4B -
Q1'25 - $69.2B -
Q4'24 - $66.3B -

Market Data

SHEL Stock Snapshot

BUY82/100
$94.56+$0.02 (0.0%)
Market cap
204.67B
P/E ratio
10.6
Day range
$94.13 – $96.13
News sentiment
42/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$100.35 (+6.1%)
Consensus
Buy · 27 analysts
52-week range+37.8% off low · -4.6% from high
$68.62$99.16
Price $94.56 DailyIQ Est. $102.28

Momentum is working in SHEL's favour - the indicator set leans bullish rather than mixed. Positioning shifts among large allocators, not retail flow, set the tone for a name this size.

Behaviour On Record

What SHEL's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
18.9% 34th pct
Below its peak
-2.3%
vs 200-day average
+15.8%
Up days (1y)
55%

Shell PLC is currently running 18.9% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against SHEL's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 34th percentile on the quiet side for this stock, against a typical reading of 22.4%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

SHEL is trading -2.3% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -20.0%, and the deepest was -66.3% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +15.8% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 91st percentile a wider gap than this stock usually carries. Over the past year SHEL closed higher on 55% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, SHEL finished the month higher 7 of 13 times, with a median return of +1.7% and an average of +0.6%. Its strongest month historically has been July at +1.4% on average, its weakest August at -1.6%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: SHEL has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 224 of 3,267 sessions (6.9% of the time), with the largest gaps running +7.7% and -13.1%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-09-18 and 2026-09-16, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against SHEL's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of SHEL's sector?

Shell PLC sits in the Energy sector, currently ranked 2nd of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (weakening).

Sector rank
#2 of 11
Sector state
Weakening
Sector rotation score
80

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for SHEL?

CallsPuts

For Shell PLC's nearest expiry (2026-09-18, 0 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.65), with at-the-money implied volatility around 22.5%.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-18)
0.65
ATM implied volatility
22.5%
Total open interest
45,090

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on SHEL?

Piper Sandler most recently reiterated its rating on Shell PLC to Neutral on Sep 3, 2026 with a price target of $100 (from $89). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
Piper SandlerNeutral
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 3, 2026Piper SandlerMaintainedNeutral$89 → $100
Aug 3, 2026Piper SandlerMaintainedNeutral$88 → $89
Jul 31, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedEqual-Weight$100 → $105
Jul 20, 2026MizuhoInitiatedNeutral$98
May 21, 2026JefferiesMaintainedBuy$120 → $122
Apr 22, 2026ScotiabankMaintainedSector Outperform$91 → $122
Apr 10, 2026TD CowenMaintainedBuy$112 → $110
Apr 9, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedEqual-Weight$77 → $94
Mar 12, 2026Piper SandlerMaintainedOverweight$89 → $106
Feb 6, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedEqual-Weight$78 → $77
Feb 6, 2026Piper SandlerMaintainedOverweight$93 → $89
Jan 8, 2026Piper SandlerMaintainedOverweight$90 → $92

SHEL Competitive Positioning

Shell PLC (SHEL) is tracked alongside these names in Oil & Gas Integrated on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.