DailyIQ
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Sector:Consumer CyclicalAll sectors
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WSM·Williams-Sonoma, Inc.

$221.51
-7.92 (-3.45%)
After Hours
High
$229.69
Open
$229.69
Market Cap
26.65B
52W High
$254.89
Low
$220.85
P. Close
$221.51
P/E
22.60
52W Low
$165.51
Fwd P/E
21.82
DailyIQ Est.
$252.48
Inst. Ownership
37.8%
Short Interest
4.53%
Days to Cover
4.4
Technical Score (1D)
55
BUY
News Sentiment
32
BEARISH
Williams‑Sonoma’s share price has slipped 5 % month‑to‑month, a short‑term pullback that has prompted some traders to reassess the stock’s recent momentum. The decline comes after the company’s 233 % shareholder return over the past three years, which still underpins a long‑term value narrative. Despite the dip, the current price of $229.43 remains above the $212.63 fair‑value estimate, indicating that upside potential has not been fully exhausted. The modest gap to fair value suggests that the market may still be pricing in future growth, but the recent softness signals caution for the next 1–10 trading days. Traders should watch for any earnings guidance or inventory updates that could confirm whether the pullback is a temporary correction or the start of a broader retracement. If the company issues a stronger-than‑expected quarterly report, the price could rebound toward the fair‑value estimate. Conversely, a weaker outlook could widen the gap and push the stock further below its intrinsic value. Monitoring the 30‑day moving average will help gauge whether the current decline is a short‑term wobble or a sign of a longer‑term trend reversal.
Earnings Summary
Williams‑Sonoma, Inc. is a leading omni‑channel retailer specializing in high‑quality home products, operating through well‑known brands such as Williams Sonoma, Pottery Barn, and West Elm, and serving the specialty retail sector within consumer cyclical. The company blends e‑commerce, direct‑mail catalogs, and physical stores, leveraging technology like 3‑D imaging and augmented reality to enhance the customer experience. In Q4 2024, Williams‑Sonoma reported EPS of $3.28 versus an estimate of $2.91, a 12.8% beat, while revenue reached $2.462 billion, up 6.2% YoY; the company’s guidance for Q1 2027 remains pending. Compared to Q4 2023, the latest quarter shows a modest acceleration in revenue growth and a stronger-than‑expected earnings performance, indicating that the firm’s cost discipline and product‑mix optimization are translating into higher profitability. Historically, the retailer has posted steady YoY revenue growth over the past four quarters, with EPS growth lagging slightly behind, yet the company has consistently beat analyst estimates in three of the last four quarters, underscoring a resilient earnings trajectory. Recent news highlights a 233% shareholder return over the past three years and a 5% month‑to‑month share price decline, suggesting short‑term caution but a still‑above‑fair‑value valuation; analysts note that a stronger quarterly report could lift the stock toward its $250 target. Investors should watch for the Q1 2027 earnings release to gauge whether the upgraded guidance holds, monitor inventory updates and store‑consolidation progress, and assess how consumer spending trends in the high‑end home‑goods sector influence demand momentum. These factors will be key to understanding whether the current pullback is temporary or signals a broader retracement.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$2.84$2.97$3.09$3.21$3.34Q4'24Q1'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'27$2.90 - -
Q4'24$2.91$3.28+12.8%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$2.4B$2.4B$2.4B$2.5B$2.5BQ4'24Q1'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'27$2.4B - -
Q4'24 - $2.5B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
→

Market Data

WSM Stock Snapshot

HOLD55/100
$221.47−$0.04 (0.0%)
Market cap
26.65B
P/E ratio
22.6
Day range
$220.85 – $229.69
News sentiment
32/100 · Bearish
Analyst target
$247.85 (+11.9%)
Consensus
Hold · 29 analysts
52-week range+33.8% off low · -13.1% from high
$165.51$254.89
Price $221.47 DailyIQ Est. $252.48

WSM is in a holding pattern - neither trend nor momentum has taken control. In Consumer Cyclical, names this size usually take direction from sector flows before company-level news.

Behaviour On Record

What WSM's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
26.3% 26th pct
Below its peak
-11.3%
vs 200-day average
+8.6%
Up days (1y)
50%

Williams-Sonoma, Inc. is currently running 26.3% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against WSM's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 26th percentile — on the quiet side for this stock, against a typical reading of 32.8%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

WSM is trading -11.3% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -26.0%, and the deepest was -58.3% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +8.6% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 57th percentile — a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year WSM closed higher on 50% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 14 years of records, WSM finished the month higher 9 of 14 times, with a median return of +2.1% and an average of +1.2%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +7.0% on average, its weakest December at -2.9%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: WSM has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 158 of 3,268 sessions (4.8% of the time), with the largest gaps running +20.2% and -14.4%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-09-16 and 2026-09-15, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against WSM's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of WSM's sector?

Williams-Sonoma, Inc. sits in the Consumer Discretionary sector, currently ranked 9th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging). Within its narrower Retail industry group, WSM ranks 9th of 15 tracked industries, lagging.

Sector rank
#9 of 11
Sector state
Lagging
Sector rotation score
20
Industry rank
#9 of 15

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for WSM?

CallsPuts

For Williams-Sonoma, Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-09-18, 3 days out), open interest is put-heavy, a defensive/bearish tilt (put/call ratio of 1.26), with at-the-money implied volatility around 46.9%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±4.1% move by that expiry — a range of about $214.63–$233.16.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-18)
1.26
ATM implied volatility
46.9%
Total open interest
7,727
Expected move by 2026-09-18
±4.1% ($214.63–$233.16)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on WSM?

Evercore ISI Group most recently reiterated its rating on Williams-Sonoma, Inc. to In-Line on Sep 9, 2026 with a price target of $240 (from $245). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
Evercore ISI Group — In-Line
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 9, 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainedIn-Line$245 → $240
Sep 2, 2026Argus ResearchMaintainedBuy$230 → $250
Aug 27, 2026CitigroupMaintainedNeutral$248 → $252
Aug 27, 2026UBSMaintainedNeutral$190 → $247
Aug 27, 2026RBC CapitalReiteratedOutperform$260
Aug 27, 2026GuggenheimReiteratedNeutral-
Aug 27, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedEqual-Weight$210 → $240
Aug 27, 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainedIn-Line$240 → $245
Aug 27, 2026KeybancMaintainedOverweight$250 → $270
Aug 24, 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$250 → $261
Aug 14, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedOutperform$192 → $260
Aug 13, 2026Telsey Advisory GroupMaintainedOutperform$225 → $255

WSM Competitive Positioning

Williams-Sonoma, Inc. (WSM) is tracked alongside these names in Specialty Retail on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.

Held by These ETFs

WSM is a top holding in these ETFs tracked on DailyIQ — bar length shows portfolio weight.