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CPNG·Coupang, Inc.

$14.79
-0.32 (-2.12%)
High
$15.20
Open
$15.20
Market Cap
27.18B
52W High
$34.10
Low
$14.76
P. Close
$14.79
P/E
130.67
52W Low
$14.45
Fwd P/E
55.46
DailyIQ Est.
$24.63
Inst. Ownership
30.9%
Short Interest
3.94%
Days to Cover
5.2
Technical Score (1D)
14
SELL
News Sentiment
40
BEARISH
Coupang’s recent appearance on Zacks’ most‑searched list follows a week‑long slide that has left the stock lagging both the S&P 500 and its e‑commerce peers, falling 3.9% versus a 2% decline in the index and a 4.7% drop in the sector. The drop has sharpened focus on earnings estimate revisions, which analysts view as the key lever for future valuation; any upward or downward revision could materially shift the stock’s fair‑value range. Because the company has yet to issue new guidance, the market is currently waiting for fresh analyst updates that could confirm or overturn existing expectations. The lack of a clear catalyst keeps the near‑term outlook neutral, but the heightened analyst attention suggests that a single earnings revision could trigger a swift reaction. Over the next 1–10 trading days, traders should watch for the first analyst revision in the coming week, as it will likely set the tone for the stock’s short‑term trajectory. Additionally, any company‑issued guidance or commentary on growth prospects will be a critical watch item, as it could either reinforce the current neutral stance or provide a new directional bias. The convergence of underperformance and analyst scrutiny means that any positive revision could spark a rebound, while a negative one could deepen the slide. Finally, keep an eye on broader e‑commerce sentiment, as shifts in consumer spending or supply‑chain dynamics could indirectly influence Coupang’s valuation expectations.
Earnings Summary
Coupang, Inc. is a leading South Korean e‑commerce provider that operates a product commerce platform encompassing retail sales, marketplace services, and advertising, while expanding into fresh grocery delivery, food delivery, streaming, fintech, and luxury fashion. The company operates in a highly competitive consumer‑cyclical internet retail sector, where logistics and margin pressure are key performance drivers. In the most recent quarter (Q4 2025), Coupang reported an EPS of –$0.01 versus an estimate of $0.0296, and revenue of $8.835 billion against an estimate of $9.229 billion, marking a decline from Q4 2024’s $7.965 billion revenue and a positive EPS of $0.04. The company’s earnings trend shows a shift from a modest EPS beat in Q4 2024 to a miss in Q4 2025, with revenue growth slowing from 12.5% YoY in Q4 2024 to 4.8% in Q4 2025, and operating losses widening due to higher capacity and supply‑chain spend. Historically, Coupang has posted YoY revenue growth in the 10–15% range over the past four quarters, but has struggled to maintain EPS profitability, with two consecutive quarters of negative earnings in Q2 2026 and Q3 2026. The pattern indicates that while top‑line expansion continues, margin compression and regulatory costs are eroding profitability. Recent news highlights a $430 million privacy fine and a South Korean fair‑trade investigation, both adding new compliance costs that could further pressure margins; management has emphasized cost‑optimization in its fulfillment network and a shift toward higher‑margin services, but warned that supply‑chain disruptions could dent Q3 earnings. Investors should watch for the company’s Q3 2026 earnings call for updated guidance on cost‑control initiatives, the impact of the privacy fine on operating expenses, and any progress on its Taiwan expansion, as these factors will determine whether the company can stabilize margins and sustain revenue growth in the near term.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$-0.11$-0.07$-0.03$0.02$0.06Q4'24Q4'25Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$-0.01 - -
Q2'26$-0.07$-0.09-29.7%
Q4'25$0.03$-0.01-133.8%
Q4'24$0.01$0.04+370.0%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$7.7B$8.3B$8.9B$9.6B$10.2BQ4'24Q4'25Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$9.9B - -
Q2'26$9.1B$8.9B-2.6%
Q4'25$9.2B$8.8B-4.3%
Q4'24 - $8.0B -

Market Data

CPNG Stock Snapshot

SELL14/100
$14.79$0.32 (2.1%)
Market cap
27.18B
P/E ratio
130.7
Day range
$14.76 – $15.20
News sentiment
40/100 · Bearish
Analyst target
$23.49 (+58.8%)
Consensus
Buy · 23 analysts
52-week range+2.4% off low · -56.6% from high
$14.45$34.10
Price $14.79 DailyIQ Est. $24.63

Coupang, Inc. is trading near its 52-week low with momentum still pointing lower. Sector peers are worth watching - large caps in Consumer Cyclical tend to move together on rotation.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into CPNG?

RICH

At today's price, Coupang, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 31.5% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 10.14% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at -45.5% a year, so the market is asking for 77.0 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis CPNG looks priced above what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
31.5%
Historical FCF CAGR
-45.5%
Growth gap
+77.0 pts
Verdict
RICH
Discount rate (WACC)
10.14%
Beta
1.04

Behaviour On Record

What CPNG's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
35.9% 39th pct
Below its peak
-71.1%
vs 200-day average
-21.1%
Up days (1y)
41%

Coupang, Inc. is currently running 35.9% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against CPNG's own 5 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 39th percentile on the quiet side for this stock, against a typical reading of 39.6%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

CPNG is trading -71.1% below its running peak. Across 5 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -33.4%, and the deepest was -66.9% in 2022. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -21.1% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 22nd percentile a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year CPNG closed higher on 41% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 6 years of records, CPNG finished the month higher 2 of 6 times, with a median return of -2.8% and an average of -0.4%. Its strongest month historically has been February at +7.9% on average, its weakest March at -7.4%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: CPNG has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 129 of 1,384 sessions (9.3% of the time), with the largest gaps running +7.0% and -8.9%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 1,385 daily closes between 2021-03-11 and 2026-09-15, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against CPNG's own 6-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of CPNG's sector?

Coupang, Inc. sits in the Consumer Discretionary sector, currently ranked 9th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging). Within its narrower Retail industry group, CPNG ranks 8th of 15 tracked industries, lagging.

Sector rank
#9 of 11
Sector state
Lagging
Sector rotation score
20
Industry rank
#8 of 15

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for CPNG?

CallsPuts

For Coupang, Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-09-18, 3 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.67), with at-the-money implied volatility around 48.8%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±4.5% move by that expiry — a range of about $14.25–$15.59.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-18)
0.67
ATM implied volatility
48.8%
Total open interest
46,314
Expected move by 2026-09-18
±4.5% ($14.25–$15.59)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on CPNG?

B of A Securities most recently reiterated its rating on Coupang, Inc. to Buy on Aug 6, 2026 with a price target of $24 (from $27). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 1 upgrade against 0 downgrades, a net bullish lean.

Latest action
B of A SecuritiesBuy
90-day upgrades
1
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
+1
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Aug 6, 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$27 → $24
Aug 6, 2026Deutsche BankUpgradeHold → Buy$23 → $22
Jul 29, 2026MizuhoMaintainedNeutral$25 → $24
Jun 25, 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$28 → $27
Jun 15, 2026CLSAInitiatedOutperform$24
May 6, 2026CitigroupDowngradeBuy → Neutral$23 → $22
Apr 23, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$24 → $30
Mar 2, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$23 → $24
Feb 27, 2026MizuhoMaintainedNeutral$32 → $25
Feb 20, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$40 → $23
Feb 10, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$27 → $24
Nov 11, 2025BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$36 → $40

CPNG Competitive Positioning

Coupang, Inc. (CPNG) is tracked alongside these names in Internet Retail on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.